主管单位:中国科学技术协会
主办单位:中国地理学会
承办单位:华东师范大学

世界地理研究 ›› 2018, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (06): 14-23.

• 世界政治与经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

“一带一路”建设在印度洋地区面临的地缘风险分析

郗笃刚1,刘建忠12,周桥1,韩志军1   

  1. 1. 信息工程大学地理空间信息学院
    2. 解放军信息工程大学地理空间信息学院
  • 收稿日期:2017-06-30 修回日期:2017-12-29 出版日期:2018-12-15 发布日期:2018-12-10
  • 通讯作者: 刘建忠1
  • 基金资助:
    基于行为体结构分析的区域冲突机理与建模研究——以南海周边国家 冲突为例

The analysis of “One Belt and One Road” construction faced geopolitical risks in India Ocean region

    

  1.  
  • Received:2017-06-30 Revised:2017-12-29 Online:2018-12-15 Published:2018-12-10
  • Supported by:
    Analyzing mechanism and modeling of regional conflicts using the subject behaviors structural theory– A case of conflicts between surrounding countries of South China Sea

摘要: 印度洋是连接亚洲、非洲和大洋洲的海上通道,被认为是世界海权的中心,具有不可替代地缘战略价值。印度洋地区是我国“一带一路”建设的重点地区,对“一带一路”的实施具有重要意义。随着美国、印度等大国印度洋战略的实施,印度洋成为大国竞相角逐的热点区域。“一带一路”建设在印度洋地区具有广阔的前景,但也面临着复杂的地缘风险。本文从地缘政治结构现实主义的视角重点分析“一带一路”建设在印度洋地区面临的地缘风险,并尝试提出一些维护印度洋地区安全稳定,加快推进“一带一路”建设的建议。研究发现,“一带一路”建设在印度地区的面临地缘风险主要包括,美、印对印度地区的战略控制和对“一带一路”倡议的排斥、地缘支点国家态度的转向、恐怖主义势力等非传统安全问题的影响等方面。

 

Abstract: India Ocean has an irreplaceable geostrategic status. India Ocean Region is the key area of our country “One Belt and One Road”Initiative,and It has great significance to implement of “One Belt and One Road”Initiative.With the implementation of the India Ocean strategies from some big countries, such as United States, India, India Ocean begins to become a hot region to compete for in twenty-first Century.“One Belt and One Road”Initiative has broad prospects in the India Ocean Region, but also facing complex threats and challenges.This paper analysed the geopolitical risks of “One Belt and One Road”Initiative in India Ocean Region from the perspective of structural realism geopolitics,and put forward some suggestions to safeguard the security and stability of the India Ocean Region and speed up“One Belt and One Road” construction.The study found that the geopolitical risks faced in the India area during the construction of The Belt and Road” mainly lie in the following: the strategic control of the India area from America and India, the rejection of The Belt and Road" initiative, the change of Geopolitical pivot states’ attitude, the influence of terrorism, and other non-traditional security problems etc.

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