World Regional Studies ›› 2021, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (3): 443-453.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2021.03.2021165
Zhiding HU1,2,3(), Yuejing GE4, Debin DU1,2, Yuli LIU5,6
Received:
2021-01-10
Revised:
2021-03-10
Online:
2021-05-20
Published:
2021-06-08
胡志丁1,2,3(), 葛岳静4, 杜德斌1,2, 刘玉立5,6
作者简介:
胡志丁(1986-),研究员,博士生导师,主要从事全球化与地缘环境研究,E-mail:huzhiding2007@126.com。
基金资助:
Zhiding HU, Yuejing GE, Debin DU, Yuli LIU. China's geopolitical strategy on the way to the great rejuvenation: The National Neighborland Theory[J]. World Regional Studies, 2021, 30(3): 443-453.
胡志丁, 葛岳静, 杜德斌, 刘玉立. 走向伟大复兴的中国地缘战略:国家周边论[J]. 世界地理研究, 2021, 30(3): 443-453.
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URL: https://sjdlyj.ecnu.edu.cn/EN/10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2021.03.2021165
进出口贸易总额比重 | 2000 | 2005 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
同亚洲占比 | 0.58 | 0.57 | 0.53 | 0.52 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.52 | 0.52 |
同非洲占比 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
同欧洲占比 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 |
同拉丁美洲占比 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.07 |
同大洋洲占比 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.04 |
同北美洲占比 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 |
Tab.1 The proportion of total import and export trade between China and various regions in 2000-2018
进出口贸易总额比重 | 2000 | 2005 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
同亚洲占比 | 0.58 | 0.57 | 0.53 | 0.52 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.52 | 0.52 |
同非洲占比 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
同欧洲占比 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 |
同拉丁美洲占比 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.07 |
同大洋洲占比 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.04 |
同北美洲占比 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 |
战略环境 | 战略内涵 |
---|---|
全球地缘环境 | 按国家综合实力,全球正在由一超多强向两极格局转变;在全球经济贸易往来中,正在形成以北美、欧盟和中国与周边国家之间的三大地区经贸格局;全球化深化是以北美、欧盟和中国与周边国家之间的三大地区的一体化深化为助推的,而非全球层面。 |
地区地缘环境 | 长期以来,中国50%以上的对外贸易在亚洲地区;中国周边既是中国经济利益集中地区,也是矛盾冲突凸显地区;中国海陆兼备的特点和中国海军的实力,意味着中国权力辐射集中地区仍是中国周边地区。 |
博弈主体 | 中国与美国 |
博弈空间、领域与策略 | 中美全球大博弈,全领域竞争,但是空间仍集中于中国周边地区,竞争领域主要在科技与金融市场;美国实施对华的全政府战略,中国淡化政治军事冲突,突出经济领域合作,推动包容性全球化。 |
国家周边论 空间范围 | 小周边:与中国边境直接接壤的国家 大周边:中国权力辐射极限 |
实施措施 | 加快推进中国与周边国家之间的六大经济走廊建设,全面提升与周边国家之间的互联互通;夯实和深化与中国周边国家全领域的合作;搁置争议,以经济领域合作提升国家间的相互依赖与政治信任;确保在军事领域最为核心技术层面与美国抗衡实力 |
Tab.2 China’s geo-strategy: The connotation of the national neighborland theory
战略环境 | 战略内涵 |
---|---|
全球地缘环境 | 按国家综合实力,全球正在由一超多强向两极格局转变;在全球经济贸易往来中,正在形成以北美、欧盟和中国与周边国家之间的三大地区经贸格局;全球化深化是以北美、欧盟和中国与周边国家之间的三大地区的一体化深化为助推的,而非全球层面。 |
地区地缘环境 | 长期以来,中国50%以上的对外贸易在亚洲地区;中国周边既是中国经济利益集中地区,也是矛盾冲突凸显地区;中国海陆兼备的特点和中国海军的实力,意味着中国权力辐射集中地区仍是中国周边地区。 |
博弈主体 | 中国与美国 |
博弈空间、领域与策略 | 中美全球大博弈,全领域竞争,但是空间仍集中于中国周边地区,竞争领域主要在科技与金融市场;美国实施对华的全政府战略,中国淡化政治军事冲突,突出经济领域合作,推动包容性全球化。 |
国家周边论 空间范围 | 小周边:与中国边境直接接壤的国家 大周边:中国权力辐射极限 |
实施措施 | 加快推进中国与周边国家之间的六大经济走廊建设,全面提升与周边国家之间的互联互通;夯实和深化与中国周边国家全领域的合作;搁置争议,以经济领域合作提升国家间的相互依赖与政治信任;确保在军事领域最为核心技术层面与美国抗衡实力 |
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