World Regional Studies ›› 2024, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (10): 83-99.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2024.10.20222485
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Xianhong CHENG1(), Junhan YANG2, Guogang JIANG1()
Received:
2022-12-09
Revised:
2023-04-23
Online:
2024-10-15
Published:
2024-10-24
Contact:
Guogang JIANG
通讯作者:
姜国刚
作者简介:
程显宏(1985—),男,讲师,博士,研究方向为国际贸易、数字经济,E-mail:174082909@qq.com。
基金资助:
Xianhong CHENG, Junhan YANG, Guogang JIANG. Research on the influence of outward foreign direct investment on the high-quality development of Chinese foreign trade[J]. World Regional Studies, 2024, 33(10): 83-99.
程显宏, 杨珺涵, 姜国刚. 对外直接投资对我国外贸高质量发展的影响研究[J]. 世界地理研究, 2024, 33(10): 83-99.
一级指标 | 二级指标 | 三级指标 | 来源 |
---|---|---|---|
外贸高质量发展基础A | 贸易环境基础A1 | 全要素生产率A11 | SFA计算 |
贸易政策不确定性A12 | Economic Policy Uncertainty Index | ||
经济政策不确定性A13 | |||
互联网用户数A14 | 国家统计局 | ||
人力资源禀赋基础A2 | 劳动力资源禀赋A21 | 世界银行 | |
高等院校入学率(占总人数的百分比)A22 | |||
外贸高质量发展结构B | 服务贸易规模和竞争力B1 | 服务贸易对外贸易依存度B11 | WTO数据库 |
服务贸易竞争力指数(TC)B12 | |||
显性比较优势(RCA)B13 | |||
服务贸易外贸市场占有率B14 | |||
工业制成品贸易规模和竞争力B2 | 工业制成品对外贸易依存度B21 | 中经网 | |
工业制成品竞争力指数(TC)B22 | |||
工业制成品外贸市场占有率B23 | |||
高科技产品贸易规模和竞争力B3 | 高科技产品对外贸易依存度B31 | 中经网 | |
高科技产品竞争力指数(TC)B32 | |||
高科技产品外贸市场占有率B33 | |||
外贸高质量发展潜力C | 外贸发展科研基础C1 | 研究与实验发展经费支出C11 | 中经网 |
研究与试验发展人员全时当量C12 | |||
国内上市公司总数C13 | |||
普通高等学校数C14 | |||
外贸发展科研潜力C2 | 技术合作捐助C21 | 世界银行 | |
支付知识产权使用费C22 | |||
非居民专利申请量C23 | |||
发明专利申请数C24 | 中经网 | ||
高校国外发表科技论文数C25 | |||
外贸高质量发展环境D | 国内发展环境D1 | 科技进步贡献率D11 | 中国科技统计年鉴 |
中国经济增长D12(GDP增长) | 世界银行 | ||
世界发展环境D2 | 世界经济增长D21(GDP增长) | EPS数据库 | |
世界各国政策和制度评估(CPIA)贸易评级D22 | |||
目前有效的区域贸易协定累积D23(按生效年份计算) | WTO数据库 |
Tab.1 High quality development evaluation system index composition of foreign trade
一级指标 | 二级指标 | 三级指标 | 来源 |
---|---|---|---|
外贸高质量发展基础A | 贸易环境基础A1 | 全要素生产率A11 | SFA计算 |
贸易政策不确定性A12 | Economic Policy Uncertainty Index | ||
经济政策不确定性A13 | |||
互联网用户数A14 | 国家统计局 | ||
人力资源禀赋基础A2 | 劳动力资源禀赋A21 | 世界银行 | |
高等院校入学率(占总人数的百分比)A22 | |||
外贸高质量发展结构B | 服务贸易规模和竞争力B1 | 服务贸易对外贸易依存度B11 | WTO数据库 |
服务贸易竞争力指数(TC)B12 | |||
显性比较优势(RCA)B13 | |||
服务贸易外贸市场占有率B14 | |||
工业制成品贸易规模和竞争力B2 | 工业制成品对外贸易依存度B21 | 中经网 | |
工业制成品竞争力指数(TC)B22 | |||
工业制成品外贸市场占有率B23 | |||
高科技产品贸易规模和竞争力B3 | 高科技产品对外贸易依存度B31 | 中经网 | |
高科技产品竞争力指数(TC)B32 | |||
高科技产品外贸市场占有率B33 | |||
外贸高质量发展潜力C | 外贸发展科研基础C1 | 研究与实验发展经费支出C11 | 中经网 |
研究与试验发展人员全时当量C12 | |||
国内上市公司总数C13 | |||
普通高等学校数C14 | |||
外贸发展科研潜力C2 | 技术合作捐助C21 | 世界银行 | |
支付知识产权使用费C22 | |||
非居民专利申请量C23 | |||
发明专利申请数C24 | 中经网 | ||
高校国外发表科技论文数C25 | |||
外贸高质量发展环境D | 国内发展环境D1 | 科技进步贡献率D11 | 中国科技统计年鉴 |
中国经济增长D12(GDP增长) | 世界银行 | ||
世界发展环境D2 | 世界经济增长D21(GDP增长) | EPS数据库 | |
世界各国政策和制度评估(CPIA)贸易评级D22 | |||
