世界地理研究 ›› 2024, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (7): 139-149.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2024.07.20222103
• 城市与产业 • 上一篇
收稿日期:
2022-08-02
修回日期:
2023-01-17
出版日期:
2024-07-15
发布日期:
2024-07-16
通讯作者:
张荣荣
作者简介:
荣培君(1986—),女,博士,博士后,教授,主要研究方向为区域可持续发展,E-mail:rongpeijun@126.com。
基金资助:
Peijun RONG1,3(), Rongrong ZHANG2(), Xianhong ZHAO1
Received:
2022-08-02
Revised:
2023-01-17
Online:
2024-07-15
Published:
2024-07-16
Contact:
Rongrong ZHANG
摘要:
在全球气候变暖背景下,气候舒适度对旅游业的影响日益受到关注。根据中国1990—2020年的逐日气象数据,利用气候舒适度模型划分气候舒适区等级,探析中国气候舒适度的时空演变规律,进而通过灰色关联分析阐释气候舒适度对各省区国内和入境旅游人次的影响。研究结果表明:①中国气候舒适区的空间分布表现出明显的纬向分布规律,同时受地形影响也存在一定程度的经向倾斜,气候不舒适区的空间分布基本上受到胡焕庸线和阶梯分界线的“锁定”。②1990年以来,中国气候舒适度指数在大多数区域呈不明显下降趋势,中国气候整体上正朝着利于人居的舒适方向发展。③气候舒适度是影响大部分地区旅游市场的重要因素,青海、宁夏、甘肃、海南、北京五省市的旅游舒适度对旅游业的影响最为明显。
荣培君, 张荣荣, 赵现红. 中国气候舒适度时空演变及其对旅游业的影响[J]. 世界地理研究, 2024, 33(7): 139-149.
Peijun RONG, Rongrong ZHANG, Xianhong ZHAO. Spatial and temporal evolution of climate comfort index in China and its impact on tourism[J]. World Regional Studies, 2024, 33(7): 139-149.
级别 | 1级 | 2级 | 3级 | 4级 | 5级 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
SI | SI≤3.6 | 3.6<SI≤5.7 | 5.7<SI≤12.0 | 7.78<SI≤15.8 | SI>15.8 |
人体感觉 | 最舒适 | 较舒适 | 正常 | 较不舒适 | 最不舒适 |
表1 气候舒适度指数等级划分
Tab.1 Classification of climate comfort index
级别 | 1级 | 2级 | 3级 | 4级 | 5级 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
SI | SI≤3.6 | 3.6<SI≤5.7 | 5.7<SI≤12.0 | 7.78<SI≤15.8 | SI>15.8 |
人体感觉 | 最舒适 | 较舒适 | 正常 | 较不舒适 | 最不舒适 |
省市 | 酒店床位数 | 4A、5A景区数量 | 客运总量 | 城镇化率 | 人均GDP | 森林覆盖率 | 建成区绿化覆盖率 | 气候舒适度 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
北京 | 0.879 | 0.858 | 0.588 | 0.852 | 0.570 | 0.930 | 0.820 | 0.829 |
天津 | 0.655 | 0.734 | 0.810 | 0.654 | 0.821 | 0.663 | 0.710 | 0.649 |
河北 | 0.829 | 0.612 | 0.635 | 0.784 | 0.640 | 0.835 | 0.820 | 0.735 |
山西 | 0.760 | 0.783 | 0.788 | 0.701 | 0.811 | 0.693 | 0.708 | 0.685 |
内蒙古 | 0.867 | 0.690 | 0.712 | 0.762 | 0.749 | 0.756 | 0.756 | 0.743 |
辽宁 | 0.613 | 0.755 | 0.847 | 0.673 | 0.809 | 0.672 | 0.679 | 0.664 |
吉林 | 0.631 | 0.775 | 0.769 | 0.682 | 0.959 | 0.675 | 0.676 | 0.671 |
黑龙江 | 0.679 | 0.700 | 0.762 | 0.633 | 0.860 | 0.628 | 0.649 | 0.612 |
上海 | 0.739 | 0.830 | 0.742 | 0.760 | 0.906 | 0.929 | 0.788 | 0.742 |
江苏 | 0.752 | 0.803 | 0.759 | 0.700 | 0.862 | 0.723 | 0.675 | 0.657 |
浙江 | 0.657 | 0.723 | 0.822 | 0.622 | 0.747 | 0.614 | 0.638 | 0.605 |
安徽 | 0.720 | 0.754 | 0.866 | 0.717 | 0.818 | 0.699 | 0.712 | 0.690 |
福建 | 0.893 | 0.915 | 0.734 | 0.868 | 0.803 | 0.838 | 0.850 | 0.829 |
江西 | 0.728 | 0.756 | 0.687 | 0.685 | 0.805 | 0.662 | 0.671 | 0.649 |
山东 | 0.705 | 0.797 | 0.700 | 0.700 | 0.895 | 0.698 | 0.677 | 0.681 |
河南 | 0.689 | 0.771 | 0.821 | 0.701 | 0.907 | 0.674 | 0.679 | 0.644 |
湖北 | 0.817 | 0.904 | 0.717 | 0.804 | 0.955 | 0.813 | 0.805 | 0.790 |
湖南 | 0.796 | 0.850 | 0.721 | 0.792 | 0.918 | 0.766 | 0.765 | 0.747 |
广东 | 0.590 | 0.914 | 0.703 | 0.705 | 0.655 | 0.696 | 0.739 | 0.677 |
广西 | 0.838 | 0.879 | 0.890 | 0.877 | 0.674 | 0.847 | 0.800 | 0.792 |
