主管单位:中国科学技术协会
主办单位:中国地理学会
承办单位:华东师范大学

世界地理研究 ›› 2017, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (04): 40-48.

• 世界政治与经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

印度对外货物贸易的国际竞争力及其发展趋势

赵蕾1,王国梁2   

  1. 1. 山西师范大学地理科学学院
    2. 山西师范大学城市与环境科学学院
  • 收稿日期:2016-12-07 修回日期:2017-03-08 出版日期:2017-08-15 发布日期:2017-08-11
  • 通讯作者: 赵蕾

India's international competitiveness and the development trend of foreign trade in goods

  • Received:2016-12-07 Revised:2017-03-08 Online:2017-08-15 Published:2017-08-11

摘要: 本文首先从贸易总量和贸易结构两方面对印度货物贸易现状进行分析,之后运用显示性比较优势指数和贸易竞争优势指数对印度货物贸易的国际竞争力进行研究,研究表明:印度在国际竞争中具有优势的货物主要为初级产品中的食品和活动物以及劳动密集型产品。继而得出,未来短期内印度货物贸易发展趋势有四个显著特点:①主要货物贸易伙伴不会有大的变化,中国仍将是印度第一大贸易伙伴;②主要货物贸易地区变化不大,贸易重心仍为东北亚、东盟和海合会地区;③主要出口商品结构可能会有较大变化,但主要进口商品结构变化不大;④在国际竞争中的优势产品仍将以劳动密集型产品以及初级产品中的食品和活动物为主。最后,针对印度货物贸易发展可能对中国造成的影响,给中国相关企业提出了两条建议。

Abstract: This paper first analyzed the current situation of Indian goods trade from the total volume of goods trade and goods trade structure. Then through the application of revealed comparative advantage index and trade competitive edge index, it studied the international competitiveness of Indian goods trade, which indicates that primary commodities such like food and alive animals and labor intensive products are the major competitive goods of India in international competition. Therefore there are four distinct features of Indian goods trade development trend within a short period. Firstly, Indian major goods trade partners won’t change much. China will remain to be the largest trade partner of India. Secondly, the main business area won’t change much. Northeast Asia, ASEAN and GCC are still the center of Indian trading. Thirdly, the principal export commodity structure may experience a relatively big change. But the principal import commodity structure won’t change much. Fourthly, the primary commodity and labor intensive products will still be competitive in international competition. Finally, this paper provided two suggestions to relevant China’s enterprises in terms of the influence that Indian goods trade development may exert to China.