Spatial differences and influencing factors of innovation output in Central China

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2020.01.2018412

Abstract

Abstract:

Adopting the methods of the standard deviation, variation coefficient, spatial auto-correlation analysis, spatial econometric model and so on, this paper studied the spatial and temporal variation of innovation output in Central China from 1986 to 2016 and its influencing factors. The results show that（1）The absolute difference in regional innovation output in the central region began to increase slowly in the years before 2006. Then it began to grow significantly. After 2010, there was a sharp increase. The relative differences can be roughly divided into three stages: the decline, the slow rise and the wavelike rise fluctuation.（2）From 1986 to 2016, the spatial pattern of innovation output in the central region is basically stable, and the region with outstanding innovation output is mainly the provincial capital city.（3）In 1990, 1998 and 2006, the central region of the innovation output spatial agglomeration sex was not significant, in 2016, the central region innovation output began to present a positive correlation between spatial agglomeration, the basic form in some cities in Anhui province as the center of the "high -high" agglomeration zone.（4）The new economic geography factors such as spatial correlation, agglomeration effect and innovation relation have great difference to the innovation output in the central region.（5）Economic situation, infrastructure and FDI have great impact on innovation output, and communication infrastructure and agglomeration interaction have a general impact on innovation output. And education level has the least demand factor for the industry.

Key words: innovation output, Central Region, new economic geography, spatial econometric analysis

摘要：

采用标准差、变异系数、空间自相关分析和空间计量经济模型等方法，对1986—2016年中部地区创新产出的时空差异演变及影响因素进行研究。结果表明：1）中部地区区域创新产出的绝对差异在2006年前增加缓慢，其后开始明显拉大，2010年后急剧增大，相对差异大致可以分为下降、缓慢上升、波动上升三个阶段；2）1986—2016年中部地区创新产出空间格局大致稳定，创新产出表现突出的区域主要是省会城市；3）在1990年、1998年和2006年中部地区的创新产出空间集聚性不显著，在2016年中部地区创新产出开始呈现出正相关性空间集聚性，基本形成以安徽省部分地市为中心的“高-高”集聚地带；4）空间关联、集聚效应、创新联系等新经济地理因素对中部地区地市创新产出差异较大；5）经济状况、传统基础设施及FDI对创新产出作用较大，通讯基础设施和集聚互动对创新产出的影响程度一般，而教育水平对产业的需求因素最小。

关键词: 创新产出, 中部地区, 新经济地理学, 空间计量经济分析

Jianwei ZHANG, Chang'an LIANG, Ruiqi HUANG, Mengmeng LI. Spatial differences and influencing factors of innovation output in Central China[J]. World Regional Studies, 2020, 29(1): 159-167.

张建伟, 梁常安, 黄蕊琦, 李萌萌. 中部地区创新产出空间差异及影响因素研究[J]. 世界地理研究, 2020, 29(1): 159-167.

Figures/Tables 5

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类型	1990年	1998年	2006年	2016年
高	长沙	武汉	长沙	合肥、武汉
较高	武汉	长沙、郑州	武汉	郑州、芜湖、长沙
一般	太原	合肥、南昌、太原	郑州	安庆、南昌
低	鄂州、随州、长治、怀化、吕梁、临汾、周口、漯河、运城、黄山、信阳、等	娄底、驻马店、商丘、永州、新余、岳阳、上饶、忻州、潜江、怀化、阳泉、等	天门、景德镇、晋中、黄山、仙桃、临汾、宿州、宣城、阜阳、许昌、宜昌、等	马鞍山、襄阳、九江、湘潭、荆州、淮南、十堰、衡阳、淮北、常德、上饶、等

类型	1990年	1998年	2006年	2016年
高	长沙	武汉	长沙	合肥、武汉
较高	武汉	长沙、郑州	武汉	郑州、芜湖、长沙
一般	太原	合肥、南昌、太原	郑州	安庆、南昌
低	鄂州、随州、长治、怀化、吕梁、临汾、周口、漯河、运城、黄山、信阳、等	娄底、驻马店、商丘、永州、新余、岳阳、上饶、忻州、潜江、怀化、阳泉、等	天门、景德镇、晋中、黄山、仙桃、临汾、宿州、宣城、阜阳、许昌、宜昌、等	马鞍山、襄阳、九江、湘潭、荆州、淮南、十堰、衡阳、淮北、常德、上饶、等

时间	1990	1998	2006	2016
Moran’s I	0.0436	-0.0039	0.0025	0.1421
z	1.0595	0.1250	0.2431	2.3502
P	0.1240	0.6660	0.2900	0.0300

时间	1990	1998	2006	2016
Moran’s I	0.0436	-0.0039	0.0025	0.1421
z	1.0595	0.1250	0.2431	2.3502
P	0.1240	0.6660	0.2900	0.0300

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