关键词: 旅游经济韧性, 时空格局, 冲击情境, 障碍因子, 山东省

Abstract:

The resilience ability of the tourism economic system to cope with uncertainty shocks is of great significance in realising the high-quality and stable development of tourism. The paper constructs a tourism economic resilience evaluation system from three dimensions of resistance maintenance, adaptation, recovery and renewal transformation, measures the tourism economic resilience of 16 prefecture-level cities in Shandong Province from 2010 to 2021, and analyses the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics and obstacle factors of tourism economic resilience of Shandong Province under different shocks. The results show that:①Although the level of tourism economic resilience in Shandong Province shows an increasing trend, the ability to cope with uncertain shocks is still weak, and the spatial pattern of tourism economic resilience in the "east high and west low" is relatively stable;②The main obstacle factors affecting resistance maintenance dimension are the number of museums, star hotels, and performing arts venues, the obstacle factors affecting the adaptation recovery dimension are the number of tourism employees, the number of public toilets per 10,000 people, and the per capita disposable income of urban residents, and the main obstacle factors affecting renewal transformation dimension are the number of general higher education institutions, the number of patents;③Under different shock scenarios, the obstacle factors affecting the resilience of the tourism economy in Shandong Province have changed, especially in the renewal transformation dimension, where governmental dynamism plays a significant role in the rapid recovery of the tourism economy and the realisation of high-quality transformation and development of the tourism economy.Key words: tourism economic resilience; spatio-temporal patterns; shock situations; obstacle factors; Shandong Province