Spatial correlations and influencing factors on informatization level and technological innovation capability: A case study of Guangdong Province

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2025.08.20230138

Abstract

Abstract:

Information & communication technologies(ICTs) and regional innovation capabilities(RICs) have a very close relationship.It is necessary to describe the spatio-temporal relationship between ICTs and RICs from the perspective of spatial econometric analysis.In this study, the authors use the factor analysis method, spatial auto-correlation analysis, geographic detector and other quantitative research methods and spatial analysis to deeply explore the spatio-temporal correlations between the ICTs level and RICs and the factors influencing technological innovation capability in Guangdong Province at city-level. There are four main conclusions from this research: ①In general, the informationization level and technological innovation capability in Guangdong Province show an overall enhancement, but the internal imbalance is large.②In terms of spatial correlation, there is a significant positive spatial correlation between informatization level and technological innovation capability in Guangdong Province, with "HH" clusters and "LL" clusters as the main ones.③There is a spatial diffusion effect of informationization level and technological innovation capability in Guangdong Province, but the diffusion effect only occurs in local regions. ④from the perspective of influencing factors, the level of informatization has a promoting effect on the difference of scientific and technological innovation ability in Guangdong Province, and the level of economic development, industrial base, human capital, R&D investment, education level and urbanization level can affect regional innovation ability by improving the level of informatization.

Key words: informatization level, technological innovation capability, spatial correlation, influencing factors, Guangdong Province

摘要：

以广东省各市为研究对象，运用因子分析法、空间自相关分析、地理探测器等分析方法，深入探究广东省区域信息化水平与科技创新的空间关联性及科技创新能力的影响因素。结果表明：①总体上看，广东省信息化水平与科技创新能力呈现增强趋势，但内部不平衡性较大。②从空间关联上看，广东省信息化水平和科技创新能力发展存在显著的空间正相关性，以HH集聚和LL集聚为主。③广东省信息化水平和科技创新能力在各地市之间存在空间扩散效应，但该扩散效应只发生在局部区域。④从影响因素来看，信息化水平对广东省科技创新能力具有促进作用，且经济发展水平、工业产业基础、人力资本、研发投入、教育水平和城镇化水平均能通过提高信息化水平来影响区域创新能力。

关键词: 信息化水平, 科技创新能力, 空间关联, 影响因素, 广东省

Yuanping FANG, Feng ZHANG, Feng LIU, Wenxin LU. Spatial correlations and influencing factors on informatization level and technological innovation capability: A case study of Guangdong Province[J]. World Regional Studies, 2025, 34(8): 170-182.

方远平, 张峰, 刘凤, 陆文心. 信息化水平与科技创新能力的空间关联性及影响因素研究[J]. 世界地理研究, 2025, 34(8): 170-182.

Figures/Tables 10

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总指数	分类指数	代号	指标
信息化水平	基础设施指数	X1	移动电话普及率/(部/人)
		X2	互联网宽带接入用户数/万户
		X3	信息产业基础设施总投资占固定投资比重/%
	应用指数	X4	人均邮电业务量/万元
	应用指数	X5	人均函件/(件/人)
	知识指数	X6	每万人在校大学生数/万人
	知识指数	X7	每万人专利授权数/万人
	环境与效果指数	X8	信息产业增加值占GDP的比重/%
		X9	信息产业研究与开发经费占GDP的比重/%
		X10	人均GDP/ (元/人)
	信息消费指数	X11	人均电信业务消费量/ (元/人)

总指数	分类指数	代号	指标
信息化水平	基础设施指数	X1	移动电话普及率/(部/人)
		X2	互联网宽带接入用户数/万户
		X3	信息产业基础设施总投资占固定投资比重/%
	应用指数	X4	人均邮电业务量/万元
	应用指数	X5	人均函件/(件/人)
	知识指数	X6	每万人在校大学生数/万人
	知识指数	X7	每万人专利授权数/万人
	环境与效果指数	X8	信息产业增加值占GDP的比重/%
		X9	信息产业研究与开发经费占GDP的比重/%
		X10	人均GDP/ (元/人)
	信息消费指数	X11	人均电信业务消费量/ (元/人)

总指标	分类指标	代号	指标/单位
科技创新能力	科技创新投入	Y1	R&D人员的全时当量/人年
		Y2	R&D活动经费投入/亿元
		Y3	政府财政科技支出占GDP比重/ %
	科技创新环境	Y4	全年固定资产投资/亿元
		Y5	教育经费占财政总支出的比重/%
		Y6	高等学校数/所
	科技创新产出	Y7	高新技术企业/个
		Y8	发明专利授权数/件
		Y9	高新技术企业新产品产值/元

总指标	分类指标	代号	指标/单位
科技创新能力	科技创新投入	Y1	R&D人员的全时当量/人年
		Y2	R&D活动经费投入/亿元
		Y3	政府财政科技支出占GDP比重/ %
	科技创新环境	Y4	全年固定资产投资/亿元
		Y5	教育经费占财政总支出的比重/%
		Y6	高等学校数/所
	科技创新产出	Y7	高新技术企业/个
		Y8	发明专利授权数/件
		Y9	高新技术企业新产品产值/元

年份	Moran’s Ⅰ指数	p 值	z 得分	年份	Moran’s Ⅰ指数	p 值	z 得分
2010	0.415	0.014	3.458	2016	0.455	0.004	3.727
2011	0.431	0.009	3.429	2017	0.473	0.004	3.881
2012	0.449	0.007	3.656	2018	0.469	0.006	3.712
2013	0.472	0.010	3.468	2019	0.457	0.003	3.757
2014	0.448	0.008	3.611	2020	0.436	0.007	3.485
2015	0.440	0.007	3.692