主管单位:中国科学技术协会
主办单位:中国地理学会
承办单位:华东师范大学

世界地理研究 ›› 2018, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (01): 51-59.

• 城市与区域 • 上一篇    下一篇

京津冀县域人口-土地-产业要素耦合测度及空间分异

方方   

  1. 北京市社会科学院
  • 收稿日期:2017-02-27 修回日期:2017-06-27 出版日期:2018-02-15 发布日期:2018-03-01
  • 通讯作者: 方方
  • 基金资助:
    人口外流对农村社区发展的影响机理:以京津冀典型县域为例;环京津贫困带形成机理与新农村建设途径

Evaluation and spatial distinction of the coupling of population-land-industry elements in the counties of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region

  • Received:2017-02-27 Revised:2017-06-27 Online:2018-02-15 Published:2018-03-01

摘要: 人口、土地、产业是区域发展的核心要素,三要素的变化趋势及其耦合匹配程度,直接影响区域可持续发展能力。应用要素评价模型与耦合协调度模型,以京津冀147个县域为样本,分析了2000年、2008年和2015年人口、土地、产业要素发展格局及其耦合协调格局,揭示了京津冀县域人口-土地-产业要素耦合的空间分异规律。研究表明:①京津冀县域人口、土地、产业要素发展格局空间差异显著,京津及其周边县域具有较强的人口集聚能力与较高的产业发展水平,土地资源禀赋较为丰富,土地投入产出能力较强,是人口、土地、产业指数的高值区,低值区主要分布在冀北坝上高原与太行山山脉地区,人口集聚能力较弱,土地投入产出能力较低,中值区与次低值区覆盖县域数量最多,主要分布在河北平原地区。②随着人口要素的流动、产业的空间集聚与经济发展水平的提升,京津冀县域人口-土地-产业耦合协调格局表现出一定的交替演化特征,其中,京津及环京津地区部分县域为人口-土地-产业要素耦合协调度的高值区,次高值区以石家庄、邢台、邯郸等地为中心,呈现出多个团块状集聚分布格局,中值区主要分布在冀中南次高值区周围,冀北地区耦合协调程度最低。③最后,应用聚类分析方法,将京津冀县域划分为五种耦合类型,并提出不同类型区未来发展路径。

Abstract: Population, land, industry are the core elements of regional development, the variation trend and the coupling degree of which has a direct impact on the ability of regional sustainable development. Based on the elements evaluation model and coupling coordination degree model, the research analyzes the population, land industrial elements pattern and their coupling coordination pattern and reveals the law of spatial distinction of the coupling of population-land-industry elements in the counties of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region by using the sample data of 147 counties. The results show: ①the pattern of population, land and industrial elements has significant difference in space, which shows that the high value area is mainly distributed in Beijing and Tianjin and their surrounding counties because of the stronger population agglomeration ability, the higher industrial development level, the richer resources endowment and the stronger land input and output capacity, the low value area is mainly distributed in Bashang Plateau and Tai-hang Mountains in Hebei Province because of the weaker population agglomeration ability and the lower land input and output capacity, while the middle value area and sub-low value area is mainly distributed in Hebei Plain area which covering the largest number of counties. ②the coupling coordination pattern of population- land- industry in counties of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region shows alternate evolution characteristics with the flow of population element, the spatial agglomeration of industry and the improvement of economic development, which shows that the high value area of the degree of coupling coordination of population- land- industry elements is distributed in some counties of Beijing and Tianjin and around Beijing and Tianjin, the sub-high value area presents agglomeration distribution pattern centered on Shijiazhuang, Xingtai and Handan, the middle value area is distributed around the sub-high value area of Central and Southern Hebei Province, while the low value area is in northern Hebei Province. ③Province.the research divides the counties of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region into five coupling types by cluster analysis method, and proposes future development path of different types.