目前有效的区域贸易协定累积D23(按生效年份计算) | WTO数据库 |
成分 | 初始特征值 | 旋转载荷平方和 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
总计 | 方差百分比 | 累积 /% | 总计 | 方差百分比 | 累积 /% | |
1 | 20.752 | 69.172 | 69.172 | 17.415 | 58.051 | 58.051 |
2 | 3.136 | 10.452 | 79.624 | 4.571 | 15.238 | 73.289 |
3 | 2.049 | 6.830 | 86.454 | 2.981 | 9.935 | 83.225 |
4 | 1.595 | 5.316 | 91.770 | 1.945 | 6.485 | 89.709 |
5 | 1.241 | 4.138 | 95.908 | 1.859 | 6.198 | 95.908 |
Tab.2 Total variance interpretation
成分 | 初始特征值 | 旋转载荷平方和 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
总计 | 方差百分比 | 累积 /% | 总计 | 方差百分比 | 累积 /% | |
1 | 20.752 | 69.172 | 69.172 | 17.415 | 58.051 | 58.051 |
2 | 3.136 | 10.452 | 79.624 | 4.571 | 15.238 | 73.289 |
3 | 2.049 | 6.830 | 86.454 | 2.981 | 9.935 | 83.225 |
4 | 1.595 | 5.316 | 91.770 | 1.945 | 6.485 | 89.709 |
5 | 1.241 | 4.138 | 95.908 | 1.859 | 6.198 | 95.908 |
变量 | 变量描述 | 样本数 | 均值 | 标准差 | 最小值 | 最大值 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Highd | 外贸高质量发展,指标体系计算获得 | 434 | 0.564 | 0.833 | -0.636 | 1.901 |
lnOFDI | 各省对外直接投资存量,取对数 | 434 | 11.990 | 2.217 | 4.605 | 16.814 |
lnGDP | 各省人均GDP,取对数 | 434 | 10.495 | 0.613 | 8.717 | 12.009 |
lnPop | 劳动力禀赋,各省人口总数,取对数 | 434 | 8.099 | 0.856 | 5.652 | 9.352 |
lnStruct | 第三产业与第二产业增加值之比,取对数 | 434 | 0.017 | 0.4042 | -1.643 | 0.694 |
lnOpen | 各省进出口总额与其GDP 之比值,取对数 | 434 | 2.880 | 0.975 | 0.237 | 5.142 |
lnRail | 各省铁路总里程,取对数 | 434 | 7.893 | 0.784 | 5.595 | 9.535 |
lnCpi | 各省居民消费价格指数,取对数 | 434 | 4.632 | 0.018 | 4.581 | 4.701 |
lnGss | 各省高校师生比,取对数 | 434 | 2.854 | 0.066 | 2.601 | 3.061 |
lnNfdi | OFDI逆向技术溢出,取对数 | 434 | 9.014 | 2.088 | 1.659 | 13.524 |
lnWage | 劳动力成本,取对数 | 434 | 1.495 | 0.494 | 0.416 | 2.814 |
Stfp | 经济发展质量,以各省全要素生产率代替 | 434 | 1.555 | 0.740 | 0.070 | 2.900 |
Tab.3 Descriptive statistics of variables
变量 | 变量描述 | 样本数 | 均值 | 标准差 | 最小值 | 最大值 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Highd | 外贸高质量发展,指标体系计算获得 | 434 | 0.564 | 0.833 | -0.636 | 1.901 |
lnOFDI | 各省对外直接投资存量,取对数 | 434 | 11.990 | 2.217 | 4.605 | 16.814 |
lnGDP | 各省人均GDP,取对数 | 434 | 10.495 | 0.613 | 8.717 | 12.009 |
lnPop | 劳动力禀赋,各省人口总数,取对数 | 434 | 8.099 | 0.856 | 5.652 | 9.352 |
lnStruct | 第三产业与第二产业增加值之比,取对数 | 434 | 0.017 | 0.4042 | -1.643 | 0.694 |
lnOpen | 各省进出口总额与其GDP 之比值,取对数 | 434 | 2.880 | 0.975 | 0.237 | 5.142 |
lnRail | 各省铁路总里程,取对数 | 434 | 7.893 | 0.784 | 5.595 | 9.535 |
lnCpi | 各省居民消费价格指数,取对数 | 434 | 4.632 | 0.018 | 4.581 | 4.701 |
lnGss | 各省高校师生比,取对数 | 434 | 2.854 | 0.066 | 2.601 | 3.061 |
lnNfdi | OFDI逆向技术溢出,取对数 | 434 | 9.014 | 2.088 | 1.659 | 13.524 |
lnWage | 劳动力成本,取对数 | 434 | 1.495 | 0.494 | 0.416 | 2.814 |
Stfp | 经济发展质量,以各省全要素生产率代替 | 434 | 1.555 | 0.740 | 0.070 | 2.900 |
