主管单位：中国科学技术协会
主办单位：中国地理学会
承办单位：华东师范大学
世界地理研究

世界地理研究 ›› 2026, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (5): 131-143.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2026.05.20240850

• 城市与产业 • 上一篇    

水资源“农转非”影响下的水-能-碳耦合协调分析——以中国农业大省为例

陈林芳1(), 孙寰宇2, 周生辉3, 焦士兴4, 王双3, 赵晓3, 成建梅1,5()   

  1. 1.中国地质大学（武汉） 环境学院，武汉 430074
    2.河南省杨庄高级中学，驻马店 463900
    3.河南大学地理科学与工程学部地理科学学院，郑州 450046
    4.安阳师范学院资源环境与旅游学院，安阳 455000
    5.长江流域环境水科学湖北省重点实验室，武汉 430078
  • 收稿日期:2024-10-05 修回日期:2025-05-24 出版日期:2026-05-15 发布日期:2026-05-27
  • 通讯作者: 成建梅
  • 作者简介:陈林芳（1999—），女，博士研究生，研究方向为水资源可持续利用，E-mail： clf990106@163.com。
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划课题(2022YFC3703705);湖北省国际科技合作项目(2024EHA041)

Assessing the influence of water transfer from agriculture to non-agriculture on the coupled coordination of water, energy, and carbon systems: A case study of major agricultural provinces in China

Linfang CHEN1(), Huanyu SUN2, Shenghui ZHOU3, Shixing JIAO4, Shuang WANG3, Xiao ZHAO3, Jianmei CHENG1,5()   

  1. 1.School of Environmental Studies, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China
    2.Yangzhuang Senior High School in Henan Province, Zhumadian 463900, China
    3.College of Geographical Science, Faculty of Geographical Science and Engineering, Henan University, Zhengzhou 450046, China
    4.School of Resources Environment and Tourism, Anyang Normal University, Anyang 455000, China
    5.Hubei Key Laboratory of Yangtze Catchment Environmental Aquatic Science, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430078, China
  • Received:2024-10-05 Revised:2025-05-24 Online:2026-05-15 Published:2026-05-27
  • Contact: Jianmei CHENG

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摘要：

在水能资源短缺、碳排放压力日益严峻的形势下，为抑制农业水资源的不合理转移，本研究将水资源“农转非”纳入水-能-碳耦合的分析框架。本文以中国农业大省为例，在对水资源“农转非”程度进行测度及对水资源、能源、碳排放系统进行综合评价的基础上，采用耦合协调模型测算水资源“农转非”-水-能-碳的协调发展水平，进而总结水资源“农转非”的影响特征。结果表明：①中国农业大省水资源“农转非”-水-能-碳耦合协调水平空间差异显著，演变趋势可分为平稳变化、波动上升、波动下降、先降后升、不规律变化5种类型；②水资源“农转非”对多数省份水-能-碳耦合协调发展产生消极影响，且这种消极影响随时间推移逐渐增强；③水资源“农转非”与水-能-碳单个系统的协调性存在地域差异，对多数省份单个系统起到负向抑制作用。通过适度开展水资源“农转非”并促进资源管理的多元化，可以优化资源利用方式，推动社会全面协调与可持续发展。

关键词: 水资源“农转非”, 耦合协调度, 水-能-碳耦合, 中国农业大省

Abstract:

Under the challenges posed by the scarcity of water-energy resources, as well as the growing pressures of carbon emissions,to prevent the irrational diversion of water resources from agriculture, we integrate water transfer from agriculture to non-agriculture(WTAN) within the water-energy-carbon coupling framework. Based on the measured degree of WTAN and the comprehensive evaluation indices of the water, energy, and carbon emission systems, a coupling coordination model is employed to calculate the coordinated development level of WTAN-water-energy-carbon. Subsequently, the influence characteristics of WTAN are summarized. The results suggest that: ① In major agricultural provinces of China, the coupling coordination level of WTAN-water-energy-carbon display pronounced spatial disparities. The evolutionary trends can be categorized into five distinct types: steady change, fluctuating increase, fluctuating decrease, decrease followed by increase, and irregular variation. ② WTAN exerts a detrimental influence on the coupling coordination development of the water-energy-carbon across the majority of provinces, and this adverse effect intensifies with the passage of time. ③ There are regional differences in the coordination between WTAN and the individual systems of water, energy, and carbon, where it predominantly imposes a suppressive and negative impact on these individual systems within most provinces. Through the moderate implementation of WTAN and the advancement of the diversification of resource management, we can optimize the methodology of resource utilization, thereby propelling the comprehensive, coordinated, and sustainable development of society.

Key words: water transfer from agriculture to non-agriculture, coupling coordination degree, water-energy-carbon, major agricultural provinces of China