Research progress and theoretical reflection on agricultural trade and its influencing factors

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2025.05.20240088

Abstract

Abstract:

Agricultural trade plays a vital role in integrating market resources and supporting the transformation and improvement of agriculture. Based on relevant journal literature in the field of agricultural product trade and its influencing factors from 2003 to 2023, we conducted an analysis on the publishing institutions, authors, hot topics and theoretical applications. The findings indicate that: ①There has been a growing number of studies on agricultural product trade and its influencing factors. These studies have yielded fruitful research results, but there is a need to enhance cooperation among scholars in this field; ②The key themes in this field cover influencing factors, research indicators, econometric models, trade policies and international environments, in which the dominant influencing factors can be categorized into: trade scale, trade structure, trade competitiveness, trade environment and agricultural environment; ③In terms of thematic evolution, research has shown a trend of diversification of subjects and dimensions. Domestic research focuses on traditional factors like economy, policy and system, while foreign research focuses more on food security, climate change, carbon emissions and other real issues;④In terms of theoretical reflection, most existing research relies on simple trade and economic theories such as comparative advantage, and lacks integration of multidisciplinary theories like political economy, institutional economics and cultural economics, and there are fewer discussions based on geographic factors, effects, structure and other geographic perspectives. Future research needs to strengthen the combination of qualitative and quantitative methods, focusing on agricultural trade in developing countries, agricultural weak countries, and regional cooperation organizations. At the same time, attention should be paid to more detailed types of agricultural products, and attempts should be made to integrate multidimensional factors such as geography, politics, and culture into the research.

Key words: agricultural product trade, influencing factors, bibliometrics, CiteSpace

摘要：

农产品贸易对整合市场资源、推动农业转型升级具有关键作用。基于2003—2023年间国内外农产品贸易及影响因素领域的相关期刊文献，分析文献发表数量、发表机构、作者来源、热点演变、理论应用等情况，结果发现：①国内外农产品贸易及影响因素领域研究成果不断积累，但学者间合作强度仍有待加强；②该领域包括农产品贸易的影响因素、研究指标与计量模型、贸易政策与国际环境等多方面的研究主题，其中，主要影响因素包括贸易规模、贸易结构、贸易竞争力、贸易环境和农业环境等；③在主题演变方面，研究呈现主体与维度多样化趋势，国内研究多关注传统经济与政策制度等，国外研究更聚焦于粮食安全、气候变化、碳排放等现实议题；④在理论反思方面，现有研究大多过度依赖比较优势等简单贸易经济理论，缺乏政治经济学、制度经济学、文化经济学等多学科的理论融合，且基于地理因素、地理效应、地理结构等地理视角的探讨较少。未来农产品贸易及影响因素研究需要加强定性与定量方法的结合，关注发展中国家、农业薄弱国以及区域合作组织框架下的农产品贸易，同时注重细化农产品种类，并尝试将地理、政治、文化等多维因素融入研究。

关键词: 农产品贸易, 影响因素, 文献计量, CiteSpace

Yuxin ZHU, Wenwan JIN, Xiongbin LIN, Shengjun ZHU. Research progress and theoretical reflection on agricultural trade and its influencing factors[J]. World Regional Studies, 2025, 34(5): 33-48.

朱雨欣, 金文纨, 林雄斌, 朱晟君. 农产品贸易及影响因素研究进展与理论反思[J]. 世界地理研究, 2025, 34(5): 33-48.

Figures/Tables 8

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文种	序号	机构	发文量/篇
中文文献	1	中国农业大学	113
	2	中国农业科学院	64
	3	南京农业大学	47
	4	中国社会科学院	40
	5	新疆农业大学	40
英文文献	1	Chinese Academy of Sciences	85
	2	International Food Policy Research Institute	45
	3	Michigan State University	39
	4	French National Institute for Agricultural Research	34
	5	Czech University of Life Sciences	18

文种	序号	机构	发文量/篇
中文文献	1	中国农业大学	113
	2	中国农业科学院	64
	3	南京农业大学	47
	4	中国社会科学院	40
	5	新疆农业大学	40
英文文献	1	Chinese Academy of Sciences	85
	2	International Food Policy Research Institute	45
	3	Michigan State University	39
	4	French National Institute for Agricultural Research	34
	5	Czech University of Life Sciences	18

