World Regional Studies ›› 2021, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (4): 757-768.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2021.04.2020872
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Received:
2020-12-10
Revised:
2021-01-30
Online:
2021-07-30
Published:
2021-08-06
作者简介:
韦永贵(1991-),男,讲师,博士,硕导,研究方向为地缘经济与区域文化合作,E-mail:1059156896@qq.com.
基金资助:
Yonggui WEI. The power of culture: Does cultural diversity of trading partners affect the growth of China's export trade?[J]. World Regional Studies, 2021, 30(4): 757-768.
韦永贵. 文化的力量:贸易伙伴文化多样性会影响中国出口贸易增长吗?[J]. 世界地理研究, 2021, 30(4): 757-768.
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URL: https://sjdlyj.ecnu.edu.cn/EN/10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2021.04.2020872
变量名 | 变量含义 | 原始数据来源 |
---|---|---|
LnExport | 中国对贸易伙伴的年度出口贸易额的自然对数 | UNComtrade数据库 |
rel_frac | 宗教信仰多样性,用以衡量贸易伙伴的宗教多样化程度 | AREA宗教数据库 |
lang_ELE | 语言多样性,用以衡量贸易伙伴的语言分化程度 | World Linguistic Map数据库 |
eth_frac | 民族多样性,用以衡量贸易伙伴的族群多样化程度 | CIA Factbook数据库 |
GDPi | 中国经济生产总值,衡量中国的经济实力 | World Bank数据库 |
GDPj | 贸易伙伴经济生产总值,衡量贸易伙伴的市场规模 | World Bank数据库 |
pgdp | 贸易伙伴人均GDP,用以衡量贸易伙伴的消费能力 | World Bank数据库 |
GDP_rate | 贸易伙伴的GDP增长率,衡量贸易伙伴的市场潜力 | World Bank数据库 |
population | 贸易伙伴的总人口,衡量贸易伙伴的消费规模 | World Bank数据库 |
tf | 贸易自由度,衡量贸易伙伴的贸易开放程度 | 美国遗传基金会数据库 |
geo_dist | 地理距离,以中国首都与贸易伙伴首都的球面距离衡量 | CEPII数据库 |
border | 中国与贸易伙伴是否存在共同边界,是取值1,否则为0 | 根据Google地图进行判别 |
colony | 贸易伙伴是否与中国曾具有一致的殖民史,是取值1,否则为0 | CEPII数据库 |
RTA | 中国与贸易伙伴是否签订自由贸易协议,是取值1,否则为0 | World Bank数据库 |
Tab.1 Meaning and source of the main variables
变量名 | 变量含义 | 原始数据来源 |
---|---|---|
LnExport | 中国对贸易伙伴的年度出口贸易额的自然对数 | UNComtrade数据库 |
rel_frac | 宗教信仰多样性,用以衡量贸易伙伴的宗教多样化程度 | AREA宗教数据库 |
lang_ELE | 语言多样性,用以衡量贸易伙伴的语言分化程度 | World Linguistic Map数据库 |
eth_frac | 民族多样性,用以衡量贸易伙伴的族群多样化程度 | CIA Factbook数据库 |
GDPi | 中国经济生产总值,衡量中国的经济实力 | World Bank数据库 |
GDPj | 贸易伙伴经济生产总值,衡量贸易伙伴的市场规模 | World Bank数据库 |
pgdp | 贸易伙伴人均GDP,用以衡量贸易伙伴的消费能力 | World Bank数据库 |
GDP_rate | 贸易伙伴的GDP增长率,衡量贸易伙伴的市场潜力 | World Bank数据库 |
population | 贸易伙伴的总人口,衡量贸易伙伴的消费规模 | World Bank数据库 |
tf | 贸易自由度,衡量贸易伙伴的贸易开放程度 | 美国遗传基金会数据库 |
geo_dist | 地理距离,以中国首都与贸易伙伴首都的球面距离衡量 | CEPII数据库 |
border | 中国与贸易伙伴是否存在共同边界,是取值1,否则为0 | 根据Google地图进行判别 |
colony | 贸易伙伴是否与中国曾具有一致的殖民史,是取值1,否则为0 | CEPII数据库 |
RTA | 中国与贸易伙伴是否签订自由贸易协议,是取值1,否则为0 | World Bank数据库 |
变量名 | 均值 | 标准差 | 最小值 | 最大值 |
---|---|---|---|---|
LnExport | 11.2107 | 2.3867 | 1.8885 | 17.5761 |
rel_frac | 0.3224 | 0.2266 | 0.0010 | 0.7936 |
lang_ELE | 0.2782 | 0.2613 | 0.0000 | 0.9670 |
eth_frac | 0.4553 | 0.2666 | 0.0000 | 0.9586 |
LnGDPi | 28.8746 | 0.6952 | 27.6660 | 29.9496 |
LnGDPj | 24.4729 | 2.0801 | 19.2966 | 30.4820 |
Lnpgdp | 8.4152 | 1.6018 | 4.7518 | 11.6259 |
GDP_rate | 3.7001 | 5.5402 | -62.0759 | 123.1396 |
Lnpopulation | 16.0536 | 1.6209 | 11.1671 | 21.0153 |
tf | 69.3690 | 15.5324 | 0.0000 | 95.0000 |
