主管单位:中国科学技术协会
主办单位:中国地理学会
承办单位:华东师范大学

世界地理研究 ›› 2017, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (2): 44-50.

• 世界政治与经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

大国在南海地区地缘影响力的测算与分析

滑腾飞1,公茂玉2,卢冬亮1,张耀宗1   

  1. 1. 中国天绘卫星中心
    2. 信息工程大学
  • 收稿日期:2016-07-18 修回日期:2016-09-21 出版日期:2017-04-15 发布日期:2017-04-23
  • 通讯作者: 滑腾飞
  • 基金资助:

    地缘体概念内涵及特征研究

Calculation and Analysis Geopolitical Influence of the Major Powers in the South China Sea

  • Received:2016-07-18 Revised:2016-09-21 Online:2017-04-15 Published:2017-04-23

摘要: 当前南海局势极其严峻,域内国家加强争端岛屿管控,加紧攫取资源,加快扩军步伐;域外大国积极介入,意图遏制我国崛起。南海地区正成为全球新的角力场。通过构建数学模型,从历史与现状两大视角出发,测算出大国对南海周边国家地缘影响力的演变,对比分析了当前大国在南海地区的地缘影响力,科学地评估了域外大国介入南海问题的程度,为正确判断南海地区安全形势提供辅助决策。

Abstract: The current situation in the South China Sea is extremely serious, inner countries strengthen control the disputes island , stepped up to grab resources, accelerate the pace of military expansion. At the same time,extraterritorial powers including actively involved, sought to halt the rise of China. The South China Sea area is becoming a global new wrestling games. So this article constructs a mathematical model, from the two perspective of history and current status, to measure out the evolution of Great Powers’ geopolitical influence on the South China Sea neighboring countries including Vietnam, Philippines, Malaysia, Brunei and Indonesia, and comparative analysis of the powers’ geopolitical influence on the South China Sea region. Assess scientifically the extent to the extraterritorial powers involved in the South China Sea issue. Provide decision for maker to support correctly judge the security situation in the South China Sea. We discover that, the history data shows Powers geopolitical influence on the South China Sea region substantially increased year by year, and the current result contributes to guide Chinese foreign policy decisions with the South China Sea neighboring countries and the extraterritorial Powers.

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