World Regional Studies ›› 2023, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (3): 124-135.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2023.03.2020926
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Received:
2020-12-31
Revised:
2021-04-26
Online:
2023-03-15
Published:
2023-04-04
Contact:
Meijuan HU
通讯作者:
胡美娟
作者简介:
李在军(1989—),男,副教授,博士研究生,研究方向为区域经济发展,E-mail:958163533@qq.com。
基金资助:
Zaijun LI, Meijuan HU. Spatial-temporal evolution and formation mechanism of ecological well-being performance in Jiangsu Province[J]. World Regional Studies, 2023, 32(3): 124-135.
李在军, 胡美娟. 江苏省生态福利绩效时空演化及影响机制研究[J]. 世界地理研究, 2023, 32(3): 124-135.
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URL: https://sjdlyj.ecnu.edu.cn/EN/10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2023.03.2020926
一级指标 | 二级指标 | 三级指标 |
---|---|---|
投入 | 土地资源消耗 | 人均建成区面积(X1) |
水资源消耗 | 人均用水量(X2) | |
能源资源消耗 | 人均能源消费量(X3) | |
非期望产出 | 废水排放量 | 人均工业废水排放量(Y1)、人均生活污水排放量(Y2) |
工业废气排放量 | 人均工业废气排放量(Y3) | |
固体废弃物产生量 | 人均固体废弃物产生量(Y4) | |
期望产出 | 经济水平 | 人均可支配收入(Z1) |
教育水平 | 人均受教育年限(Z2) | |
医疗服务水平 | 万人医生数(Z3)、万人医院数(Z4)、万人床位数(Z5) |
Tab.1 Indicator system of ecological well-being performance evaluation
一级指标 | 二级指标 | 三级指标 |
---|---|---|
投入 | 土地资源消耗 | 人均建成区面积(X1) |
水资源消耗 | 人均用水量(X2) | |
能源资源消耗 | 人均能源消费量(X3) | |
非期望产出 | 废水排放量 | 人均工业废水排放量(Y1)、人均生活污水排放量(Y2) |
工业废气排放量 | 人均工业废气排放量(Y3) | |
固体废弃物产生量 | 人均固体废弃物产生量(Y4) | |
期望产出 | 经济水平 | 人均可支配收入(Z1) |
教育水平 | 人均受教育年限(Z2) | |
医疗服务水平 | 万人医生数(Z3)、万人医院数(Z4)、万人床位数(Z5) |
自变量 | 符号 | 计算方法 | 单位 |
---|---|---|---|
城市化 | URB | 城镇人口/常住人口 | % |
经济增长 | PGDP | 地区生产总值/常住人口 | 万元/人 |
消费水平 | CON | 社会消费品零售额/常住人口 | 元/人 |
产业结构 | STR | 第三产业增加值/第二产业增加值 | % |
外商投资 | FDI | 外商直接投资额/社会固定投资总额 | % |
能源强度 | ENR | 能源消费量/GDP | 吨标准煤/万元 |
人口密度 | PD | 常住人口/城市面积 | 人/km2 |
Tab.2 Influencing factors of urban ecological well-being performance
自变量 | 符号 | 计算方法 | 单位 |
---|---|---|---|
城市化 | URB | 城镇人口/常住人口 | % |
经济增长 | PGDP | 地区生产总值/常住人口 | 万元/人 |
消费水平 | CON | 社会消费品零售额/常住人口 | 元/人 |
产业结构 | STR | 第三产业增加值/第二产业增加值 | % |
外商投资 | FDI | 外商直接投资额/社会固定投资总额 | % |
能源强度 | ENR | 能源消费量/GDP | 吨标准煤/万元 |
人口密度 | PD | 常住人口/城市面积 | 人/km2 |
自变量 | 基准回归 | 固定效应 | 动态面板回归 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
模型1 | 模型2 | 模型3 | 模型4 | 模型5 | 模型6 | 模型7 | 模型8 | 模型9 | |