Lngeo_dist | 8.9788 | 0.5449 | 6.8623 | 9.8677 |
border | 0.0961 | 0.2948 | 0.0000 | 1.0000 |
colony | 0.8203 | 0.3840 | 0.0000 | 1.0000 |
RTA | 0.1731 | 0.3783 | 0.0000 | 1.0000 |
Tab.2 Descriptive statistics of main variables
变量名 | 均值 | 标准差 | 最小值 | 最大值 |
---|---|---|---|---|
LnExport | 11.2107 | 2.3867 | 1.8885 | 17.5761 |
rel_frac | 0.3224 | 0.2266 | 0.0010 | 0.7936 |
lang_ELE | 0.2782 | 0.2613 | 0.0000 | 0.9670 |
eth_frac | 0.4553 | 0.2666 | 0.0000 | 0.9586 |
LnGDPi | 28.8746 | 0.6952 | 27.6660 | 29.9496 |
LnGDPj | 24.4729 | 2.0801 | 19.2966 | 30.4820 |
Lnpgdp | 8.4152 | 1.6018 | 4.7518 | 11.6259 |
GDP_rate | 3.7001 | 5.5402 | -62.0759 | 123.1396 |
Lnpopulation | 16.0536 | 1.6209 | 11.1671 | 21.0153 |
tf | 69.3690 | 15.5324 | 0.0000 | 95.0000 |
Lngeo_dist | 8.9788 | 0.5449 | 6.8623 | 9.8677 |
border | 0.0961 | 0.2948 | 0.0000 | 1.0000 |
colony | 0.8203 | 0.3840 | 0.0000 | 1.0000 |
RTA | 0.1731 | 0.3783 | 0.0000 | 1.0000 |
变量名 | LSDV LnExport | 变量名 | LSDV LnExport | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | ||
rel_frac | -0.308*** (0.079) | -0.298*** (0.083) | Lnpopulation | 0.888*** (0.011) | 0.894*** (0.012) | 0.885*** (0.011) | 0.911*** (0.012) | ||
eth_frac | -0.136 (0.085) | -0.578*** (0.098) | tf | 0.009*** (0.001) | 0.008*** (0.001) | 0.010*** (0.001) | 0.008*** (0.001) | ||
lang_ELE | -0.764*** (0.102) | -0.673*** (0.083) | Lngeo_dist | -0.568*** (0.031) | 0.572*** (0.032) | -0.593*** (0.030) | -0.502*** (0.035) | ||
LnGDPi | 1.453*** (0.067) | 1.468*** (0.068) | 1.444*** (0.067) | 1.466*** (0.067) | border | 0.489*** (0.076) | 0.372*** (0.075) | 0.414*** (0.077) | 0.292*** (0.074) |
LnGDPj | 0.693** (0.309) | 0.598* (0.313) | 0.624* (0.320) | 0.420 (0.328) | colony | 0.340*** (0.043) | 0.386*** (0.043) | 0.380*** (0.042) | 0.396*** (0.043) |
Lnpgdpj | 0.804*** (0.015) | 0.803*** (0.016) | 0.811*** (0.015) | 0.821*** (0.015) | RTA | 0.295*** (0.045) | 0.349*** (0.045) | 0.270*** (0.046) | 0.306*** (0.045) |
GDP_rate | 0.001 (0.003) | 0.002 (0.004) | -0.001 (0.004) | 0.002 (0.004) | R2 No. Of Obs | 0.8487 2854 | 0.8521 2767 | 0.8506 2854 | 0.8565 2767 |
Tab.3 The results of standard regression
变量名 | LSDV LnExport | 变量名 | LSDV LnExport | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | ||
rel_frac | -0.308*** (0.079) | -0.298*** (0.083) | Lnpopulation | 0.888*** (0.011) | 0.894*** (0.012) | 0.885*** (0.011) | 0.911*** (0.012) | ||
eth_frac | -0.136 (0.085) | -0.578*** (0.098) | tf | 0.009*** (0.001) | 0.008*** (0.001) | 0.010*** (0.001) | 0.008*** (0.001) | ||
lang_ELE | -0.764*** (0.102) | -0.673*** (0.083) | Lngeo_dist | -0.568*** (0.031) | 0.572*** (0.032) | -0.593*** (0.030) | -0.502*** (0.035) | ||
LnGDPi | 1.453*** (0.067) | 1.468*** (0.068) | 1.444*** (0.067) | 1.466*** (0.067) | border | 0.489*** (0.076) | 0.372*** (0.075) | 0.414*** (0.077) | 0.292*** (0.074) |
