World Regional Studies ›› 2023, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (3): 17-27.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2023.03.20220043
Previous Articles Next Articles
Jingya XU1,2(), Zhouying SONG1,2()
Received:
2022-01-13
Revised:
2022-06-09
Online:
2023-03-15
Published:
2023-04-04
Contact:
Zhouying SONG
通讯作者:
宋周莺
作者简介:
徐婧雅(1998— ),女,硕士研究生,研究方向为经济地理与区域发展等,E-mail: xujy.20s@igsnrr.ac.cn。
基金资助:
Jingya XU, Zhouying SONG. The evolution of China's mobile phone export trade pattern and its influencing factors[J]. World Regional Studies, 2023, 32(3): 17-27.
徐婧雅, 宋周莺. 中国手机出口的时空格局演变及其影响因素[J]. 世界地理研究, 2023, 32(3): 17-27.
Add to citation manager EndNote|Ris|BibTeX
URL: https://sjdlyj.ecnu.edu.cn/EN/10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2023.03.20220043
变量类型 | 类别 | 变量名称 | 单位 | 均值 | 标准差 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
被解释变量 | — | 手机出口 | EXP | 百万美元 | 563.791 | 2 896.640 |
解释变量 | 供给 | 国内生产总值 | CGDP | 万亿元 | 62.855 | 23.884 |
国内人口总数 | CPOP | 亿 | 13.700 | 0.305 | ||
中国制造业劳动力价格 | Labor | 万元 | 4.940 | 1.951 | ||
中国R&D经费支出占比 | R&D | % | 1.927 | 0.286 | ||
需求 | 手机出口滞后一期项 | EXPt-1 | 百万美元 | — | — | |
世界各国国民生产总值 | GDP | 百亿美元 | 39.663 | 153.172 | ||
世界各国人口总数 | POP | 亿 | 0.349 | 1.102 | ||
中国对该国直接投资 | OFDI | 亿美元 | 52.789 | 584.250 | ||
贸易开放度 | OPEN | — | 0.651 | 0.404 | ||
全球治理指数 | WGI | — | 0.009 | 0.877 | ||
流通 | 首都间距离 | DIS | 千公里 | 8.750 | 3.863 | |
技术性贸易壁垒 | TBT | 次 | 0.646 | 3.590 |
Tab.1 Variable definition and descriptive statistics
变量类型 | 类别 | 变量名称 | 单位 | 均值 | 标准差 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
被解释变量 | — | 手机出口 | EXP | 百万美元 | 563.791 | 2 896.640 |
解释变量 | 供给 | 国内生产总值 | CGDP | 万亿元 | 62.855 | 23.884 |
国内人口总数 | CPOP | 亿 | 13.700 | 0.305 | ||
中国制造业劳动力价格 | Labor | 万元 | 4.940 | 1.951 | ||
中国R&D经费支出占比 | R&D | % | 1.927 | 0.286 | ||
需求 | 手机出口滞后一期项 | EXPt-1 | 百万美元 | — | — | |
世界各国国民生产总值 | GDP | 百亿美元 | 39.663 | 153.172 | ||
世界各国人口总数 | POP | 亿 | 0.349 | 1.102 | ||
中国对该国直接投资 | OFDI | 亿美元 | 52.789 | 584.250 | ||
贸易开放度 | OPEN | — | 0.651 | 0.404 | ||
全球治理指数 | WGI | — | 0.009 | 0.877 | ||
流通 | 首都间距离 | DIS | 千公里 | 8.750 | 3.863 | |
技术性贸易壁垒 | TBT | 次 | 0.646 | 3.590 |
指标 | 变量 | (1) 总体样本 | (2) 去除北美洲样本 | (3) 去除南美洲样本 | (4) 去除大洋洲样本 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
中国GDP值 | lnCGDP | 1.205 | 1.136 | 1.306 | 0.666 |
(1.311) | (1.306) | (1.368) | (1.323) | ||
中国人口总数 | lnCPOP | -2.422 | -2.497 | -2.188 | -1.524 |
(1.657) | (1.750) | (1.720) | (1.289) | ||
中国制造业劳动力价格 | lnLabor | -3.582** | -3.474** | -3.552** | -2.624* |
(1.854) | (1.944) | (1.921) | (1.644) | ||
中国R&D经费支出占比 | lnR&D | 2.699*** | 2.607*** | 2.848*** | 2.609*** |
(0.877) | (0.884) | (0.911) | (0.869) | ||
技术性贸易壁垒 | TBT | -0.075* | -0.077* | -0.073* | -0.079* |
(0.0 706) | (0.0 738) | (0.0 743) | (0.0 746) | ||
首都间距离 | lnDIS | -0.492 | -0.353 | -0.415 | -0.515 |