EWP_2 | 0.320*** (12.28) | 0.249*** (5.85) | 0.576*** (23.34) | 0.400*** (35.72) | 0.510*** (20.21) | 0.456*** (22.13) | 0.488*** (22.31) | 0.421*** (13.69) | 0.455*** (31.37) |
lnURB | 0.213 (1.04) | 0.234 (1.39) | -0.102*** (-2.96) | -0.232*** (-3.58) | -0.239*** (-4.49) | 0.078 (1.21) | 0.108 (0.79) | 0.113 (0.76) | 0.192* (1.85) |
lnURB2 | 0.318** (2.69) | 0.056 (0.31) | 0.563 (0.46) | 0.143* (1.72) | 0.221*** (3.54) | 0.219*** (4.42) | 0.216*** (4.42) | 0.216*** (3.98) | 0.321*** (5.24) |
lnPGDP | -0.130* (-1.79) | -0.539*** (-3.21) | 0.141*** (5.23) | -0.245*** (-6.79) | -0.232*** (-7.32) | -0.142*** (-3.87) | -0.145*** (-4.42) | -0.156*** (-4.74) | |
lnCON | 0.321*** (5.12) | 0.531*** (4.56) | 0.631*** (20.45) | 0.553*** (18.74) | 0.442*** (18.34) | 0.432*** (17.25) | 0.419*** (16.13) | ||
lnSTR | 0.321*** (5.23) | 0.212*** (3.19) | 0.212*** (5.42) | 0.325*** (5.23) | 0.289*** (4.04) | 0.301*** (5.10) | |||
lnFDI | -0.234** (-2.56) | -0.032 (-0.56) | -0.432*** (-3.43) | -0.034*** (-3.21) | -0.119*** (-4.13) | ||||
lnENR | -0.031 (-0.89) | 0.021 (0.12) | -0.168*** (-4.73) | -0.124*** (-4.43) | |||||
lnPD | 0.132** (2.31) | -0.120 (-0.11) | 0.063** (2.59) | ||||||
_cons | -0.134** (-2.35) | 0.126 (0.44) | 0.152*** (5.32) | 0.432*** (10.11) | 0.126*** (4.55) | -0.232*** (-4.63) | -0.128*** (-3.43) | -0.032 (-1.43) | -0.279*** (-3.56) |
AR(1) | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
AR(2) | 0.123 | 0.119 | 0.111 | 0.105 | 0.116 | 0.107 | 0.105 | 0.126 | 0.127 |
Sargan | 0.121 | 0.140 | 0.122 | 0.135 | 0.113 | 0.145 | 0.138 | 0.115 | 0.129 |
Tab.3 Results of panel regression taking urbanization as the core variable
自变量 | 基准回归 | 固定效应 | 动态面板回归 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
模型1 | 模型2 | 模型3 | 模型4 | 模型5 | 模型6 | 模型7 | 模型8 | 模型9 | |
EWP_2 | 0.320*** (12.28) | 0.249*** (5.85) | 0.576*** (23.34) | 0.400*** (35.72) | 0.510*** (20.21) | 0.456*** (22.13) | 0.488*** (22.31) | 0.421*** (13.69) | 0.455*** (31.37) |
lnURB | 0.213 (1.04) | 0.234 (1.39) | -0.102*** (-2.96) | -0.232*** (-3.58) | -0.239*** (-4.49) | 0.078 (1.21) | 0.108 (0.79) | 0.113 (0.76) | 0.192* (1.85) |
lnURB2 | 0.318** (2.69) | 0.056 (0.31) | 0.563 (0.46) | 0.143* (1.72) | 0.221*** (3.54) | 0.219*** (4.42) | 0.216*** (4.42) | 0.216*** (3.98) | 0.321*** (5.24) |
lnPGDP | -0.130* (-1.79) | -0.539*** (-3.21) | 0.141*** (5.23) | -0.245*** (-6.79) | -0.232*** (-7.32) | -0.142*** (-3.87) | -0.145*** (-4.42) | -0.156*** (-4.74) | |