LnGDPj | 0.693** (0.309) | 0.598* (0.313) | 0.624* (0.320) | 0.420 (0.328) | colony | 0.340*** (0.043) | 0.386*** (0.043) | 0.380*** (0.042) | 0.396*** (0.043) |
Lnpgdpj | 0.804*** (0.015) | 0.803*** (0.016) | 0.811*** (0.015) | 0.821*** (0.015) | RTA | 0.295*** (0.045) | 0.349*** (0.045) | 0.270*** (0.046) | 0.306*** (0.045) |
GDP_rate | 0.001 (0.003) | 0.002 (0.004) | -0.001 (0.004) | 0.002 (0.004) | R2 No. Of Obs | 0.8487 2854 | 0.8521 2767 | 0.8506 2854 | 0.8565 2767 |
IV:公元1500年遗传基因(Spolaore-Wacziarg) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
变量名 | (1)第一阶段 | (2)第二阶段 | (3)第一阶段 | (4)第二阶段 | (5)第一阶段 | (6)第二阶段 |
Gendist_nei_1500 | 0.000*** (0.000) | 0.000*** (0.000) | 0.000*** (0.000) | |||
rel_frac | -6.112*** (0.837) | |||||
eth_frac | -13.430*** (4.01) | |||||
lang_ELE | -7.064*** (1.346) | |||||
控制变量 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 |
Country&year | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
R2 | 0.2603 | 0.5240 | 0.3632 | 0.5868 | 0.1733 | 0.3767 |
Gragg-Donald Wald F | 58.80 | 61.37 | 24.07 | |||
LM检验 | 26.312*** | 18.227*** | 31.613*** | |||
Sargan | 0.712 | 0.643 | 0.822 | |||
Durbin-Wu-Hausman | 3.281*** | 2.924*** | 6.642*** | |||
No. of Obs | 2638 | 2638 | 2551 | 2551 | 2628 | 2638 |
Tab.4 Endogeneity test: regression results of instrumental variables (IV-2SLS estimation)
IV:公元1500年遗传基因(Spolaore-Wacziarg) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
变量名 | (1)第一阶段 | (2)第二阶段 | (3)第一阶段 | (4)第二阶段 | (5)第一阶段 | (6)第二阶段 |
Gendist_nei_1500 | 0.000*** (0.000) | 0.000*** (0.000) | 0.000*** (0.000) | |||
rel_frac | -6.112*** (0.837) | |||||
eth_frac | -13.430*** (4.01) | |||||
lang_ELE | -7.064*** (1.346) | |||||
控制变量 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 |
Country&year | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
R2 | 0.2603 | 0.5240 | 0.3632 | 0.5868 | 0.1733 | 0.3767 |
Gragg-Donald Wald F | 58.80 | 61.37 | 24.07 | |||
LM检验 | 26.312*** | 18.227*** | 31.613*** | |||
Sargan | 0.712 | 0.643 | 0.822 | |||
Durbin-Wu-Hausman | 3.281*** | 2.924*** | 6.642*** | |||
No. of Obs | 2638 | 2638 | 2551 | 2551 | 2628 | 2638 |
变量名 | LSDV LnExport | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
rel_pol | -0.006 (0.057) | -0.246*** (0.074) | ||
eth_pol | -0.029*** (0.002) | -0.030*** (0.002) | ||
lang_div | -0.231*** (0.064) | -0.316*** (0.085) | ||
原有控制变量 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 |
Year&country | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
R2 | 0.8500 | 0.8510 | 0.8478 | 0.8505 |
No. Of Obs | 2405 | 1928 | 2756 | 1734 |
Tab.5 Robustness test: transform key interpretation variables
变量名 | LSDV LnExport | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
rel_pol | -0.006 (0.057) | -0.246*** (0.074) | ||
eth_pol | -0.029*** (0.002) | -0.030*** (0.002) | ||
lang_div | -0.231*** (0.064) | -0.316*** (0.085) | ||
