主管单位:中国科学技术协会
主办单位:中国地理学会
承办单位:华东师范大学

世界地理研究 ›› 2017, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (3): 96-104.

• 城市与区域 • 上一篇    下一篇

港珠澳大桥驱动下珠江两岸经济关联格局演变

黄振东1,杨斌2   

  1. 1. 上海海事大学物流科学与工程研究院
    2. 上海海事大学物流研究中心
  • 收稿日期:2016-11-02 修回日期:2016-12-03 出版日期:2017-06-15 发布日期:2017-06-15
  • 通讯作者: 黄振东
  • 基金资助:
    交通运输部科技项目;上海市科委科研计划项目;上海市科委科研计划项目

Economic Linkage Evolution of both Banks of the Pearl River Driven by the Hong Kong- Zhuhai- Macao Bridge

  • Received:2016-11-02 Revised:2016-12-03 Online:2017-06-15 Published:2017-06-15

摘要: 港珠澳大桥可有效弥补珠江两岸陆运交通可达性短板,推动两岸地区经济协同发展。考虑跨海大桥的通行费用准则和粤港澳海关查验延迟时间,通过修正引力模型和Tableau地图可视化功能测算和对比跨海大桥建成通车前后两岸地区经济关联强度和格局的演变。结果显示,港珠澳大桥的建成通车会大幅提升珠江两岸地区经济关联强度,并有助于间接改善珠江两岸地区经济格局。聚类分析得出珠江两岸城市群可划分为三个群集,香港和珠海位于群集1,江门和深圳组成群集2,中山经济关联强度比澳门对通行费用更为敏感,而东莞和惠州属于群集3。进一步提出西岸地区应把握港珠澳大桥历史发展机遇,东岸地区要逐步实现经济发展模式转型以及珠江两岸地区政府应高度重视地区间经济协同发展等建议。

Abstract: The opening up of the Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macau Bridge contributes to making up for the short slab of traffic connectivity in the Great Pearl River Delta region and promoting regional economic coordinated development. Based on the modified gravity model and Tableau map visualization functions, considering the toll guidelines of the Bridge and the delay of customs inspection, this paper quantitatively measures the effects of the Bridge on the evolution of economic linkage intensity and pattern of the regions on both banks of the Pearl River. The results show that the Bridge will significantly enhance the economic linkage intensity and dramatically improve economic linkage pattern of the regions. Moreover, this paper divides the cities agglomerations into three clusters by the cluster analysis and obtains a research finding that Hong Kong and Zhuhai are located in the first cluster, Jiangmen and Shenzhen form the second cluster, Zhongshan is more sensitive to the toll than Macau on economic linkage intensity, and Dongguan and Huizhou belongs to the third cluster. Further, this paper provides three suggestions that West Bank ought to seize the history development opportunity for the Bridge while East Bank needs to seek transformation of economic growth pattern and the government must attach great importance to regional economic coordinated development.

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