变量 | OLS | 系统GMM | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
L.Highd | 0.709*** (0.032 1) | 0.561*** (0.038 1) | ||||
lnOFDI | 0.421*** (0.032 5) | 0.104*** (0.037 0) | 0.288*** (0.039 7) | 0.056 3** (0.024 8) | 0.051 0** (0.025 9) | |
L.lnOFDI | 0.137*** (0.040 9) | 0.056 4*** (0.017 5) | ||||
lnPgdp | 0.850*** (0.179) | 0.891*** (0.155) | 0.320** (0.148) | 0.343*** (0.105) | 0.462*** (0.134) | |
lnPop | 0.447** (0.211) | 0.438** (0.222) | -0.275 (0.247) | 0.071 1 (0.074 0) | -0.179 (0.149) | |
lnRail | 0.380** (0.183) | 0.265 (0.165) | 0.475** (0.193) | -0.008 5 (0.037 4) | -0.053 3 (0.039 6) | |
lnStruct | -0.819*** (0.082 6) | -0.733*** (0.075 2) | -1.060*** (0.095 1) | -0.255*** (0.048 3) | -0.392*** (0.062 5) | |
lnGss | -0.373 (0.265) | -0.108 (0.217) | 0.447 (0.387) | -0.697*** (0.193) | -1.138*** (0.185) | |
lnOpen | -0.011 3 (0.037 5) | -0.024 5 (0.034 1) | 0.000 411 (0.032 9) | -0.055 9** (0.021 8) | -0.080 6** (0.034 1) | |
lnCpi | -0.810 (2.028) | 5.079*** (1.474) | 0.538 (0.433) | 0.586*** (0.165) | 0.751*** (0.222) | |
常数项 | -5.073*** (0.429) | -13.16 (10.15) | -40.03*** (6.596) | -11.53*** (2.678) | -5.050*** (1.073) | -3.897** (1.815) |
观测值 | 434 | 403 | 434 | 434 | 403 | 403 |
Hansen 检验 | — | — | — | 0.246 | 0.209 | 0.186 |
AR (1) 检验 | — | — | — | 0.005 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
AR (2) 检验 | — | — | — | 0.767 | 0.895 | 0.351 |
Tab.4 Base regression results (explained variable Highd)
变量 | OLS | 系统GMM | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
L.Highd | 0.709*** (0.032 1) | 0.561*** (0.038 1) | ||||
lnOFDI | 0.421*** (0.032 5) | 0.104*** (0.037 0) | 0.288*** (0.039 7) | 0.056 3** (0.024 8) | 0.051 0** (0.025 9) | |
L.lnOFDI | 0.137*** (0.040 9) | 0.056 4*** (0.017 5) | ||||
lnPgdp | 0.850*** (0.179) | 0.891*** (0.155) | 0.320** (0.148) | 0.343*** (0.105) | 0.462*** (0.134) | |
lnPop | 0.447** (0.211) | 0.438** (0.222) | -0.275 (0.247) | 0.071 1 (0.074 0) | -0.179 (0.149) | |
lnRail | 0.380** (0.183) | 0.265 (0.165) | 0.475** (0.193) | -0.008 5 (0.037 4) | -0.053 3 (0.039 6) | |
lnStruct | -0.819*** (0.082 6) | -0.733*** (0.075 2) | -1.060*** (0.095 1) | -0.255*** (0.048 3) | -0.392*** (0.062 5) | |
lnGss | -0.373 (0.265) | -0.108 (0.217) | 0.447 (0.387) | -0.697*** (0.193) | -1.138*** (0.185) | |
lnOpen | -0.011 3 (0.037 5) | -0.024 5 (0.034 1) | 0.000 411 (0.032 9) | -0.055 9** (0.021 8) | -0.080 6** (0.034 1) | |
lnCpi | -0.810 (2.028) | 5.079*** (1.474) | 0.538 (0.433) | 0.586*** (0.165) | 0.751*** (0.222) | |
常数项 | -5.073*** (0.429) | -13.16 (10.15) | -40.03*** (6.596) | -11.53*** (2.678) | -5.050*** (1.073) | -3.897** (1.815) |
观测值 | 434 | 403 | 434 | 434 | 403 | 403 |
