主管单位:中国科学技术协会
主办单位:中国地理学会
承办单位:华东师范大学

世界地理研究 ›› 2017, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (3): 29-38.

• 世界政治与经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

1986-2016年伊朗人口空间分布格局演变特征

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  1. 西南大学地理科学学院
  • 收稿日期:2016-09-12 修回日期:2016-11-02 出版日期:2017-06-15 发布日期:2017-06-15
  • 通讯作者: 代欢欢
  • 基金资助:
    伊朗核危机的演变趋势与中国能源安全及对策研究

Evolvement of Spatial Pattern of Population distribution with Data at Province Level in Iran during 1986-2016

  • Received:2016-09-12 Revised:2016-11-02 Online:2017-06-15 Published:2017-06-15

摘要: 作为中东大国之一,亦是中国战略合作伙伴的伊朗是“一带一路”中“新丝绸之路”经济带上的重要交通枢纽,科学合理测度其人口空间分布格局演变特征可提升对伊朗国内发展态势的认知,对加强中伊政治经济合作具有现实意义,也可丰富世界地理研究领域中东区域的典型案例。运用人口分布不均衡指数、人口重心分布、人口密度等指标,并结合探索性空间数据分析和偏移-分享分析法等研判1986-2016年伊朗人口分布空间格局演变特征。结果表明:伊朗人口空间分布极不均衡,人口主要集中在中央高原西北部、里海沿岸平原;人口密度整体上呈西北高东南低的特征,人口分布与自然地理环境条件、经济发展水平呈显著正相关;伊朗的人口流动以邻域地区和城市之间的流动为主,主要流向经济发达的北部和西北地区,这也与人口重心在西北地区的空间路径依赖惯性趋势吻合;伊朗人口分布的空间格局演化分异呈显著空间自相关性,人口密度较高和较低的区域均出现空间集聚特征,密度高高集聚区位于北部、西北部山地和德黑兰周边与中央高原交界处,且逐渐向东南方向延伸,密度低低集聚区主要分布于东部山地和西南地区,且变化甚微。

Abstract: As a country in the Middle East is also China an important strategic partner of Iran is located in the transportation hub of the Silk Road, a scientific and reasonable measure of population spatial distribution pattern of its evolution in Iraq to maintain economic and political stability is of practical significance, can also enrich the world geography research field of Middle East region of typical cases.This article adopts population distribution imbalance index,population gravity center distribution, population density and other indicators to research and explain the characteristics of Iran's population space distribution pattern evolution form 1986 to 2016 by using GIS technology.The results show that:ran's population mainly concentrated in in the northwest of Central Plateau , the plains of Caspian Sea coast , the east and the southwest t of mountain area population densities are low, population and natural geographical environment, economic development level are both consistent with each other .The population shift number of Iran's northwest always lead of population other area ,the track of population gravity center movement failed to break through the space path dependence inertia trend;he Iranian population is dispersedly?distributed before they tend to be concentrated, high concentration areas are mainly distributed in Iran's north, the northwest mountains ,the peripheral of Tehran and borders Central Plateau , and gradually extend from the area to the southeast direction.Low concentrated area are mainly distributed in the east and the southwest and changes little.The trend of Iran's total population spatial distribution pattern evolution for nearly 30 years is high level city as the leading growth track.