海南 | 0.828 | 0.860 | 0.595 | 0.890 | 0.649 | 0.873 | 0.842 | 0.879 |
重庆 | 0.814 | 0.801 | 0.741 | 0.786 | 0.918 | 0.805 | 0.791 | 0.759 |
四川 | 0.661 | 0.722 | 0.782 | 0.689 | 0.696 | 0.663 | 0.715 | 0.641 |
贵州 | 0.850 | 0.898 | 0.643 | 0.814 | 0.771 | 0.831 | 0.793 | 0.766 |
云南 | 0.712 | 0.713 | 0.826 | 0.718 | 0.871 | 0.698 | 0.688 | 0.658 |
陕西 | 0.798 | 0.866 | 0.919 | 0.819 | 0.669 | 0.803 | 0.844 | 0.769 |
甘肃 | 0.718 | 0.611 | 0.646 | 0.855 | 0.665 | 0.838 | 0.755 | 0.881 |
青海 | 0.789 | 0.823 | 0.681 | 0.964 | 0.755 | 0.959 | 0.936 | 0.945 |
宁夏 | 0.953 | 0.870 | 0.651 | 0.940 | 0.794 | 0.946 | 0.948 | 0.924 |
新疆 | 0.829 | 0.612 | 0.635 | 0.784 | 0.640 | 0.835 | 0.820 | 0.735 |
表2 我国各省区旅游人次影响因素的灰色关联系数
Tab.2 Grey correlation coefficient of influencing factors of tourist arrivals in each province of China
省市 | 酒店床位数 | 4A、5A景区数量 | 客运总量 | 城镇化率 | 人均GDP | 森林覆盖率 | 建成区绿化覆盖率 | 气候舒适度 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
北京 | 0.879 | 0.858 | 0.588 | 0.852 | 0.570 | 0.930 | 0.820 | 0.829 |
天津 | 0.655 | 0.734 | 0.810 | 0.654 | 0.821 | 0.663 | 0.710 | 0.649 |
河北 | 0.829 | 0.612 | 0.635 | 0.784 | 0.640 | 0.835 | 0.820 | 0.735 |
山西 | 0.760 | 0.783 | 0.788 | 0.701 | 0.811 | 0.693 | 0.708 | 0.685 |
内蒙古 | 0.867 | 0.690 | 0.712 | 0.762 | 0.749 | 0.756 | 0.756 | 0.743 |
辽宁 | 0.613 | 0.755 | 0.847 | 0.673 | 0.809 | 0.672 | 0.679 | 0.664 |
吉林 | 0.631 | 0.775 | 0.769 | 0.682 | 0.959 | 0.675 | 0.676 | 0.671 |
黑龙江 | 0.679 | 0.700 | 0.762 | 0.633 | 0.860 | 0.628 | 0.649 | 0.612 |
上海 | 0.739 | 0.830 | 0.742 | 0.760 | 0.906 | 0.929 | 0.788 | 0.742 |
江苏 | 0.752 | 0.803 | 0.759 | 0.700 | 0.862 | 0.723 | 0.675 | 0.657 |
浙江 | 0.657 | 0.723 | 0.822 | 0.622 | 0.747 | 0.614 | 0.638 | 0.605 |
安徽 | 0.720 | 0.754 | 0.866 | 0.717 | 0.818 | 0.699 | 0.712 | 0.690 |
福建 | 0.893 | 0.915 | 0.734 | 0.868 | 0.803 | 0.838 | 0.850 | 0.829 |
江西 | 0.728 | 0.756 | 0.687 | 0.685 | 0.805 | 0.662 | 0.671 | 0.649 |
山东 | 0.705 | 0.797 | 0.700 | 0.700 | 0.895 | 0.698 | 0.677 | 0.681 |
河南 | 0.689 | 0.771 | 0.821 | 0.701 | 0.907 | 0.674 | 0.679 | 0.644 |
湖北 | 0.817 | 0.904 | 0.717 | 0.804 | 0.955 | 0.813 | 0.805 | 0.790 |
湖南 | 0.796 | 0.850 | 0.721 | 0.792 | 0.918 | 0.766 | 0.765 | 0.747 |
广东 | 0.590 | 0.914 | 0.703 | 0.705 | 0.655 | 0.696 | 0.739 | 0.677 |
广西 | 0.838 | 0.879 | 0.890 | 0.877 | 0.674 | 0.847 | 0.800 | 0.792 |
海南 | 0.828 | 0.860 | 0.595 | 0.890 | 0.649 | 0.873 | 0.842 | 0.879 |
重庆 | 0.814 | 0.801 | 0.741 | 0.786 | 0.918 | 0.805 | 0.791 | 0.759 |
四川 | 0.661 | 0.722 | 0.782 | 0.689 | 0.696 | 0.663 | 0.715 | 0.641 |
贵州 | 0.850 | 0.898 | 0.643 | 0.814 | 0.771 | 0.831 | 0.793 | 0.766 |
云南 | 0.712 | 0.713 | 0.826 | 0.718 | 0.871 | 0.698 | 0.688 | 0.658 |
陕西 | 0.798 | 0.866 | 0.919 | 0.819 | 0.669 | 0.803 | 0.844 | 0.769 |
甘肃 | 0.718 | 0.611 | 0.646 | 0.855 | 0.665 | 0.838 | 0.755 | 0.881 |
青海 | 0.789 | 0.823 | 0.681 | 0.964 | 0.755 | 0.959 | 0.936 | 0.945 |
宁夏 | 0.953 | 0.870 | 0.651 | 0.940 | 0.794 | 0.946 | 0.948 | 0.924 |
新疆 | 0.829 | 0.612 | 0.635 | 0.784 | 0.640 | 0.835 | 0.820 | 0.735 |
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