Hansen 检验 | — | — | — | 0.246 | 0.209 | 0.186 |
AR (1) 检验 | — | — | — | 0.005 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
AR (2) 检验 | — | — | — | 0.767 | 0.895 | 0.351 |
变量 | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
lnOFDI | 0.204*** (0.015 8) | 0.971*** (0.323) | 0.021 3 (0.047 9) | 0.856*** (0.222) | 0.245 9*** (0.014 9) | 0.209 6*** (0.026) |
控制变量 | 否 | 是 | 否 | 是 | 否 | 是 |
常数项 | -1.877 *** (0.202 6) | 17.89 (14.48) | 0.307 8 (0.576) | 14.812 (11.335) | -2.343*** (0.189) | -3.254 (5.403) |
观测值 | 434 | 434 | 434 | 434 | 403 | 403 |
R2 | 0.370 | 0.190 | 0.071 | 0.359 | 0.383 | 0.803 |
Cragg-Donald Wald F统计量 | 220.871 [16.38] | 6.888 [6.66] | 45.375 [16.38] | 12.150 [8.96] | 7 431.885 [16.38] | 1 470.656 [16.38] |
Kleibergen-Paap rk Wald检验 | 82.665*** (0.000) | 6.618** (0.010 1) | 36.303*** (0.000) | 10.377** (0.001 3) | 100.535*** (0.000) | 115.02*** (0.000) |
Tab.5 Endogeneity test results
变量 | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
lnOFDI | 0.204*** (0.015 8) | 0.971*** (0.323) | 0.021 3 (0.047 9) | 0.856*** (0.222) | 0.245 9*** (0.014 9) | 0.209 6*** (0.026) |
控制变量 | 否 | 是 | 否 | 是 | 否 | 是 |
常数项 | -1.877 *** (0.202 6) | 17.89 (14.48) | 0.307 8 (0.576) | 14.812 (11.335) | -2.343*** (0.189) | -3.254 (5.403) |
观测值 | 434 | 434 | 434 | 434 | 403 | 403 |
R2 | 0.370 | 0.190 | 0.071 | 0.359 | 0.383 | 0.803 |
Cragg-Donald Wald F统计量 | 220.871 [16.38] | 6.888 [6.66] | 45.375 [16.38] | 12.150 [8.96] | 7 431.885 [16.38] | 1 470.656 [16.38] |
Kleibergen-Paap rk Wald检验 | 82.665*** (0.000) | 6.618** (0.010 1) | 36.303*** (0.000) | 10.377** (0.001 3) | 100.535*** (0.000) | 115.02*** (0.000) |
变量 | 东部地区 | 中部地区 | 西部地区 | 东北地区 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | |
L.Highd | 0.360*** (0.058 1) | 0.779*** (0.129) | 0.753*** (0.080 3) | 0.847*** (0.033 2) | ||||
lnOFDI | 0.100*** (0.035 3) | 0.122*** (0.046 6) | 0.013 3 (0.054 3) | 0.125 (0.066 0) | 0.102** (0.035 0) | 0.087 2** (0.038 8) | 0.790** (0.095 6) | 0.079 7*** (0.026 9) |
L.lnOFDI | 0.086 8** (0.043 1) | 0.068 7* (0.033 4) | 0.106*** (0.021 6) | 0.037 6 (0.041 1) | ||||
常数项 | -45.13*** (12.08) | -7.084*** (1.679) | -18.93** (5.275) | 3.872 (2.295) | -29.22*** (5.274) | -3.807 (3.179) | 351.8*** (33.19) | 0.306 (0.758) |
观测值 | 140 | 130 | 84 | 78 | 168 | 156 | 42 | 39 |
Hansen 检验 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.923 | 1.000 | ||||
AR(1)检验 | 0.019 | 0.017 | 0.003 | 0.085 | ||||
AR(2)检验 | 0.386 | 0.549 | 0.261 | 0.767 |
Tab.6 The influence of OFDI in different economic regions on the high-quality development of foreign trade
变量 | 东部地区 | 中部地区 | 西部地区 | 东北地区 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | |
