主管单位:中国科学技术协会
主办单位:中国地理学会
承办单位:华东师范大学

WRS ›› 2019, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (4): 35-43.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2019.04.2017314

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Analysis on the strength of Sino-Africa agricultural trade and its international status

LUAN Yibo1, CAO Guiying2, SHI Peijun1   

  1. 1.Academy of Disaster Reduction and Emergency Management, Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875, China
    2.International Institute of Applied System and Analysis,Laxenburg, Austria
  • Received:2017-11-01 Revised:2018-05-31 Online:2019-08-15 Published:2019-08-15

中非农产品贸易强度及其国际地位演变分析

栾一博1, 曹桂英2, 史培军1   

  1. 1.北京师范大学减灾与应急管理研究院,北京 100875
    2.国际应用系统分析研究所,拉克森堡 奥地利
  • 作者简介:栾一博(1989-),女,助理研究员,博士,研究方向:全球环境变化与可持续发展,E-mail:whuyimu@hotmail.com。
  • 基金资助:
    国家重大科学研究计划(973)“全球变化人口与经济系统风险全球定量评估研究”(2016YFA0602404)。

Abstract: In recent years, the agricultural cooperation between mainland China and Africa becomes more frequent. Trade of Sino-Africa agricultural products has attracted more attention. However, there are still lacking horizontal and horizontal comparison between Sino-Africa agricultural trade and African agricultural trade with others. We use FAOSTAT Trade Matrix data to systematically analyze the historical change of the strength of Sino-Africa agricultural trade and its international status. The results show that: 1)despite the rising import and export values of African agricultural products, their shares of world trade value have been hovering low and have no significant change; 2)The insignificant international status of Sino-Africa agricultural trade has not been changed; Europe and America are still Africa’s main trading partners; 3)Most African countries’ trades with mainland China are being small values and low frequency; 4)Countries such as South Africa, Tanzania, Ethiopia, Mali, Nigeria, Algeria, Madagascar, Mauritania and Niger not only have large agricultural land resources, but also have historical bases of agricultural trade with mainland China comparatively.

摘要: 近年来中国和非洲农业合作日渐频繁,中非农产品贸易也逐渐受到学术界的广泛关注,中非农产品贸易在全球中的横向对比、中国与非洲各国之间的横向对比研究也显得尤为重要。为掌握在全球背景下中非农产品贸易关系及强度的历史状况,利用FAOSTAT中的农产品贸易数据,对中非农产品贸易与其他国家或地区农产品贸易展开横向对比,并对中国与非洲各国之间贸易强度的历史变化进行系统分析。研究结果显示:1)尽管非洲农产品进出口贸易额不断上升,但在世界贸易中的份额持续徘徊在低位,并无显著变化;2)中非之间的贸易关系在1986-2013年间的变化并不突出,欧美仍是其主要的贸易伙伴;3)大多数非洲国家对华年次贸易频率低且贸易量小;4)南非、坦桑尼亚、埃塞俄比亚、马里、尼日利亚、阿尔及利亚、马达加斯加、毛里塔尼亚和尼日尔等国不仅拥有较多农用地资源,且具有较好的对华农业贸易的历史基础。