lnCON | 0.321*** (5.12) | 0.531*** (4.56) | 0.631*** (20.45) | 0.553*** (18.74) | 0.442*** (18.34) | 0.432*** (17.25) | 0.419*** (16.13) | ||
lnSTR | 0.321*** (5.23) | 0.212*** (3.19) | 0.212*** (5.42) | 0.325*** (5.23) | 0.289*** (4.04) | 0.301*** (5.10) | |||
lnFDI | -0.234** (-2.56) | -0.032 (-0.56) | -0.432*** (-3.43) | -0.034*** (-3.21) | -0.119*** (-4.13) | ||||
lnENR | -0.031 (-0.89) | 0.021 (0.12) | -0.168*** (-4.73) | -0.124*** (-4.43) | |||||
lnPD | 0.132** (2.31) | -0.120 (-0.11) | 0.063** (2.59) | ||||||
_cons | -0.134** (-2.35) | 0.126 (0.44) | 0.152*** (5.32) | 0.432*** (10.11) | 0.126*** (4.55) | -0.232*** (-4.63) | -0.128*** (-3.43) | -0.032 (-1.43) | -0.279*** (-3.56) |
AR(1) | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
AR(2) | 0.123 | 0.119 | 0.111 | 0.105 | 0.116 | 0.107 | 0.105 | 0.126 | 0.127 |
Sargan | 0.121 | 0.140 | 0.122 | 0.135 | 0.113 | 0.145 | 0.138 | 0.115 | 0.129 |
自变量 | 基准回归 | 固定效应 | 动态面板回归 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
模型10 | 模型11 | 模型12 | 模型13 | 模型14 | 模型15 | 模型16 | 模型17 | 模型18 | |
EWP_2 | 0.532*** (12.89) | 0.239*** (6.93) | 0.605*** (20.34) | 0.552*** (13.55) | 0.636*** (30.62) | 0.521*** (31.98) | 0.420*** (32.57) | 0.467*** (15.64) | 0.442*** (21.34) |
lnPGDP | -0.321*** (-3.13) | 0.346*** (3.05) | -0.189*** (-4.89) | -0.132*** (-5.52) | -0.292*** (-5.46) | 0.238*** (3.06) | 0.257*** (3.33) | 0.178* (1.65) | 0.245** (2.51) |
lnPGDP2 | 0.201 (1.26) | -0.143 (-0.67) | 0.156*** (4.27) | 0.296*** (7.45) | -0.101 (-0.79) | 0.371*** (3.56) | 0.307*** (4.46) | 0.312*** (4.78) | 0.337*** (3.57) |
lnURB | -0.521** (-2.34) | -0.471** (-2.36) | -0.218*** (-8.48) | -0.204*** (-9.43) | -0.269*** (-9.78) | -0.236*** (-6.39) | -0.170*** (-5.98) | -0.145*** (-5.12) | |
lnCON | 0.242*** (6.72) | 0.546*** (3.67) | 0.427*** (13.43) | 0.521*** (15.42) | 0.562*** (20.22) | 0.349*** (9.76) | 0.378*** (8.32) | ||
lnSTR | 0.134*** (4.35) | 0.340*** (5.35) | 0.389*** (9.35) | 0.335*** (9.11) | 0.310*** (8.34) | 0.368*** (9.14) | |||
lnFDI | -0.002* (-1.95) | -0.043 (-1.23) | -0.054*** (-3.03) | -0.069*** (-3.44) | -0.153*** (-4.92) | ||||
lnENR | -0.134 (-1.45) | -0.068 (-0.25) | -0.153*** (-3.45) | -0.103*** (-2.88) | |||||
lnPD | 0.045 (1.02) | 0.103 (0.49) | 0.047 (1.23) | ||||||