聚类编号	中文文献		英文文献
聚类编号	聚类名称	关键主题词	聚类名称	关键主题词
#0	农产品贸易	农产品贸易、农产品、中国、农产品对外贸易	agricultural trade	agricultural trade, export, food security, globalization
#1	产业内贸易	产业内贸易、农产品、g-l指数、农产品贸易	gravity model	gravity model, factors, dynamic gravity model, efficiency
#2	cms模型	cms模型、农产品出口、出口贸易、中国农产品	influencing factors	influencing factors, agro-food, impact, economic growth
#3	影响因素	影响因素、驱动因素、因子分析、因素分析	food security	food security, biodiversity, pesticide, food standard
#4	引力模型	引力模型、贸易潜力、随机前沿引力模型、贸易效率	conservation policy	conservation policy, emission, resource, diversity
#5	农业合作	农业合作、“一带一路”、粮食安全、互补性	food self-efficiency	food self-sufficiency, agricultural production, food market, indicators
#6	制约因素	制约因素、动因、应对策略、限制性因素	climate change	climate change, productivity, food security, challenge
#7	国际竞争力	国际竞争力、rac指数、ms指数、tc指数	emerging powers	emerging powers, emerging economies, food and agriculture sector, agricultural cooperation
#8	农产品价格	农产品价格、价格波动、市场整合、传递效应	futures markets	futures markets, price changes, demand, supply chain
#9	比较优势	比较优势、比较研究、互补性、竞争性	agricultural policy	agricultural policy, WTO, trade policy, impact assessment

聚类编号	中文文献		英文文献
聚类编号	聚类名称	关键主题词	聚类名称	关键主题词
#0	农产品贸易	农产品贸易、农产品、中国、农产品对外贸易	agricultural trade	agricultural trade, export, food security, globalization
#1	产业内贸易	产业内贸易、农产品、g-l指数、农产品贸易	gravity model	gravity model, factors, dynamic gravity model, efficiency
#2	cms模型	cms模型、农产品出口、出口贸易、中国农产品	influencing factors	influencing factors, agro-food, impact, economic growth
#3	影响因素	影响因素、驱动因素、因子分析、因素分析	food security	food security, biodiversity, pesticide, food standard
#4	引力模型	引力模型、贸易潜力、随机前沿引力模型、贸易效率	conservation policy	conservation policy, emission, resource, diversity
#5	农业合作	农业合作、“一带一路”、粮食安全、互补性	food self-efficiency	food self-sufficiency, agricultural production, food market, indicators
#6	制约因素	制约因素、动因、应对策略、限制性因素	climate change	climate change, productivity, food security, challenge
#7	国际竞争力	国际竞争力、rac指数、ms指数、tc指数	emerging powers	emerging powers, emerging economies, food and agriculture sector, agricultural cooperation
#8	农产品价格	农产品价格、价格波动、市场整合、传递效应	futures markets	futures markets, price changes, demand, supply chain
#9	比较优势	比较优势、比较研究、互补性、竞争性	agricultural policy	agricultural policy, WTO, trade policy, impact assessment

类别	具体影响因素	因素定义	中文文献出现频次	英文文献出现频次
贸易规模	需求规模	人口规模、人均收入水平、消费者购买力	237	95
贸易规模	供给规模	生产能力、生产方式、耕地面积	33	47
贸易结构	产品结构	产品种类、产品多样性	33	50
贸易结构	市场结构	市场集中度	47	41
贸易竞争力	产品竞争力	产品质量、产品价格、产品创新性、品牌形象	98	84
贸易竞争力	市场竞争力	市场份额、市场运作规范性	30	55
贸易环境	政策制度环境	贸易壁垒、贸易保护政策、区域合作组织	190	146
	法律法规环境	食品安全标准、知识产权保护、农业支持保护	29	69
	经济金融环境	国家经济体量、经济自由度、汇率	235	140
	自然社会环境	地理距离、文化差异、消费偏好	158	74
农业环境	生态环境	气候变化、耕地面积、水资源含量	63	141
农业环境	基础设施环境	生产基础设施、交通基础设施、网络基础设施	47	65