“21世纪海上丝绸之路”沿线国家绿色贸易格局的时空演变

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2023.10.20220445

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

绿色贸易是海上丝绸之路建设的重要组成部分之一，在延伸绿色产业链、引导绿色投资方向以及优化绿色产业布局等方面均发挥着重要的作用。基于有序聚类、中心度、贸易竞合关系等方法与模型，对2000—2019年“21世纪海上丝绸之路”沿线国家绿色贸易的地位及时空变化以及中国与域内国家绿色贸易竞争合作关系进行研究。结果表明：①从地位和空间结构来看，2000—2019年沿线国家绿色贸易地位在世界范围内有显著改善，区域绿色贸易的“多核心”空间结构进一步增强，东南亚一直处于“核心”梯队的主体地位。②从中国与沿线国家绿色贸易关系来看，中国长时期处于逆差状态，虽然竞争优势呈现逐年提升的趋势，但仍然较弱；中国与沿线国家之间的绿色贸易具有较强的互补性，产品结构逐步趋向更加合理。

关键词: “21世纪海上丝绸之路”, 绿色贸易, 时空演变, 贸易竞合模型

Abstract:

The green trade as one of the important content of green silk road construction, pays an important role in the extension of the green supply chain, guide the direction of the green investment and improve the green industry layout. Firstly, the green trade data of countries along the Silk Road from 2000 to 2019 are divided into four stages based on the ordered clustering method, and then the changes of regional status, intra-regional pattern and intra-regional competition and cooperation in global green trade in each stage are explored. The results show that :①From the perspective of global status and spatial structure, the global status of green trade of countries along the "sea line" has significantly increased from 2000 to 2019.The "multi-core" spatial structure of regional green trade is also becoming more and more obvious. Among them, Southeast Asia has been in the "core" echelon of the main position. ② From the perspective of the green trade structure between China and the countries along the "Silk Road", China's green trade deficit is unstable and in a long-term deficit state, and its external competitive advantage is increasing year by year, but it is still in a weak competitive advantage; However, the structure of green trade products between China and countries along the "Silk Road" is reasonable and highly complementary.

Key words: the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road, green trade, spatial-temporal evolution, the Cooperative and Competition Model of Trade

王来顺, 刘建忠, 张寅宝, 张欣佳. “21世纪海上丝绸之路”沿线国家绿色贸易格局的时空演变[J]. 世界地理研究, 2023, 32(10): 63-75.

Laishun WANG, Jianzhong LIU, Yinbao ZHANG, Xinjia ZHANG. Spatial-temporal evolution of green trade pattern in countries along "the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road"[J]. World Regional Studies, 2023, 32(10): 63-75.

图/表 9

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编码1	编码2	产品简介
44	441872	竹及竹制品
84	840290、840410、840420、840490、840690、841182、841199、841290、841780、841790、841919、841939、841960、841989、841990、842121、842129、842139、842199、847420、847982、847989、847990	锅炉、机器、械器具及其零件
85	850164、850231、850239、850300、850490、851410、851420、851430、851490、854140、854390	电机、电气设备及其零件
90	901380、901390、901580、902610、902620、902680、902690、902710、902720、902730、902750、902780、902790、903149、903180、903190、903289、903290、903300	光学、计量、检验仪器设备、精密仪器设备及其零部件、附件

编码1	编码2	产品简介
44	441872	竹及竹制品
84	840290、840410、840420、840490、840690、841182、841199、841290、841780、841790、841919、841939、841960、841989、841990、842121、842129、842139、842199、847420、847982、847989、847990	锅炉、机器、械器具及其零件
85	850164、850231、850239、850300、850490、851410、851420、851430、851490、854140、854390	电机、电气设备及其零件
90	901380、901390、901580、902610、902620、902680、902690、902710、902720、902730、902750、902780、902790、903149、903180、903190、903289、903290、903300	光学、计量、检验仪器设备、精密仪器设备及其零部件、附件

系数	第一阶段	第二阶段	第三阶段	第四阶段
中国绿色贸易TC系数	－0.413 3	－0.334 6	－0.070 1	0.050 2
其他“海丝”沿线国家绿色贸易TC系数	－0.296 5	－0.157 5	－0.103 1	－0.069 6
差值	－0.116 8	－0.177 1	0.033 0	0.119 8

系数	第一阶段	第二阶段	第三阶段	第四阶段
中国绿色贸易TC系数	－0.413 3	－0.334 6	－0.070 1	0.050 2
其他“海丝”沿线国家绿色贸易TC系数	－0.296 5	－0.157 5	－0.103 1	－0.069 6
差值	－0.116 8	－0.177 1	0.033 0	0.119 8

分类	排名	第一阶段	第二阶段	第三阶段	第四阶段
相对竞争优势	1	0.853 8（土耳其）	0.811 1（斯里兰卡）	0.624 0（泰国）	0.865 2（阿联酋）
	2	0.400 2（印度）	0.736 7（印度）	0.443 5（马来西亚）	0.826 8（沙特阿拉伯）
	3	0.276 1（希腊）	0.624 4（希腊）	0.383 7（意大利）	0.809 0（巴林）
相对竞争劣势	1	－0.809 2（意大利）	－0.738 0（韩国）	－0.713 0（韩国）	－0.598 0（韩国）
	2	－0.519 8（菲律宾）	－0.539 4（意大利）	－0.224 3（新加坡）	－0.255 2（新加坡）
	3	－0.463 8（韩国）	－0.441 2（菲律宾）	－0.203 1（菲律宾）	－0.106 5（意大利）