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主管单位:中国科学技术协会
主办单位:中国地理学会
承办单位:华东师范大学

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    15 March 2024, Volume 33 Issue 3 Previous Issue   

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    Temporal and spatial pattern evolution and dynamic mechanism of American overseas military bases
    Xumao LI, Tao LI, Zukun LONG
    2024, 33(3): 1-14.  DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2024.03.20222056
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    Overseas military bases, a very important strategic fulcrum, are the forefront of a country's military operations and safeguarding national interests outside the country. In different periods, the contraction and expansion of overseas military bases can reflect the country's space strategy and growth laws. This paper analyzes the evolution of the space-time pattern of military bases outside the United States from the end of the 19th century to the present, summarizes the existing organizational models, and reveals the internal dynamics of the evolution of overseas bases. The study finds that the evolution of military bases outside the United States has gone through five major stages. The first stage is the slow westward extension of the Pacific Ocean, the second stage is to accelerate the eastward entry into the Atlantic Ocean, the third stage is the east-west expansion in both directions, the fourth stage is an extensive global layout, and the fifth stage is a comprehensive reduction and layout adjustment. In the process, the spatial location of military bases outside the United States has formed three main types,including island type, continental coastal type and inland type. The overseas military bases of the United States have realized the coverage of key strategic channels in the world, and the military radiation to major countries and important sea areas through the coordination of base groups and the configuration of forces and arms. Finally, based on the military, political, and economic dimensions, this paper reveals the dynamic mechanism of the evolution of the military base structure outside the United States from the aspects of national homeland security, geostrategic evolution, diplomatic relations with major countries, and energy and transportation.

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    The research on the management strategies of environmental protection and human activities for the Fildes Peninsula in Antarctica
    Xuefeng LI, Chen MA, Qi YUE, Jing YU, Xiangguo ZHANG, Xin TENG
    2024, 33(3): 15-28.  DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2024.03.20220466
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    In view of the intensification of global climate change and the increase of polar human activities, the Antarctic and its ecosystem are facing unprecedented changes. The continuing concern of the international community to mitigate and adapt to these changes has prompted an ongoing call for an ecosystem-based approach to manage human activities in the Antarctic. In many sea areas around the world, Marine Spatial Planning has become an effective way to transform this concept into management practice, which could be a new tool for the comprehensive management of polar oceans. The Fildes Peninsula is the largest ice-free area in the Antarctic, which is characterised by high density of scientific research stations, abundant human activities and rich biodiversity. It is an ideal research area for the study of Antarctic ecological conservation, human activities and spatial management. Combining with the 36th Chinese Antarctic scientific expedition, the environmental characteristics of Fildes Peninsula, such as natural environment, biological distribution and regional protection, were systematically summarised; the main human activities and their environmental impacts, such as Antarctic station-based activities, Antarctic tourism, sea and air traffic, and commercial fishing were briefly analysed. On this basis, a practical study of Marine Spatial Planning on the Fildes Peninsula was carried out, and a zoning system consisting of 3 "first-level functional zones" and 10 "second-level functional zones" was proposed to realize effective protection of fragile ecological environment and scientific management of human activities in the Antarctic. It provides reference for the application of marine spatial planning in larger scale and wider scope in the Antarctic region.

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    The geopolitical circle structure of Arctic Passage and competition cooperation relationship between relative countries
    Chunjuan WANG, Dahai LIU, Yuting HUA, Chenglong LI
    2024, 33(3): 29-39.  DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2024.03.20222100
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    The Arctic Passage connects the most strategic and economically developed regions in the world, and its opening is of great strategic significance. The geodetic region of Arctic Passage can be considered from three dimensions: Arctic region, in-flight buffer, and route extension area. Based on the geodetic influence region of the Arctic Passage, this paper summarizes the globalization and grouping characteristics of the geopolitical pattern of the Arctic Passage. Based on the combination of distance and shipping income, this paper explores the combination of political actors based on countries, and puts forward the stereoscopic circle layer structure of the geopolitical pattern of the Arctic Passage: A five-tier structure inside out with different interests and positions centered on the Arctic Ocean. On the basis of the analysis of the shipping interests, propositions and policy systems of each circle structure, the relationship between the internal and external cooperation and competition among the circles is discussed. The analysis shows how to balance the inner-most Arctic Passage Coastal States' claims of "Internal hydration" and the institutionalized jurisdiction with the freedom of navigation in other circles will be the focus of future games, the competition and cooperation among and within the circles will gradually change with the change of resources and interests and the promotion of the process.

