主管单位:中国科学技术协会
主办单位:中国地理学会
承办单位:华东师范大学

WRS ›› 2017, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (3): 1-11.

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Study on Evolution and Formation Mechanism of Bilateral Relations between China and Indochina Countries

  • Received:2016-09-19 Revised:2017-01-14 Online:2017-06-15 Published:2017-06-15

中国与中南半岛国家双边关系演进及形成机理研究

梁茂林1,骆华松2,彭邦文2,渠立权2   

  1. 1. 云南师范大学
    2. 云南师范大学旅游与地理科学学院
  • 通讯作者: 骆华松
  • 基金资助:
    基于演化博弈的东南亚地缘政治与地缘经济格局演变机理及耦合规律;中国西南地缘环境与边疆发展云南省2011协同创新中心开放基金课题

Abstract: Abstract:In the 21st century, with the continued differentiation and restructuring of the world geopolitical landscape, Indochina geopolitical position which is in the "fringe",has become increasingly prominent, is becoming extraterritorial powers competing for geopolitical interests hotspots. Indochina is advocated by China to build "21st Century Maritime Silk Road" as an important strategic fulcrum, the development of bilateral relations between China and the five countries have an important impact on the "the Belt and Road" in advance. Therefore article first uses event data analysis quantitative measuring the bilateral relations between China and Indochina five countries from 2001 to June 2015, and then summed up its characteristics and laws, as follows: bilateral relations between China and the five countries showing an overall downward trend in varying degrees volatility; bilateral relations appear peak value by the same type of event impact China-Myanmar relations worsen relations with Vietnam fell substantially over the same period, the geographical extent of the spatial pattern of bilateral relations more obvious differentiation. Bilateral evolution of China and the five countries is the common results of intervention extraterritorial powers, national interests that are driven by the "balance-of-diplomacy" to implement, the promoting of regional and sub-regional cooperation,border security and stability and other mechanisms ; final based on earlier proposed: efforts to enhance political mutual trust level with each country; properly handle South China Sea territorial disputes in China and Vietnam; actively urges the parties to maintain internal security and stability; give full play to the "the Belt and Road" in the field of vision in the economic and cultural function of benign interaction relations between China and the five countermeasures.

摘要: 摘要:进入21世纪以来,随着世界地缘政治格局的继续分化与重组,处于“边缘地带”的中南半岛地缘政治地位日益凸显,日渐成为域外大国争夺地缘利益的热点地区。中南半岛是中国倡导共建“21世纪海上丝绸之路”重要的战略支点,中国与五国双边关系的亲疏对“一带一路”的推进有着重要的影响。因此文章首先采用事件数据分析法定量衡量2001年—2015年6月间中国与中南半岛五国双边关系,进而归纳其规律与特征,表现为:中国与五国双边关系总体呈现不同程度波动下降态势;双边关系最高峰值的出现均由同一类事件影响产生、中缅关系下滑与中越关系恶化基本同期、双边关系程度的地域空间格局分异较为明显。中国与五国双边的演进是域外大国的干预、国家利益驱使下“大国平衡外交”的推行、区域与次区域合作的推进、边境安全与稳定等作用机理下的共同结果;最后基于前文研究提出:着力提升与各方政治互信水平、妥善处理中越南海领土争端、积极敦促缅甸各方维持国内安全与稳定、充分发挥“一带一路”愿景在经济与文化领域的作用等中国与五国关系良性互动对策。