_cons | -0.321* (-1.88) | -0.144 (-0.94) | 0.261*** (10.43) | 0.203*** (9.35) | 0.138 (1.42) | -0.133*** (-5.71) | -0.215*** (-4.53) | -0.213** (-2.63) | -0.245*** (-3.80) |
AR(1) | 0.000 | 0.003 | 0.006 | 0.005 | 0.001 | 0.005 | 0.003 | 0.001 | 0.001 |
AR(2) | 0.134 | 0.142 | 0.452 | 0.378 | 0.623 | 0.652 | 0.323 | 0.147 | 0.131 |
Sargan | 0.110 | 0.121 | 0.131 | 0.122 | 0.133 | 0.103 | 0.115 | 0.122 | 0.146 |
Tab.4 Results of panel regression taking economic development as the core variable
自变量 | 基准回归 | 固定效应 | 动态面板回归 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
模型10 | 模型11 | 模型12 | 模型13 | 模型14 | 模型15 | 模型16 | 模型17 | 模型18 | |
EWP_2 | 0.532*** (12.89) | 0.239*** (6.93) | 0.605*** (20.34) | 0.552*** (13.55) | 0.636*** (30.62) | 0.521*** (31.98) | 0.420*** (32.57) | 0.467*** (15.64) | 0.442*** (21.34) |
lnPGDP | -0.321*** (-3.13) | 0.346*** (3.05) | -0.189*** (-4.89) | -0.132*** (-5.52) | -0.292*** (-5.46) | 0.238*** (3.06) | 0.257*** (3.33) | 0.178* (1.65) | 0.245** (2.51) |
lnPGDP2 | 0.201 (1.26) | -0.143 (-0.67) | 0.156*** (4.27) | 0.296*** (7.45) | -0.101 (-0.79) | 0.371*** (3.56) | 0.307*** (4.46) | 0.312*** (4.78) | 0.337*** (3.57) |
lnURB | -0.521** (-2.34) | -0.471** (-2.36) | -0.218*** (-8.48) | -0.204*** (-9.43) | -0.269*** (-9.78) | -0.236*** (-6.39) | -0.170*** (-5.98) | -0.145*** (-5.12) | |
lnCON | 0.242*** (6.72) | 0.546*** (3.67) | 0.427*** (13.43) | 0.521*** (15.42) | 0.562*** (20.22) | 0.349*** (9.76) | 0.378*** (8.32) | ||
lnSTR | 0.134*** (4.35) | 0.340*** (5.35) | 0.389*** (9.35) | 0.335*** (9.11) | 0.310*** (8.34) | 0.368*** (9.14) | |||
lnFDI | -0.002* (-1.95) | -0.043 (-1.23) | -0.054*** (-3.03) | -0.069*** (-3.44) | -0.153*** (-4.92) | ||||
lnENR | -0.134 (-1.45) | -0.068 (-0.25) | -0.153*** (-3.45) | -0.103*** (-2.88) | |||||
lnPD | 0.045 (1.02) | 0.103 (0.49) | 0.047 (1.23) | ||||||
_cons | -0.321* (-1.88) | -0.144 (-0.94) | 0.261*** (10.43) | 0.203*** (9.35) | 0.138 (1.42) | -0.133*** (-5.71) | -0.215*** (-4.53) | -0.213** (-2.63) | -0.245*** (-3.80) |
AR(1) | 0.000 | 0.003 | 0.006 | 0.005 | 0.001 | 0.005 | 0.003 | 0.001 | 0.001 |
AR(2) | 0.134 | 0.142 | 0.452 | 0.378 | 0.623 | 0.652 | 0.323 | 0.147 | 0.131 |
Sargan | 0.110 | 0.121 | 0.131 | 0.122 | 0.133 | 0.103 | 0.115 | 0.122 | 0.146 |
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