World Regional Studies ›› 2020, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (6): 1125-1135.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2020.06.2019216
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Xian WANG1,2(), Binglin LIU1,2, Zhenke ZHANG1,2()
Received:
2019-05-16
Revised:
2020-07-25
Online:
2020-11-16
Published:
2021-01-12
Contact:
Zhenke ZHANG
通讯作者:
张振克
作者简介:
王贤(1993-),男,硕士研究生,主要从事城市与区域经济、战略与区域发展研究,E-mail:993346275@qq.com。
基金资助:
Xian WANG, Binglin LIU, Zhenke ZHANG. Analysis of the spatio-temporal distribution of Foreign Direct Investment in Africa and its influencing factors[J]. World Regional Studies, 2020, 29(6): 1125-1135.
王贤, 刘柄麟, 张振克. 非洲外商直接投资的时空变化与影响因素[J]. 世界地理研究, 2020, 29(6): 1125-1135.
变量 | 指标 | 均值 | 最大值 | 最小值 | 标准差 | 数据来源 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
解释变量 | 经济社会环境因素 | 经济发展水平lnGDP | 7.18 | 10.27 | 5.06 | 1.10 | 2006—2018非洲统计年鉴 |
对外开放度lnOPEN | 3.66 | 5.35 | 2.37 | 0.44 | 联合国统计司 | ||
聚集效应CFDI | 13.22 | 16.45 | -7.51 | 0.13 | 2018—2007全球投资报告 | ||
经济自由度lnFREE | 3.96 | 4.34 | 3.06 | 0.17 | 美国传统基金会 | ||
营商便利度lnBUSI | 4.85 | 5.25 | 2.83 | 0.43 | 全球营商环境报告 | ||
政治制度因素 | 清廉指数lnCPI | 3.38 | 4.17 | 0.69 | 0.35 | 透明国际组织 | |
民主权利VA 政治稳定性PS 政府效率GE 监督质量RQ 法制程度RL 腐败控制CC | -0.59 0.58 -0.74 -0.68 -0.67 -0.62 | 0.99 1.20 1.04 1.12 1.00 1.04 | -2.22 -2.70 -1.89 -2.27 -1.85 -1.83 | 0.73 0.87 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.61 | 世界银行WGI数据库* | ||
资源禀赋 | 劳动力禀赋lnLAB | 3.68 | 4.49 | 2.26 | 0.46 | 世界银行 | |
自然资源禀赋lnRENT | 2.06 | 4.15 | -6.77 | 1.59 | 世界银行 | ||
基础设施 | 电信lnTELE | 0.22 | 3.49 | -5.12 | 1.56 | 国际电信联盟 | |
被解释变量 | 人均外商直接投资FDI | 6.52 | 11.12 | 4.78 | 1.32 | 2007—2018非洲统计年鉴 |
Tab.1 Model variables and data sources
变量 | 指标 | 均值 | 最大值 | 最小值 | 标准差 | 数据来源 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
解释变量 | 经济社会环境因素 | 经济发展水平lnGDP | 7.18 | 10.27 | 5.06 | 1.10 | 2006—2018非洲统计年鉴 |
对外开放度lnOPEN | 3.66 | 5.35 | 2.37 | 0.44 | 联合国统计司 | ||
聚集效应CFDI | 13.22 | 16.45 | -7.51 | 0.13 | 2018—2007全球投资报告 | ||
经济自由度lnFREE | 3.96 | 4.34 | 3.06 | 0.17 | 美国传统基金会 | ||
营商便利度lnBUSI | 4.85 | 5.25 | 2.83 | 0.43 | 全球营商环境报告 | ||
政治制度因素 | 清廉指数lnCPI | 3.38 | 4.17 | 0.69 | 0.35 | 透明国际组织 | |
民主权利VA 政治稳定性PS 政府效率GE 监督质量RQ 法制程度RL 腐败控制CC | -0.59 0.58 -0.74 -0.68 -0.67 -0.62 | 0.99 1.20 1.04 1.12 1.00 1.04 | -2.22 -2.70 -1.89 -2.27 -1.85 -1.83 | 0.73 0.87 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.61 | 世界银行WGI数据库* | ||
资源禀赋 | 劳动力禀赋lnLAB | 3.68 | 4.49 | 2.26 | 0.46 | 世界银行 | |
自然资源禀赋lnRENT | 2.06 | 4.15 | -6.77 | 1.59 | 世界银行 | ||