L.Highd | 0.360*** (0.058 1) | 0.779*** (0.129) | 0.753*** (0.080 3) | 0.847*** (0.033 2) | ||||
lnOFDI | 0.100*** (0.035 3) | 0.122*** (0.046 6) | 0.013 3 (0.054 3) | 0.125 (0.066 0) | 0.102** (0.035 0) | 0.087 2** (0.038 8) | 0.790** (0.095 6) | 0.079 7*** (0.026 9) |
L.lnOFDI | 0.086 8** (0.043 1) | 0.068 7* (0.033 4) | 0.106*** (0.021 6) | 0.037 6 (0.041 1) | ||||
常数项 | -45.13*** (12.08) | -7.084*** (1.679) | -18.93** (5.275) | 3.872 (2.295) | -29.22*** (5.274) | -3.807 (3.179) | 351.8*** (33.19) | 0.306 (0.758) |
观测值 | 140 | 130 | 84 | 78 | 168 | 156 | 42 | 39 |
Hansen 检验 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.923 | 1.000 | ||||
AR(1)检验 | 0.019 | 0.017 | 0.003 | 0.085 | ||||
AR(2)检验 | 0.386 | 0.549 | 0.261 | 0.767 |
变量 | “一带一路”省份 | 非“一带一路”省份 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
L.Highd | 0.564*** (0.063 5) | 0.158* (0.076 4) | ||||
lnOFDI | 0.089 9* (0.051 5) | 0.065 3*** (0.017 1) | 0.068 1 (0.047 0) | 0.064 5 (0.057 0) | ||
L.lnOFDI | 0.117** (0.055 8) | 0.103*** (0.018 4) | 0.130*** (0.049 0) | 0.259*** (0.061 7) | ||
常数项 | -46.62*** (11.64) | -18.68 (13.37) | -3.073 (2.501) | -51.61*** (14.94) | -26.18 (24.49) | -6.517* (3.032) |
观测值 | 252 | 234 | 234 | 182 | 169 | 169 |
Hansen 检验 | 0.876 | 0.282 | ||||
AR(1)检验 | 0.001 | 0.803 | ||||
AR(2)检验 | 0.136 | 0.606 |
Tab.7 Influence of OFDI of the “Belt and Road” and non-the “Belt and Road” provinces on high-quality foreign trade
变量 | “一带一路”省份 | 非“一带一路”省份 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
L.Highd | 0.564*** (0.063 5) | 0.158* (0.076 4) | ||||
lnOFDI | 0.089 9* (0.051 5) | 0.065 3*** (0.017 1) | 0.068 1 (0.047 0) | 0.064 5 (0.057 0) | ||
L.lnOFDI | 0.117** (0.055 8) | 0.103*** (0.018 4) | 0.130*** (0.049 0) | 0.259*** (0.061 7) | ||
常数项 | -46.62*** (11.64) | -18.68 (13.37) | -3.073 (2.501) | -51.61*** (14.94) | -26.18 (24.49) | -6.517* (3.032) |
观测值 | 252 | 234 | 234 | 182 | 169 | 169 |
Hansen 检验 | 0.876 | 0.282 | ||||
AR(1)检验 | 0.001 | 0.803 | ||||
AR(2)检验 | 0.136 | 0.606 |
变量 | “一带一路”倡议实施前 | “一带一路”倡议实施后 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
L.Highd | 0.553** (0.234) | 0.754*** (0.031 8) | ||||
lnOFDI | 0.075 3 (0.048 2) | -0.459 (0.471) | 0.167*** (0.031 3) | 0.112*** (0.039 5) | ||
L.lnOFDI | 0.116** (0.056 5) | 0.906* (0.465) | 0.136*** (0.045 7) | 0.105*** (0.014 7) | ||
常数项 | -28.05*** (6.679) | -2.103 (9.644) | 5.269 (8.589) | -15.74 (11.39) | -55.91*** (19.27) | -33.72*** (6.299) |
观测值 | 217 | 186 | 186 | 217 | 186 | 186 |
Hansen 检验 | 0.267 | 0.617 | ||||
AR(1)检验 | 0.056 | 0.000 | ||||
AR(2)检验 | 0.302 | 0.001 |
Tab.8 Influence of provinces OFDI on the high-quality foreign trade before and after the implementation of the “Belt and Road”
