World Regional Studies ›› 2024, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (2): 123-135.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2024.02.20220163
Wen LI1,2,3(), Desheng LI4, Hao HU1,2(), Senlin HU1,2
Received:
2022-03-13
Revised:
2022-07-09
Online:
2024-02-15
Published:
2024-02-29
Contact:
Hao HU
李文1,2,3(), 李德升4, 胡浩1,2(), 胡森林1,2
通讯作者:
胡浩
作者简介:
李文(1999—),女,硕士研究生,研究方向为经济地理学,E-mail:51203902025@stu.ecnu.edu.cn。
基金资助:
Wen LI, Desheng LI, Hao HU, Senlin HU. The spatial pattern and influencing factors of the pension industry in Yangtze River Delta[J]. World Regional Studies, 2024, 33(2): 123-135.
李文, 李德升, 胡浩, 胡森林. 长三角地区养老产业发展水平格局及影响因素研究[J]. 世界地理研究, 2024, 33(2): 123-135.
一级指标 | 二级指标 | 具体企业 |
---|---|---|
老年护理领域 | 养老照顾服务企业 | 居家、社区、机构养老照顾服务企业 |
养老公共管理企业 | 政府养老管理服务和养老社会组织服务相关企业 | |
老年医疗卫生服务企业 | 老年疾病诊疗、康复护理等医疗卫生服务企业 | |
老年金融领域 | 养老金融服务企业 | 老年商业保险、商业养老保险、养老理财服务、养老金信托、养老债券等相关企业 |
老年社会保障服务企业 | 老年相关保险、老年人社会救助、慈善服务、社会福利、彩票公益金服务等相关企业 | |
老年用品领域 | 老年健康促进与社会参与企业 | 老年旅游、健康养生、文化娱乐、运动休闲等企业 |
老年用品及相关产品制造企业 | 老年食品、用品、药品、休闲娱乐产品、保健产品等制造企业 | |
老年用品及相关产品销售/租赁企业 | 老年用品及相关产品销售、老年相关产品租赁企业 | |
养老设施建设企业 | 养老设施建设、改造及装修维修、适老化及无障碍改造等 | |
新兴领域 | 养老教育培训和人力资源服务企业 | 养老教育和技能培训、老年教育、养老人力资源服务等企业 |
养老科技和智慧养老服务企业 | 养老科技和智慧养老服务等相关企业 | |
其他养老服务企业 | 养老传媒服务、老年法律服务和法律援助、养老相关展览服务等养老企业 |
Tab.1 Evaluation index system of the development of pension industry
一级指标 | 二级指标 | 具体企业 |
---|---|---|
老年护理领域 | 养老照顾服务企业 | 居家、社区、机构养老照顾服务企业 |
养老公共管理企业 | 政府养老管理服务和养老社会组织服务相关企业 | |
老年医疗卫生服务企业 | 老年疾病诊疗、康复护理等医疗卫生服务企业 | |
老年金融领域 | 养老金融服务企业 | 老年商业保险、商业养老保险、养老理财服务、养老金信托、养老债券等相关企业 |
老年社会保障服务企业 | 老年相关保险、老年人社会救助、慈善服务、社会福利、彩票公益金服务等相关企业 | |
老年用品领域 | 老年健康促进与社会参与企业 | 老年旅游、健康养生、文化娱乐、运动休闲等企业 |
老年用品及相关产品制造企业 | 老年食品、用品、药品、休闲娱乐产品、保健产品等制造企业 | |
老年用品及相关产品销售/租赁企业 | 老年用品及相关产品销售、老年相关产品租赁企业 | |
养老设施建设企业 | 养老设施建设、改造及装修维修、适老化及无障碍改造等 | |
新兴领域 | 养老教育培训和人力资源服务企业 | 养老教育和技能培训、老年教育、养老人力资源服务等企业 |
养老科技和智慧养老服务企业 | 养老科技和智慧养老服务等相关企业 | |
其他养老服务企业 | 养老传媒服务、老年法律服务和法律援助、养老相关展览服务等养老企业 |
变量 | 2014年 | 2019年 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OLS | SLM | SEM | OLS | SLM | SEM | ||
Moran’s I | 0.138* | -0.232* | |||||
x1 | 0.126** | 0.125** | 0.141*** | 0.264 | 0.276 | 0.302** | |
x2 | 0.032 | 0.032 | 0.021 | -0.159* | -0.169* | -0.102 | |
x3 | 0.1*** | 0.1*** | 0.099*** | 0.023* | 0.036* | -0.009 | |
x4 | -0.104*** | -0.104*** | -0.122*** | -0.305 | -0.305 | -0.325*** | |
x5 | 0.049* | 0.049* | 0.058* | 0.023* | 0.02* | 0.040 | |
x6 | 0.030 | 0.030 | 0.030 | 0.403* | 0.393* | 0.337*** | |
x7 | -0.010 | -0.010 | -0.001 | 0.096* | 0.081* | 0.119* | |
x8 | -0.051* | -0.05* | -0.058** | -0.149* | -0.162* | -0.161*** | |
Constant | 0.118*** | 0.117*** | 0.12*** | 0.264*** | 0.332*** | 0.268*** | |
W_s(ρ) | 0.004 | -0.167 | |||||