(0.579) | (0.466) | (0.535) | (0.542) | ||
手机出口滞后一期 | L.lnEXP | 0.163*** | 0.163*** | 0.182*** | 0.222** |
(0.0 940) | (0.0 916) | (0.0 980) | (0.103) | ||
世界各国GDP总值 | lnGDP | 0.586** | 0.617** | 0.557*** | 0.665** |
(0.266) | (0.263) | (0.287) | (0.260) | ||
世界各国人口总数 | lnPOP | 0.258* | 0.308* | 0.182* | 0.609* |
(0.839) | (0.831) | (0.848) | (0.799) | ||
贸易开放度 | lnOPEN | 0.277 | 0.297 | 0.211 | 0.281 |
(0.271) | (0.282) | (0.271) | (0.280) | ||
中国对外直接投资存量 | lnOFDI | -0.0 132 | -0.0 144 | -0.0 149 | -0.0 220 |
(0.0 415) | (0.0 417) | (0.0 455) | (0.0 443) | ||
全球治理指数 | WGI | 0.652* | 0.645* | 0.601* | 0.582* |
(0.425) | (0.433) | (0.445) | (0.393) |
Tab.2 The results of panel data model estimation
指标 | 变量 | (1) 总体样本 | (2) 去除北美洲样本 | (3) 去除南美洲样本 | (4) 去除大洋洲样本 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
中国GDP值 | lnCGDP | 1.205 | 1.136 | 1.306 | 0.666 |
(1.311) | (1.306) | (1.368) | (1.323) | ||
中国人口总数 | lnCPOP | -2.422 | -2.497 | -2.188 | -1.524 |
(1.657) | (1.750) | (1.720) | (1.289) | ||
中国制造业劳动力价格 | lnLabor | -3.582** | -3.474** | -3.552** | -2.624* |
(1.854) | (1.944) | (1.921) | (1.644) | ||
中国R&D经费支出占比 | lnR&D | 2.699*** | 2.607*** | 2.848*** | 2.609*** |
(0.877) | (0.884) | (0.911) | (0.869) | ||
技术性贸易壁垒 | TBT | -0.075* | -0.077* | -0.073* | -0.079* |
(0.0 706) | (0.0 738) | (0.0 743) | (0.0 746) | ||
首都间距离 | lnDIS | -0.492 | -0.353 | -0.415 | -0.515 |
(0.579) | (0.466) | (0.535) | (0.542) | ||
手机出口滞后一期 | L.lnEXP | 0.163*** | 0.163*** | 0.182*** | 0.222** |
(0.0 940) | (0.0 916) | (0.0 980) | (0.103) | ||
世界各国GDP总值 | lnGDP | 0.586** | 0.617** | 0.557*** | 0.665** |
(0.266) | (0.263) | (0.287) | (0.260) | ||
世界各国人口总数 | lnPOP | 0.258* | 0.308* | 0.182* | 0.609* |
(0.839) | (0.831) | (0.848) | (0.799) | ||
贸易开放度 | lnOPEN | 0.277 | 0.297 | 0.211 | 0.281 |
(0.271) | (0.282) | (0.271) | (0.280) | ||
中国对外直接投资存量 | lnOFDI | -0.0 132 | -0.0 144 | -0.0 149 | -0.0 220 |
(0.0 415) | (0.0 417) | (0.0 455) | (0.0 443) | ||
全球治理指数 | WGI | 0.652* | 0.645* | 0.601* | 0.582* |
(0.425) | (0.433) | (0.445) | (0.393) |
1 | RAO A, VAZQUEZ J. Identification of COVID-19 can be quicker through artificial intelligence framework using a mobile phone-based survey in the populations when cities/towns are under quarantine. Infection Control and Hospital Epidemiology, 2020,41(7):826-830. |
2 | 王倩倩, 杜德斌, 张杨, 等. 全球手机贸易网络演化特征研究. 世界地理研究, 2019, 28(2): 170-178. |
WANG Q, DU D, ZHANG Y, et al. Research on evolution characteristics of global mobilephone trade network. World Regional Studies, 2019, 28(2): 170-178. | |
3 | 刘清, 杨永春, 蒋小荣, 等. 手机全球贸易网络演化及供需匹配关系—基于复杂网络的社团分析. 经济地理, 2021, 41(3): 113-125. |
LIU Q, YANG Y, JIANG X, et al. Trade network evolution of global mobile phone and its supply-demand relationship: Based on community analysis of complex networks. Economic Geography, 2021, 41(3): 113-125. | |
4 | 王娜. 逆全球化背景下国产手机产品出口如何"逆"势突围—基于美国商务部向中兴通讯发出出口权限禁止令的思考. 对外经贸实务, 2018(7): 20-23. |
