主管单位:中国科学技术协会
主办单位:中国地理学会
承办单位:华东师范大学

世界地理研究 ›› 2016, Vol. ›› Issue (4): 29-39.

• 世界政治与经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

中日人口老龄化区域演变差异分析

王志宝   

  1. 山东师范大学地理与环境学院
  • 收稿日期:2015-10-17 修回日期:2015-12-20 出版日期:2016-08-16 发布日期:2016-08-11
  • 通讯作者: 王志宝
  • 基金资助:

    山东省教育厅人文社科项目“山东人口老龄化区域演变机理及情景模拟分析”;济南市哲学社会科学规划项目“济南市人口老龄化区域演变研究”

Analysis on Difference of Population Aging Regional Evolution between China and Japan

  • Received:2015-10-17 Revised:2015-12-20 Online:2016-08-16 Published:2016-08-11

摘要: 中国的人口老龄化始于2005年,目前还处在初期阶段,而日本早在上个世纪中期就进入人口老龄化阶段,目前已经步入超老龄社会阶段。中国的人口老龄化区域演变明显依赖于地区经济发展,而日本则相反,更多的依赖于社会保障条件的地区均等化程度。通过对比、分析中日两国人口老龄化的区域演变特征,本文发现:在不同阶段,人口老龄化区域演变的一般特征和主导因素存在着很大的差异,其中:(1)在人口老龄化的初中期阶段,地区经济发展对其区域演变具有决定性作用,而在人口老龄化的中后期阶段,社会保障条件则成为老龄人口地区集聚的主导因素;(2)地区经济发展对于人口老龄化的作用,主要表现为劳动力的地区间迁移,而社会保障条件则更多的表现为顶部老龄化,即迁移性老龄化。

Abstract: Population aging in China, which began in 2005, is still in its initial stage at present, while Population aging in Japan, which began in the middle of the last century, has been into the stage of super-aging society. Regional evolution of Population aging in China obviously depends on the regional economic development, while Population aging in Japan, on the other hand, is more and more dependent on the area-equalization degree of social security conditions. Through contrast and analysis of characteristics of population aging regional evolution in the two countries, this paper finds that: the characteristics and dominant factors of population aging regional evolution in different stages are great different, including: (1) the regional economic development plays an decisive role in its initial stage, while social security condition becomes the leading factor of aging population agglomeration in the later stages; (2) the effect of regional economic development on population aging, mainly manifests as labor migration between regions, while social security condition is more presented as top population aging, namely migratory aging.

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