主管单位:中国科学技术协会
主办单位:中国地理学会
承办单位:华东师范大学

世界地理研究 ›› 2016, Vol. ›› Issue (4): 102-110.

• 城市与区域 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于DMSP/OLS与NDVI的江苏省碳排放的空间分布模拟

郭忻怡   

  • 收稿日期:2015-09-14 修回日期:2016-01-16 出版日期:2016-08-16 发布日期:2016-08-11
  • 通讯作者: 郭忻怡

The spatial distribution of carbon emissions in Jiangsu province using DMSP/OLS nighttime light data and NDVI

  • Received:2015-09-14 Revised:2016-01-16 Online:2016-08-16 Published:2016-08-11

摘要: 该文结合江苏省经济结构和自然环境情况,选择合理的碳排放模型进行核算得到江苏省各区县的碳排放量,综合DMSP/OLS夜间灯光影像和NDVI数据,再结合人口、GDP和工业生产总值数据,构建碳排放的空间滞后回归模型并开展江苏省碳排放的空间分布模拟,得到大小为1km?1km的碳排放空间格网,并对模拟结果纠正,用以研究江苏省各区县的碳排放量分布情况。结果表明,江苏省碳排放清晰地呈现出“苏南>苏北>苏中”的格局,苏南地区分布着以苏州、无锡为中心和以南京市区为中心的碳排放高值集聚的“热点”区域;在各区县内部,碳排放的空间分布与人口、GDP产值等密切相关,明显集中于人口、工业聚集的市区和县城区域。该研究的模拟结果,可以为江苏省各地区经济结构的调整和政府政策的实施提供重要依据。

Abstract: : In order to calculate the carbon emissions of Jiangsu Province properly and study the spatial distribution of carbon emission in Jiangsu, we did a new research. In consideration of the economic structure and the natural environment in Jiangsu Province, a reasonable carbon emissions’ model is chosen to calculate carbon emissions of every county. In order to do this research on carbon emissions in Jiangsu, five kinds of data have been used to establish the spatial lag model of carbon emission, which are DMSP/OLS night light images, NDVI, population, GDP and industrial gross domestic product data. And all these data have been resampled to the 1km×1km grids, using the established spatial lag model of carbon emission, carbon emission in every1km×1km grid can be predicted. The predicted value is corrected according to the computed value of every county to get a more accurate result. With the corrected value of all these grids, we ultimately got the spatial distribution of carbon emission in Jiangsu. The result shows that distribution of carbon emissions presented as a distinct pattern, it is smaller in Northern Jiangsu than southern area and its lowest value appears in the middle area. In southern area of Jiangsu, the spatial distribution of carbon emission shows a significant “hot-spot” cluster area in Suzhou, Wuxi and Nanjing. As for the spatial distribution of carbon emission in one single county, the significant “hot-spot” cluster area is distributed in urban area. Compared with traditional method of carbon emissions research, which only distributed carbon emissions in every administrative county, the spatial lag model and spatial distribution of carbon emission submitted by this paper is more reasonable. The research can provide more information about the spatial distribution of carbon emissions and changed the storage form of carbon emissions data. Futher more, it help to carry out a comprehensive analysis of multi subject data.