主管单位：中国科学技术协会
主办单位：中国地理学会
承办单位：华东师范大学
世界地理研究

世界地理研究 ›› 2023, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (9): 17-27.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2023.09.2021915

• 世界政治与经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国与“一带一路”沿线国家地缘关系时空演变特征

张新焕1(), 张小雷2,3(), 张璐4, 武荣伟5, 周婵6   

  1. 1.中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所，乌鲁木齐 830011
    2.中国科学院地质与地球物理研究所，北京100029
    3.中国科学院大学资源与环境学院，北京 100049
    4.中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所，北京100101
    5.重庆工商大学公共管理学院，重庆 400067
    6.中国科学院深圳先进技术研究院，深圳 518055
  • 收稿日期:2021-12-08 修回日期:2022-02-08 出版日期:2023-09-15 发布日期:2023-09-25
  • 通讯作者: 张小雷
  • 作者简介:张新焕（1978—），女，研究员，博士，研究方向为区域可持续发展，E-mail： zhangxh@ms.xjb.ac.cn。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金(42101210);中科院先导科技专项(XDA2004040202);北京市社会科学基金(21JJC023┫。感谢北京师范大学地理科学学部地理数据与应用分析中心“全球新闻事件数据共享平台”支持)

Spatio-temporal evolution patterns of the geo-relationship between China and the countries along "the Belt & Road"

Xinhuan ZHANG1(), Xiaolei ZHANG2,3(), Lu ZHANG4, Rongwei WU5, Chan ZHOU6   

  1. 1.Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China
    2.Institute of Geology and Geophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China
    3.College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
    4.Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
    5.School of Public Administration, Chongqing Technology and Business University, Chongqing 400067, China
    6.Shenzhen Institute of Advanced Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenzhen 518055, China
  • Received:2021-12-08 Revised:2022-02-08 Online:2023-09-15 Published:2023-09-25
  • Contact: Xiaolei ZHANG

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摘要：

“一带一路”倡议的实施对促进沿线地区经济合作、互利共赢具有重要意义。基于全球事件GDELT数据库，分别从整体、多类别、多尺度等方面刻画了中国与“一带一路”沿线国家的地缘关系总体特征及其演变过程。主要结论如下：①整体来看，中国与“一带一路”沿线国家历经了“合作为主、分歧较多”“合作增多、分歧减少”“合作稳定、分歧进一步减少”三个阶段；②中国与“一带一路”沿线国家地缘关系事件呈现出“言语促进事件为主且集中，地缘分割事件多国频发”的特点；③国家尺度上的地缘分割事件呈现出先减弱、后增加的趋势，且近年来中国与周边邻国的地缘促进指数呈下降趋势。分析中国与“一带一路”沿线国家地缘关系的时空演变特征，可为我国与“一带一路”沿线国家实现新型合作共赢国家关系提供参考。

关键词: “一带一路”沿线国家, 地缘关系, GDELT, 时空演变

Abstract:

Geo-relationships both constrain and foster the geo-economy, underscoring the importance of favorable geo-relationships for advancing geo-economic cooperation. Previous studies have analyzed the geo-relationships involving "the Belt and Road", but a gap remains in exploring the temporal and spatial evolution of these relationships among the countries involved. This paper employs the GDELT (Global Database of Events, Language, and Tone), an event database, to investigate the comprehensive characteristics and evolution of the geographic relationships between China and the countries along "the Belt and Road". The primary findings are as follows: ① The geopolitical relationship has transitioned through three stages: "cooperation priority, disagreements occur - cooperation increases, disagreements decrease-cooperation weakens, disagreements further decrease". ② A multi-category analysis reveals that within the geo-relationship between China and "the Belt and Road" countries, "speech augmentation events are concentrated in specific countries, while geopolitical segmentation events frequently occur in many countries". ③ From a multi-scale perspective, the geopolitical segmentation events on the national level exhibit an initial weakening followed by an increase, whereas the geopolitical augmentation events with neighboring countries display a recent downward trend. Analyzing the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of the geopolitical relationship furnishes valuable insights for achieving a novel form of cooperation and a mutually beneficial relationship between China and "the Belt and Road" countries.

Key words: "the Belt and Road" Initiative, geopolitical relationship, GDELT, spatio-temporal evolution