基础设施 | 电信lnTELE | 0.22 | 3.49 | -5.12 | 1.56 | 国际电信联盟 | |
被解释变量 | 人均外商直接投资FDI | 6.52 | 11.12 | 4.78 | 1.32 | 2007—2018非洲统计年鉴 |
年份 | 区域内部差异贡献率 | 区域间差异贡献率 |
---|---|---|
2006 | 67.50% | 32.50% |
2007 | 85.68% | 14.32% |
2008 | 98.69% | 1.31% |
2009 | 93.10% | 6.90% |
2010 | 78.95% | 21.05% |
2011 | 88.03% | 11.97% |
2012 | 95.67% | 4.33% |
2013 | 96.89% | 3.11% |
2014 | 94.64% | 5.36% |
2015 | 89.58% | 10.42% |
2016 | 93.93% | 6.07% |
2017 | 89.05% | 10.95% |
Tab.2 Intra-regional and inter-regional contribution rate
年份 | 区域内部差异贡献率 | 区域间差异贡献率 |
---|---|---|
2006 | 67.50% | 32.50% |
2007 | 85.68% | 14.32% |
2008 | 98.69% | 1.31% |
2009 | 93.10% | 6.90% |
2010 | 78.95% | 21.05% |
2011 | 88.03% | 11.97% |
2012 | 95.67% | 4.33% |
2013 | 96.89% | 3.11% |
2014 | 94.64% | 5.36% |
2015 | 89.58% | 10.42% |
2016 | 93.93% | 6.07% |
2017 | 89.05% | 10.95% |
年份 | 北非 | 西非 | 中非 | 东非 | 南部非洲 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2006 | 20.52% | 38.45% | 15.64% | 4.24% | 21.14% |
2007 | 17.69% | 47.22% | 15.03% | 4.11% | 15.94% |
2008 | 9.23% | 59.80% | 19.63% | 8.40% | 2.94 % |
2009 | 5.05% | 70.66% | 10.09% | 7.44% | 6.77 % |
2010 | 1.72% | 62.13% | 7.18% | 3.04% | 25.93% |
2011 | 16.74% | 53.72% | 5.02% | 2.01% | 22.51% |
2012 | 1.90% | 62.64% | 4.14% | 1.61% | 29.70% |
2013 | 2.67% | 65.53% | 0.79% | 0.69% | 30.32% |
2014 | 3.40% | 70.86% | 5.73% | 0.96% | 19.06% |
2015 | 6.76% | 60.41% | 8.92% | 1.21% | 22.71% |
2016 | 2.84% | 67.58% | 11.38% | 3.11% | 15.08% |
2017 | 6.71% | 61.22% | 3.59% | 2.59% | 25.90% |
Tab.3 Contribution rate of intra-regional differences to regional differences in Africa
年份 | 北非 | 西非 | 中非 | 东非 | 南部非洲 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2006 | 20.52% | 38.45% | 15.64% | 4.24% | 21.14% |
2007 | 17.69% | 47.22% | 15.03% | 4.11% | 15.94% |
2008 | 9.23% | 59.80% | 19.63% | 8.40% | 2.94 % |
2009 | 5.05% | 70.66% | 10.09% | 7.44% | 6.77 % |
2010 | 1.72% | 62.13% | 7.18% | 3.04% | 25.93% |
2011 | 16.74% | 53.72% | 5.02% | 2.01% | 22.51% |
2012 | 1.90% | 62.64% | 4.14% | 1.61% | 29.70% |
2013 | 2.67% | 65.53% | 0.79% | 0.69% | 30.32% |
2014 | 3.40% | 70.86% | 5.73% | 0.96% | 19.06% |
2015 | 6.76% | 60.41% | 8.92% | 1.21% | 22.71% |
2016 | 2.84% | 67.58% | 11.38% | 3.11% | 15.08% |
2017 | 6.71% | 61.22% | 3.59% | 2.59% | 25.90% |
变量 | 北非 | 东非 | 南非 | 西非 | 中非 | 非洲 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CFDI | -0.00171** | -0.00002 | 0.000371 | 0.00053* | 0.0025* | 0.0001 |
lnRENT | -11.075 | 4.717 | 60.812*** | -5.486 | -33.528* | 15.076*** |