WANG N. Under the background of anti globalization, how to "break through" the domestic mobile phone export. Practice in Foreign Economic Relations and Trades, 2018(7): 20-23. | |
5 | DEDRICK J, KRAEMER L, LINDEN G. The distribution of value in the mobile phone supply chain. Telecommunications Policy, 2011, 35(6):505-521. |
6 | 刘清, 杨永春, 蒋小荣, 等. 基于全球价值链的全球化城市网络分析—以苹果手机供应商为例. 地理学报, 2021, 76(4): 870-887. |
LIU Q, YANG Y, JIANG X, et al. An analysis of the multidimensional globalizing city networks based on global value chain: A case study of iPhone suppliers. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2021, 76(4): 870-887. | |
7 | ZHOU J, LATORRE M. How FDI influences the triangular trade pattern among China, East Asia and the US? A CGE analysis of the sector of electronics in China. Economic Modelling, 2014, 44: S77-S88. |
8 | 沈玉良, 彭羽. 全球价值链视角下中国电子产品的技术复杂度提升了吗?:以智能手机为例. 世界经济研究, 2018(6): 23-35. |
SHEN Y, PENG Y. Have China's electronic products' technological sophistication improved? Take smart phone as an example. World Economy Studies, 2018(6): 23-35. | |
9 | WU H, CHEN C, CHEN L. Foreign trade in China's electronics industry. Eurasian Geography and Economics, 2007, 48(5): 626-642. |
10 | 梁虹谷. 中国对东盟手机出口贸易潜力研究. 北京: 商务部国际贸易经济合作研究院, 2019. |
LIANG H. Study on the potential of China' s mobile phone exports to ASEAN countries: Analysis based on the gravity model. Beijing: Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation, 2019. | |
11 | 聂方猛. 中国手机企业在泰国市场的国际竞争力分析. 昆明: 云南财经大学, 2018. |
NIE F. Study on international competitiveness of Chinese mobile phone enterprises in the Thailand market. Kunming: Yunnan University of Finance and Economics, 2018. | |
12 | 杜瑜, 宗会明. "一带一路"建设背景下重庆与东盟国家贸易格局演变和影响因素分析. 世界地理研究, 2020, 29(4): 697-707. |
DU Y, ZONG H. The evolution and influencing factors of spatial pattern of trade between Chongqing and ASEAN countries under the background of "The Belt and Road Initiative". World Regional Studies, 2020, 29(4): 697-707. | |
13 | 陈韬, 贺灿飞. 国际贸易地理研究进展. 地理科学进展, 2020, 39(10): 1732-1746. |
CHEN T, HE C. A review on geographies of international trade. Progress in Geography, 2020, 39(10): 1732-1746. | |
14 | 周升起, 吕蓉慧. 我国文化产品贸易国际竞争力及其影响因素研究—基于供给需求视角.价格月刊, 2019(7): 51-59. |
ZHOU S, LV R. Research on the international competitiveness of China' s cultural products trade and its influencing factors—Based on t he perspective of supply and demand. Prices Monthly, 2019(7): 51-59. | |
15 | SOLOAGA I, WINTERSB L A. Regionalism in the Nineties: What effect on trade? The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2001,12(1):1-29. |
16 | 柳哲, 杜梦琳. 劳动力价格变动对我国制造业出口的影响. 价格理论与实践, 2016(7): 85-88. |
LIU Z, DU M. The impact of labor cost rise on the export of China' s manufacturing industry. Price: Theory & Practice, 2016(7): 85-88. | |
