主管单位:中国科学技术协会
主办单位:中国地理学会
承办单位:华东师范大学

世界地理研究 ›› 2020, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (1): 112-119.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2020.01.2018416

• 城市与区域 • 上一篇    下一篇

中部地区农民城镇化意愿及其影响因素研究

张荣天1(), 李传武2   

  1. 1.扬州大学苏中发展研究院,江苏扬州 225009
    2.盐城师范学院城市与规划学院,江苏盐城 224007
  • 收稿日期:2018-09-17 修回日期:2019-01-05 出版日期:2020-01-20 发布日期:2022-01-22
  • 作者简介:张荣天(1987-),男,博士后,助理研究员,硕导,主要从事城乡发展与区域规划研究,E-mail:nnuzrr@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    中国博士后科学基金(2017M621834);江苏高校哲学社会科学基金(2018SJA1153);安徽省城镇化发展研究中心2016年度开放课题;扬州大学科技创新培育基金(2017CXJ112);扬州大学人文社科基金(xjj2016-66)

An investigation in the typical counties of Anhui

Rongtian ZHANG1(), Chuanwu LI2   

  1. 1.Research Institute of Central Jiangsu Development, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225009, China
    2.Institute of Urban and Planning, Yancheng Teachers College, Yancheng 224007, China
  • Received:2018-09-17 Revised:2019-01-05 Online:2020-01-20 Published:2022-01-22

摘要:

城镇化本质是“人”的城镇化,“人”的城镇化关键是实现由农民向市民的转化。首先,本文从理论上构建出农民城镇化意愿的二元logistic模型;其次,选取我国中部地区安徽皖南芜湖县、皖北临泉县作为典型案例地进行实证对比研究。结果表明:①总体上,典型县域农民城镇化意愿相对较强烈(75.01%);②个体特征因素、家庭因素及社会因素均对安徽典型县域农民城镇化具有十分显著影响,其中受教育程度、家庭年总收入、学龄儿童、政府就业政策及教育政策等对农民城镇化意愿产生显著正向效应;务工年限、城里社会关系等也对农民城镇化意愿产生正向影响,但显著性程度相对不高;而农民年龄、户籍社保制度对农民城镇化意愿产生显著负向影响。③最后,从增加城镇就业岗位、开展职业教育培训、深化改革社保制度及加强社区治理体系建设等方面提出促进农民城镇化发展的政策建议。

关键词: 农民城镇化, 意愿, 影响因素, 安徽, 县域

Abstract:

Urbanization is the essence of human urbanization, human urbanization is to realize the transformation from farmer to citizen, and the county is the most important spatial carrier to realize the transformation from farmer to citizen and human urbanization. As a typical case, wuhu county in Anhui province and Linquan county in Anhui province in northern Anhui province were selected to analyze the influence mechanism of local urbanization in theory, and to construct the dual model of local urbanization in county by empirical comparison. The results show that:overall, the urbanization willingness of farmers in typical counties in the central region was relatively strong(75.01%). Individual characteristic factors, family factors and social factors all have a very significant impact on in situ urbanization; the education level, the total annual income of families, school-age children, government employment policies and education policies have a significant positive effect on the farmers' willingness to in situ urbanization. In addition, the length of work and the social relations in the city also have a positive impact on the farmers' willingness to in situ urbanization, but the degree of significance is relatively low; the social security system of farmer's age and household registration has a significant negative impact on the farmers' willingness to in situ urbanization.Policy suggestions are put forward to promote local urbanization in counties from such aspects as increasing employment in cities and towns, developing vocational education and training, deepening social security system and strengthening community governance system.

Key words: farmers urbanization, willing, influence factors, Anhui, county