lnLAB | 60.064 | 15.681 | -54.047 | 125.914*** | -70.127 | -49.207** |
lnFREE | 85.402 | -36.122 | 38.155 | -19.016 | -75.186 | -1.697 |
lnCPI | 61.053 | 52.875*** | 56.053* | -25.884*** | -2.467 | 22.594** |
lnGDP | 50.070 | 11.179*** | 50.338*** | -17.251** | 30.690 | 11.723** |
lnOPEN | -45.735 | 9.011 | -3.518 | -24.303*** | -15.957 | 8.030 |
-lnBUSI | 40.799 | -5.982 | -0.764 | -21.029 | -0.196 | -5.640 |
VA | -44.479** | 1.812 | 63.430 | -8.242 | -9.114 | -24.93*** |
PS | 21.611 | -18.224*** | -19.083 | -13.510*** | 16.411 | -6.882*** |
GE | 67.362 | 12.962 | 67.759** | -22.140*** | -68.807 | -3.364*** |
RQ | 1.580 | 26.702 | 72.276** | 15.883 | -45.320 | 19.712*** |
RL | 27.354 | -7.640 | -109.369** | 38.454*** | 28.057 | 49.060*** |
CC | 77.024 | -7.179 | -146.190*** | -9.320 | 75.424** | -14.334** |
lnTELE | 8.912 | 1.490 | 15.897* | -1.045 | 0.463 | 0.1317 |
样本量 | 72 | 120 | 108 | 192 | 120 | 612 |
Adjust R2 | 0.669 | 0.881 | 0.890 | 0.707 | 0.727 | 0.811 |
F统计值 (P值) | 8.182 (0.000) | 37.659 (0.000) | 38.505 (0.000) | 16.329 (0.000) | 14.188 (0.000) | 41.246 (0.000) |
Tab.4 Location factors affecting FDI entering Africa from 2006 to 20017
变量 | 北非 | 东非 | 南非 | 西非 | 中非 | 非洲 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CFDI | -0.00171** | -0.00002 | 0.000371 | 0.00053* | 0.0025* | 0.0001 |
lnRENT | -11.075 | 4.717 | 60.812*** | -5.486 | -33.528* | 15.076*** |
lnLAB | 60.064 | 15.681 | -54.047 | 125.914*** | -70.127 | -49.207** |
lnFREE | 85.402 | -36.122 | 38.155 | -19.016 | -75.186 | -1.697 |
lnCPI | 61.053 | 52.875*** | 56.053* | -25.884*** | -2.467 | 22.594** |
lnGDP | 50.070 | 11.179*** | 50.338*** | -17.251** | 30.690 | 11.723** |
lnOPEN | -45.735 | 9.011 | -3.518 | -24.303*** | -15.957 | 8.030 |
-lnBUSI | 40.799 | -5.982 | -0.764 | -21.029 | -0.196 | -5.640 |
VA | -44.479** | 1.812 | 63.430 | -8.242 | -9.114 | -24.93*** |
PS | 21.611 | -18.224*** | -19.083 | -13.510*** | 16.411 | -6.882*** |
GE | 67.362 | 12.962 | 67.759** | -22.140*** | -68.807 | -3.364*** |
RQ | 1.580 | 26.702 | 72.276** | 15.883 | -45.320 | 19.712*** |
RL | 27.354 | -7.640 | -109.369** | 38.454*** | 28.057 | 49.060*** |
CC | 77.024 | -7.179 | -146.190*** | -9.320 | 75.424** | -14.334** |
lnTELE | 8.912 | 1.490 | 15.897* | -1.045 | 0.463 | 0.1317 |
样本量 | 72 | 120 | 108 | 192 | 120 | 612 |
Adjust R2 | 0.669 | 0.881 | 0.890 | 0.707 | 0.727 | 0.811 |
F统计值 (P值) | 8.182 (0.000) | 37.659 (0.000) | 38.505 (0.000) | 16.329 (0.000) | 14.188 (0.000) | 41.246 (0.000) |
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