主管单位:中国科学技术协会
主办单位:中国地理学会
承办单位:华东师范大学

世界地理研究 ›› 2017, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (2): 127-139.

• 文化与社会 • 上一篇    下一篇

近10年以来中国出境旅游的时空分布特征研究

包富华1,陈瑛2   

  1. 1. 陕西师范大学
    2. 陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院
  • 收稿日期:2016-01-25 修回日期:2016-06-17 出版日期:2017-04-15 发布日期:2017-04-23
  • 通讯作者: 包富华
  • 基金资助:

    教育部人文社会科基金项目;2015年国家旅游局“万名旅游英才”研究型英才培养项目

Study on space-time distribution of China's outbound tourism passenger flow

  • Received:2016-01-25 Revised:2016-06-17 Online:2017-04-15 Published:2017-04-23

摘要: 本文运用年际变动指数、增长率、地理集中指数、变异系数和旅游偏好等指标分析了2004—2014年中国出境旅游的时空分布特征及影响因素。年际变动指数分析表明,中国出境韩国、泰国、柬埔寨、美国和印尼客流的年际变动较大。增长率分析表明,中国出境旅游的整体呈波动式增长态势,根据各国增长率的历时性变化可将其分为稳定型增长型、快速增长型、波动型和衰退型四大类,其中,印尼、韩国增长率均值排前两位,马来西亚、蒙古排后两位。地理集中指数和变异系数分析表明中国出境旅游空间分布经历了“大分散—小集中”并逐步趋于分散化的特征。旅游偏好指数分析表明,中国出境游客偏爱港澳,出国旅游对新、马、泰、日、韩、美的偏好较高(其中,泰、新、日排名前三位);进一步分析表明出境旅游向东亚、北美(特别是韩国、美国)的扩散路径明显,但整体仍以近程旅游为主。影响因素分析表明,经济、文化、距离、经贸往来、出境旅游政策、带薪假期、重大事件、汇率变化及中外关系等是影响近10年以来中国出境旅游时空分布的重要因素。

Abstract: Using the inter-annual variation index,the market growth rate, the geographic concentration index,the variation coefficient and the tourism preference index to analysis the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics as well as the influence factors of China's outbound tourism in the past 10 years. Inter-annual variability index analysis showed that the inter-annual variation of China's outbound passenger flows to South Korea,Thailand,Kampuchea,the United States and Indonesia are large. Growth rate analysis shows that China's outbound tourism as a whole is in the fluctuant growth trend,and China's outbound countries can be classified as four categories as stable growth,rapid growth, fluctuation and recession type according to the country's growth rate of the diachronic changes, among them, Indonesia and South Korea are in the top two while Malaysia and Mongolia are in the last two in terms of the average growth rate. Geographic concentration index and variation coefficient analysis showed that China's outbound tourism spatial distribution experienced a "high dispersion characteristics" and gradually tended to be diversified. Tourism preference index analysis shows that China's outbound tourists prefer Hong Kong, Macao and overseas tourists prefer Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Japan, South Korea and the United States (among them, Thailand, Singapore and Japan ranked the top three); further analysis showed that the diffusion path of the outbound tourism to the East Asia, North America (especially the South Korea and the United States) is obvious, but the overall outbound tourism is still in short-range travel. Factors analysis showed that the economic, cultural, distance, economic and trade exchanges, outbound tourism policy, paid holidays ,major events, the exchange rate changes and the Sino foreign relations are the important factors affecting the spatial and temporal distribution of China's outbound tourism in the past 10 years.