17 | 沈亚军, 王宁. 技术创新对高新技术产品出口竞争力的影响. 企业经济, 2006(5):5-8. |
SHEN Y, WANG N. The influence of technological innovation on the export competitiveness of high-tech products. Enterprise Economy, 2006(5):5-8. | |
18 | 袁红林, 辛娜. 中国高端制造业的全球贸易网络格局及其影响因素分析. 经济地理, 2019, 39(6): 108-117. |
YUAN H, XIN N. Global trade network pattern and influencing factors of advanced manufacturing in China. Economic Geography, 2019, 39(6): 108-117. | |
19 | 尹鹏, 刘曙光, 段佩利, 等. 中国与小岛屿发展中国家贸易特征与影响因素. 经济地理, 2019, 39(3): 117-124. |
YIN P, LIU S, DUAN P, et al. Trade characteristics and its influencing factors between China and small island developing states. Economic Geography, 2019, 39(3): 117-124. | |
20 | 段德忠, 杜德斌. 全球高科技产品贸易结构演化及影响因素. 地理学报, 2020, 75(12): 2759-2776. |
DUAN D, DU D. Structural evolution of global high-tech trade system: Products, networks and influencing factors. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(12): 2759-2776. | |
21 | 党琴, 胡伟, 葛岳静, 等. 中国与南美洲国家地缘经济联系强度及其影响因素. 地理学报, 2020, 75(10): 2061-2075. |
DANG Q, HU W, GE Y, et al. Geo-economic linkages intensity and its influencing factors between China and South American countries. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(10): 2061-2075. | |
22 | 李海龙. 对外直接投资(OFDI)的出口效应研究: 文献综述. 南京财经大学学报, 2017(2): 26-35. |
LI H. A study on the export effect of outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) : A literature review. Journal of Nanjing University of Finance and Economics, 2017(2): 26-35. | |
23 | 郭界秀. 制度与贸易发展关系研究综述. 国际经贸探索, 2013, 29(4):85-94. |
GUO J. Literature review on the relationship between institution and trade development. International Economics And Trade Research, 2013, 29(4):85-94. | |
24 | 巫细波, 程风雨, 罗谷松."一带一路"沿线汽车市场时空变化特征及影响因素研究:基于2005—2017年面板数据. 世界地理研究, 2020, 29(4): 814-824. |
WU X, CHENG F, LUO G. Spatio-temporal characteristics and influencing factors of car markets along the Belt and Road, 2005-2017. World Regional Studies, 2020, 29(4): 814-824. | |
25 | 刘镇, 邱志萍, 朱丽萌. 海上丝绸之路沿线国家投资贸易便利化时空特征及对贸易的影响. 经济地理, 2018, 38(3): 11-20. |
LIU Z, QIU Z, ZHU L. The spatial-temporal feature of investment and trade facilitation and its impact on trade along the 21st-Century Maritime Silk Road. Economic Geography, 2018, 38(3): 11-20. | |
26 | 黄丽娜. 技术性贸易壁垒对中国机电产品出口东盟的影响研究. 南宁: 广西大学, 2018. |
HUANG L. A study on the impact of ASEAN's technical barriers to trade on Chinese electromechanical products export. Nanning: Guangxi University, 2018. | |
27 | KRIPFGANZ S, SCHWARZ C. Estimation of linear dynamic panel data models with time-invariant regressors. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2019, 34(4): 526-546. |
28 | 王炳焕, 张云帆. 传音手机对非洲出口的发展与前景. 对外经贸实务, 2019(5): 29-32. |
WANG B, ZHANG Y. The development and prospect of the export of voice phones to Africa. Practice in Foreign Economic Relations and Trade, 2019(5): 29-32. |
Viewed | ||||||
Full text |
|
|||||
Abstract |
|
|||||