LAMBDA(λ) | -0.432* | -0.505* | |||||
R-squared | 0.640 | 0.640 | 0.662 | 0.520 | 0.536 | 0.566 | |
logL | 90.40 | 90.40 | 90.99 | 54.92 | 55.52 | 56.02 | |
AIC | -162.80 | -160.80 | -163.98 | -91.85 | -91.05 | -94.05 | |
SC | -147.38 | -143.67 | -148.55 | -76.43 | -73.91 | -78.63 |
Tab.2 Regression results of influencing factors of the pension industries' entire development in YRD
变量 | 2014年 | 2019年 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OLS | SLM | SEM | OLS | SLM | SEM | ||
Moran’s I | 0.138* | -0.232* | |||||
x1 | 0.126** | 0.125** | 0.141*** | 0.264 | 0.276 | 0.302** | |
x2 | 0.032 | 0.032 | 0.021 | -0.159* | -0.169* | -0.102 | |
x3 | 0.1*** | 0.1*** | 0.099*** | 0.023* | 0.036* | -0.009 | |
x4 | -0.104*** | -0.104*** | -0.122*** | -0.305 | -0.305 | -0.325*** | |
x5 | 0.049* | 0.049* | 0.058* | 0.023* | 0.02* | 0.040 | |
x6 | 0.030 | 0.030 | 0.030 | 0.403* | 0.393* | 0.337*** | |
x7 | -0.010 | -0.010 | -0.001 | 0.096* | 0.081* | 0.119* | |
x8 | -0.051* | -0.05* | -0.058** | -0.149* | -0.162* | -0.161*** | |
Constant | 0.118*** | 0.117*** | 0.12*** | 0.264*** | 0.332*** | 0.268*** | |
W_s(ρ) | 0.004 | -0.167 | |||||
LAMBDA(λ) | -0.432* | -0.505* | |||||
R-squared | 0.640 | 0.640 | 0.662 | 0.520 | 0.536 | 0.566 | |
logL | 90.40 | 90.40 | 90.99 | 54.92 | 55.52 | 56.02 | |
AIC | -162.80 | -160.80 | -163.98 | -91.85 | -91.05 | -94.05 | |
SC | -147.38 | -143.67 | -148.55 | -76.43 | -73.91 | -78.63 |
变量 | 老年护理 | 老年金融 | 老年用品 | 新兴领域 |
---|---|---|---|---|
x1 | 0.181*** | 0.043** | 0.033 | 0.048 |
x2 | -0.092*** | -0.013 | -0.001 | 0.009 |
x3 | 0.036* | 0.040*** | -0.046 | -0.045* |
x4 | -0.110** | -0.039** | -0.069 | -0.095** |
x5 | 0.019 | -0.002 | 0.013 | 0.032 |
x6 | 0.093*** | 0.042*** | 0.138*** | 0.064* |
x7 | 0.020 | -0.015* | 0.013 | 0.094*** |
x8 | -0.017 | -0.008 | -0.07** | -0.075*** |
Constant | 0.068*** | 0.021** | 0.024*** | 0.063*** |
LAMBDA(λ) | -0.571* | -0.946*** | -0.074 | -0.968*** |
R-squared | 0.552 | 0.726 | 0.298 | 0.567 |
Tab.3 Regression results of influencing factors of the four sectors development in YRD in 2019
变量 | 老年护理 | 老年金融 | 老年用品 | 新兴领域 |
---|---|---|---|---|
x1 | 0.181*** | 0.043** | 0.033 | 0.048 |
x2 | -0.092*** | -0.013 | -0.001 | 0.009 |
x3 | 0.036* | 0.040*** | -0.046 | -0.045* |
x4 | -0.110** | -0.039** | -0.069 | -0.095** |
x5 | 0.019 | -0.002 | 0.013 | 0.032 |
x6 | 0.093*** | 0.042*** | 0.138*** | 0.064* |
x7 | 0.020 | -0.015* | 0.013 | 0.094*** |
x8 | -0.017 | -0.008 | -0.07** | -0.075*** |
Constant | 0.068*** | 0.021** | 0.024*** | 0.063*** |
LAMBDA(λ) | -0.571* | -0.946*** | -0.074 | -0.968*** |
R-squared | 0.552 | 0.726 | 0.298 | 0.567 |
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