主管单位:中国科学技术协会
主办单位:中国地理学会
承办单位:华东师范大学

世界地理研究 ›› 2019, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (4): 144-155.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2019.04.2018157

• 产业与布局 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国旅游投资水平的时空格局演变及驱动因素分析

苏建军1,2, 朱海艳3   

  1. 1.西安科技大学管理学院,西安 710054
    2.运城学院经济管理系,山西运城 044000
    3.榆林学院管理学院,陕西榆林 719000
  • 收稿日期:2018-04-17 修回日期:2018-07-09 出版日期:2019-08-15 发布日期:2019-08-15
  • 作者简介:苏建军(1975-),男,博士(后),教授,硕士生导师,研究方向为旅游经济运行和区域发展,E-mail:sujj75@126.com。
  • 基金资助:
    中国博士后科学基金项目“新时期中国旅游投资需求与投资格局转型研究”(2015M572522)。

The spatio-temperal evolution of tourism investment level and its driving factors in China

SU Jianjun1,2, ZHU Haiyan3   

  1. 1.College of Management, Xi,an University of Science and Technology, Xi‘an 710054, China
    2.Department of Economic & Management, Yuncheng University, Yuncheng 044000, China
    3.College of Management, Yulin University, Yulin 719000, China
  • Received:2018-04-17 Revised:2018-07-09 Online:2019-08-15 Published:2019-08-15

摘要: 利用空间自相关分析法和地理加权回归模型,对1999—2015年中国大陆31个省区旅游投资水平的时空格局演变及其驱动因素进行了分析。结果表明:旅游投资规模水平和投资效率水平提升很快,但区域差异显著,东部依然处于主导地位,中西部跟进速度快;旅游投资水平呈现出较强的空间负相关性,即旅游投资水平高的省区与低的省区在空间分布上表现为大杂居、小集聚的态势;同时旅游投资空间相关性在减弱,体现为各省区旅游投资水平的空间集聚度在不断下降,旅游投资逐渐趋于空间上的离散布局,即高水平与低水平省区呈现出空间分散性与异质性;各因素对旅游投资水平的影响存在空间异质性,其中,经济增长与金融发展是旅游投资水平最关键的驱动因素,且前者贡献度高于后者。

Abstract: Taking 31 provinces as the geographical observational units, this paper describes spatial-time differentiation features, influencing factors and mechanism of tourism investment from 1999 to 2015 by using ESDA and GWR analysis methods. The results are as follows:(1)During the period of investigation, the level of tourism investment scale and the investment efficiency rose rapidly, but the difference of regions are significant. The Eastern region remains dominant and the Central region and the Western region follow up rapidly.(2)The tourism investment level shows a strong spatial negative correlation, that is to say, the provinces with high-level of tourism investment and the provinces with lower-level of tourism investment show the situation of big mixed-race and small agglomeration in the spatial distribution.(3)The spatial correlation of tourism investment is weakening, which shows that the spatial concentration of tourism investment in various provinces is declining, the investment of tourism gradually tends to be scattered in space, in other words, the high-level and low-level provinces show the spatial distribution and heterogeneity.(4)The impact of various factors on tourism investment level is characterized by spatial heterogeneity. Among them, economic growth and financial development are the most crucial driver of tourism investment level, and the contribution of the former is higher than the latter.