主管单位:中国科学技术协会
主办单位:中国地理学会
承办单位:华东师范大学

World Regional Studies ›› 2021, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (6): 1297-1307.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2021.06.2020182

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The spatial distribution and evolution characteristics of the Muslim population in China

Xinxian WANG1(), Xiangdong GAO2,3()   

  1. 1.Institute of Urban and Demographic Studies, Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences, Shanghai 200020, China
    2.The Center for Modern Chinese City Studies, East China Normal University, Shanghai 200062, China
    3.School of Public Administration, East China Normal University, Shanghai 200062, China
  • Received:2020-04-01 Revised:2020-07-20 Online:2021-11-30 Published:2022-01-07
  • Contact: Xiangdong GAO

中国穆斯林人口空间分布及演变特征

王新贤1(), 高向东2,3()   

  1. 1.上海社会科学院城市与人口发展研究所,上海 200020
    2.华东师范大学中国现代城市研究中心,上海 200062
    3.华东师范大学公共管理学院,上海 200062
  • 通讯作者: 高向东
  • 作者简介:王新贤(1990-),男,助理研究员,研究方向为民族人口和社会保障,E-mail:wxinxian@sass.org.cn
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金重大项目(20&ZD171);国家社科基金青年项目(19CRK021);国家民委民族研究项目(2021-GMD-048)

Abstract:

Based on the data of six national censuses, this paper analyzes the spatial distribution and evolution characteristics of the county-level Muslim population in China by using spatial statistical analysis methods. The results show that: (1) The spatial distribution of Muslim population density in China is characterized by "patch-point-area" structure. The traditional agglomeration area is a high-value area of Muslim population. The sporadic high-value areas are mainly concentrated in the North China Plain, Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau, Liaohe Plain and the southeastern coastal areas, while the other areas in the country are low-value areas of Muslim population density. (2) The spatial distribution of Muslim population in China has a certain spatial correlation characteristics. It is a hot spot in Xinjiang, Ningxia Plain, Huangshui Valley, Yunnan and Guizhou provinces and Beijing. (3) The distribution of the Muslim population is highly unbalanced. With the development of the migration and spread of the Muslim population across the country, the degree of imbalance tends to weaken; the shift in the growth of the Muslim population among the major regions of China has experienced an increase first. In the process of declining and rapid growth, the Muslim population in various places has shown a trend of differentiated development. (4) The distribution and evolution of the Muslim population is affected by multiple factors such as the fertility level and population migration status. Differentiated fertility levels and population migration affect the spatial redistribution of the Muslim population.

Key words: Muslim population, spatial distribution pattern, spatial autocorrelation, shift share analysis

摘要:

基于六次全国人口普查数据资料,通过运用空间统计分析方法,对中国县级行政单元穆斯林人口的空间分布及演变特征进行分析。结果发现:(1)中国穆斯林人口密度的空间分布具有“片-点-区”的结构特征,即在穆斯林人口传统分布区形成高值片区,华北平原、云贵高原、辽河平原和东南沿海等区域形成零星分布的高值点区,在全国其他区域形成穆斯林人口密度低值区;(2)中国穆斯林人口空间分布具有一定的空间关联特征,在新疆、宁夏、青海东部、甘肃西南云贵两省交汇处及北京市等区域形成热点分布区;(3)穆斯林人口分布处于高度不均衡的状态,随着穆斯林人口向全国迁移扩散的发展,其不均衡程度趋于减弱;中国各大区之间的穆斯林人口偏移增长量经历了先增后减又迅速增长的过程,各地穆斯林人口表现出差异化发展趋势;(4)穆斯林人口分布及演变受生育水平和人口迁移状况等多种因素的综合影响,差异化的生育水平和人口迁移流动影响着穆斯林人口的空间再分布。

关键词: 穆斯林人口, 空间分布格局, 空间自相关, 偏移-分享分析