变量 | “一带一路”倡议实施前 | “一带一路”倡议实施后 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
L.Highd | 0.553** (0.234) | 0.754*** (0.031 8) | ||||
lnOFDI | 0.075 3 (0.048 2) | -0.459 (0.471) | 0.167*** (0.031 3) | 0.112*** (0.039 5) | ||
L.lnOFDI | 0.116** (0.056 5) | 0.906* (0.465) | 0.136*** (0.045 7) | 0.105*** (0.014 7) | ||
常数项 | -28.05*** (6.679) | -2.103 (9.644) | 5.269 (8.589) | -15.74 (11.39) | -55.91*** (19.27) | -33.72*** (6.299) |
观测值 | 217 | 186 | 186 | 217 | 186 | 186 |
Hansen 检验 | 0.267 | 0.617 | ||||
AR(1)检验 | 0.056 | 0.000 | ||||
AR(2)检验 | 0.302 | 0.001 |
变量 | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
stfp | Highd | lnNfdi | Highd | lnWage | Highd | |
L.Highd | 0.749***(0.045 0) | 0.614***(0.064 0) | 0.460*** (0.055 0) | |||
stfp | 0.027 0*** (0.007 43) | |||||
L.stfp | 0.344*** (0.029 7) | |||||
lnNfdi | 0.142*** (0.024 6) | |||||
L. lnNfdi | 0.173*** (0.022 2) | |||||
lnWage | 0.871*** (0.185) | |||||
L.lnWage | 0.743*** (0.094 1) | |||||
lnOFDI | 0.318*** (0.113) | 0.061 8*** (0.022 5) | 0.912*** (0.040 7) | -0.065 4* (0.038 6) | 0.057 5*** (0.018 5) | -0.006 81 (0.014 4) |
L.lnOFDI | 0.051 8 (0.140) | 0.044 5** (0.018 7) | -0.164*** (0.044 5) | 0.046 7*** (0.016 3) | -0.004 81 (0.004 35) | 0.030 1*** (0.010 7) |
常数项 | -39.26*** (9.741) | -1.599 (2.572) | 45.22*** (3.816) | -12.43*** (1.783) | -4.144*** (0.755) | -3.716** (1.734) |
Hansen检验 | 0.108 | 0.643 | 0.101 | 0.106 | 0.132 | 0.604 |
AR(1)检验 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
AR(2)检验 | 0.104 | 0.973 | 0.136 | 0.289 | 0.121 | 0.582 |
Tab.9 Influence mechanism test
变量 | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
stfp | Highd | lnNfdi | Highd | lnWage | Highd | |
L.Highd | 0.749***(0.045 0) | 0.614***(0.064 0) | 0.460*** (0.055 0) | |||
stfp | 0.027 0*** (0.007 43) | |||||
L.stfp | 0.344*** (0.029 7) | |||||
lnNfdi | 0.142*** (0.024 6) | |||||
L. lnNfdi | 0.173*** (0.022 2) | |||||
lnWage | 0.871*** (0.185) | |||||
L.lnWage | 0.743*** (0.094 1) | |||||
lnOFDI | 0.318*** (0.113) | 0.061 8*** (0.022 5) | 0.912*** (0.040 7) | -0.065 4* (0.038 6) | 0.057 5*** (0.018 5) | -0.006 81 (0.014 4) |
L.lnOFDI | 0.051 8 (0.140) | 0.044 5** (0.018 7) | -0.164*** (0.044 5) | 0.046 7*** (0.016 3) | -0.004 81 (0.004 35) | 0.030 1*** (0.010 7) |
常数项 | -39.26*** (9.741) | -1.599 (2.572) | 45.22*** (3.816) | -12.43*** (1.783) | -4.144*** (0.755) | -3.716** (1.734) |
Hansen检验 | 0.108 | 0.643 | 0.101 | 0.106 | 0.132 | 0.604 |
AR(1)检验 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
AR(2)检验 | 0.104 | 0.973 | 0.136 | 0.289 | 0.121 | 0.582 |
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