Abstract: Abstract:With the international context that the opening of the Arctic Route is approaching，many relational countries paid close attention on the Arctic Route , while china has few quantitative researches on strategy for the Arctic Route. this paper comprehensively analyzed China's strengths and weaknesses ,as well as opportunities and threats in terms of the Arctic Route, and created the Arctic Route right strategies Prospect Theory method based on the Prospect Theory .finally, China’s strategy that should be adopt for the Arctic Route right was confirmed. The result is helpful to analyze corresponding factors that affect China’s right on the Arctic Route and also to expand quantitative methods research.

摘要： 摘 要：面对北极航线的开通预期，世界各相关国家对北极航线问题愈加关注，但目前我国国内缺乏对于中国北极航线战略的量化研究，在全面分析目前中国北极航线的内部优势、劣势及外部环境的基础上，利用PT理论创建了中国北极航线权益战略PT理论选择方法，并通过方案选择提出了中国北极航线权益战略。研究结果对于北极及北极航线研究领域中环境因素的分析和量化方法的拓展及制定具有重要现实意义。