原有控制变量 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 |
Year&country | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
R2 | 0.8500 | 0.8510 | 0.8478 | 0.8505 |
No. Of Obs | 2405 | 1928 | 2756 | 1734 |
变量 | (1) | (2) | (3) |
---|---|---|---|
LnExport | LnExport | LnExport | |
1998—2000年 | 2001—2017年 | 剔除金融危机时段 | |
rel_frac | -0.509 (0.570) | -0.303*** (0.087) | -0.333*** (0.092) |
eth_frac | -1.251* (0.705) | -0.538*** (0.103) | -0.607*** (0.108) |
lang_ELE | -2.314*** (0.666) | -0.649*** (0.087) | -0.670*** (0.091) |
原有控制变量 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 |
Year&country | Yes | Yes | Yes |
R2 | 0.9278 | 0.8501 | 0.8601 |
No. Of Obs | 99 | 2373 | 2350 |
Tab.6 Robustness test: sub sample test in different time periods
变量 | (1) | (2) | (3) |
---|---|---|---|
LnExport | LnExport | LnExport | |
1998—2000年 | 2001—2017年 | 剔除金融危机时段 | |
rel_frac | -0.509 (0.570) | -0.303*** (0.087) | -0.333*** (0.092) |
eth_frac | -1.251* (0.705) | -0.538*** (0.103) | -0.607*** (0.108) |
lang_ELE | -2.314*** (0.666) | -0.649*** (0.087) | -0.670*** (0.091) |
原有控制变量 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 |
Year&country | Yes | Yes | Yes |
R2 | 0.9278 | 0.8501 | 0.8601 |
No. Of Obs | 99 | 2373 | 2350 |
变量名 | (1) Instu | (2) LnExport | (3) Instu | (4) LnExport | (5) Instu | (6) LnExport |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
rel_frac | -0.401* (0.212) | -0.209* (0.120) | ||||
eth_frac | -0.082* (0.045) | -0.121** (0.061) | ||||
lang_ELE | -0.314*** (0.084) | -0.618*** (0.099) | ||||
Instu | 0.247** (0.125) | 0.184*** (0.051) | 0.464*** (0.116) | |||
原有控制变量 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 |
Year&country | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
R2 | 0.7339 | 0.7264 | 0.7303 | 0.7306 | 0.7346 | 0.7305 |
No. Of Obs | 2419 | 2419 | 2344 | 2344 | 2419 | 2419 |
中介效应值 | -0.099 | -0.015 | -0.146 | |||
中介效应占比 | 32.14% | 11.03% | 19.11% | |||
Bootstrap检验置信区间 | [-1.3866,-1.0265] | [-2.0651,-1.6888] | [-1.1655,-0.8031] |
Tab.7 Mechanism test: institutional mediating effect
变量名 | (1) Instu | (2) LnExport | (3) Instu | (4) LnExport | (5) Instu | (6) LnExport |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
rel_frac | -0.401* (0.212) | -0.209* (0.120) | ||||
eth_frac | -0.082* (0.045) | -0.121** (0.061) | ||||
lang_ELE | -0.314*** (0.084) | -0.618*** (0.099) | ||||
Instu | 0.247** (0.125) | 0.184*** (0.051) | 0.464*** (0.116) | |||
原有控制变量 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 |
Year&country | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
R2 | 0.7339 | 0.7264 | 0.7303 | 0.7306 | 0.7346 | 0.7305 |
No. Of Obs | 2419 | 2419 | 2344 | 2344 | 2419 | 2419 |
中介效应值 | -0.099 | -0.015 | -0.146 | |||
中介效应占比 | 32.14% | 11.03% | 19.11% | |||
Bootstrap检验置信区间 | [-1.3866,-1.0265] | [-2.0651,-1.6888] | [-1.1655,-0.8031] |
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