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    Evolution of China's critical metal nickel trade pattern from the perspective of industry chain
    Ke WANG, Qifan XIA
    2024, 33(3): 40-55.  DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2024.03.20220083
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    Though China is the world's largest producer of nickel products, its nickel resources are scarce. Under the background of "carbon neutrality", competition among countries around critical metals such as nickel is becoming increasingly fierce, since the development of strategic emerging industries and low-carbon energy technologies are highly dependent on those metals. This article deeply explores the trade pattern of China's nickel resource industrial chain to improve the control of the industrial chain. We analyzed the evolutionary features of the pattern of China's foreign trade in nickel resource products based on the relevant product trade data from 2001 to 2020, import dependence, diversification index and interdependence model. Our research shows: (1) China's nickel resource industry has the following problems: extremely low reserves, outstanding contradiction between supply and demand, and extremely high external dependence. (2) China's position in the global value chain of nickel resources products is gradually rising. China mainly imports upstream nickel ore and concentrate products with low added value and exports midstream and downstream products with higher added value. The import market is highly concentrated and the path dependence has increased, while the export market is gradually decentralized and the path dependence has weakened. (3) China's dominant position in the interdependence pattern of global nickel resources trade has been strengthened, mainly in the trade of downstream products. However, the maintenance and expansion of China's advantage in nickel resources trade is under great pressure with the strong release of Indonesia's production capacity and the impact of anti-dumping sanctions from relevant trading countries (regions). Based on this, China should focus on the investment and development of overseas nickel resources in the future, promote the construction of regional supply chains, and hedge the risks arising from China's large imports of upstream products from these countries by strengthening the dependence of the main upstream product importing countries (regions) on the middle and downstream products of China's nickel industry chain.

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    Governing cross-border regions: History, characteristics, and implications from the European Union
    Ying WANG, Wanyun YING, Xiaolong LUO
    2024, 33(3): 56-69.  DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2024.03.20222442
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    The recent development of globalization and regionalization has witnessed the emergence of a new form of regional governance - cross-border cooperation. The European Union hosts some of the most representative cross-border regions and provides good examples of cross-border region-building. In this paper, we review the institutionalization process of cross-border cooperation in the EU (formerly European Community), focusing on how multilevel governance was structured and how relevant policy packages were formulated and played out on the ground. Based on key actors involved in and main characteristics of cross-border institutionalization, we divide the process of cross-border cooperation into four phases: initiation (characterized by cross-border spatial planning), growth (characterized by cross-border legal frameworks), expansion (characterized by INTERREG initiatives) and deepened cooperation (characterized by the EU Cohesion Policy and multilevel governance). Spatial, legal, and economic issues were the priorities of different phases, leaving national sovereignty as the main hurdle for further institutional integration. Drawing on the lessons from the EU and the observations in the Yangtze River Delta, we made several suggestions on how the Yangtze River Delta would build its own cross-boundary regions. Although regions in the Yangtze River Delta are not separated by hard borders and are thus free from most political issues faced by EU cross-border regions, they encountered many spatial, economic, and institutional issues in regional development that are similar to EU cross-border regions. We, therefore, suggest a couple of aspects that they can learn from the EU cross-border development, including the establishment of project-based cooperation platforms supported by stable funding, the inclusion of multiple stakeholders in multilevel governance, particularly grassroots governments and cross-boundary organizations, and the promotion of cooperation between adjacent regions. We hope these suggestions would further contribute to the development of regional cooperation in China, which may extend from cross-boundary cooperation between neighbors to multifaceted cooperation and multilevel governance.

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    The root causes of Serbia's position in the Ukrainian crisis: An explanation based on intergroup emotion theory
    Shuo WANG, Nannan XIE
    2024, 33(3): 70-78.  DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2024.03.20222075
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    With the continuous escalation of the Ukrainian crisis, many European countries have imposed sanctions on Russia, only Serbia has become the "European island" in the wave of anti-Russia. As a candidate country that has been seeking formal accession to the EU, its position of supporting Russia is worth further investigation. At the same time, there is tension between the explanation provided by the mainstream rational choice theory and the reality of the event. The group emotion theory provides a more appropriate analytical framework. Specifically, the political basic sentiment in Serbia shapes the basic direction of its preference for the Ukrainian crisis. The political immediate sentiment mobilized by the Vucic government further deepens the pro-Russian complex of its domestic people. And the contrast between Russia and the European and American emotional evaluation methods of Serbia leads to Serbia's official preference for the Ukrainian crisis supporting the EU verbally, but actually leaning more towards Russia.

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    Spatial distribution of China's aid to Africa: A study based on Standard Deviational Ellipse
    Jianmei HU, Jialin YU, Chao ZHANG
    2024, 33(3): 79-88.  DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2024.03.20222124
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    Poverty is at the forefront of Africa's efforts to achieve the United Nations' 2030 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). China's aid to Africa takes poverty eradication as its starting point and goal. Does the spatial distribution of China's aid to Africa take into account the spatial distribution of Africa's poor population? This paper used "Aid Spatial Difference" to measure the difference between the spatial distribution of China's aid to Africa and the spatial distribution of the poor population in Africa. Based on the geocoded data of China's aid to Africa and the population data of Africa from 2000 to 2014, this paper adopted Standard Deviation Ellipse method to analyze the spatial-temporal evolution relationship between China's aid to Africa and African poor population. This paper tested that spatial-temporal evolution relationship from two perspectives, the number of aid projects and the amount of aid. This paper finds that the spatial distribution of China's aid to Africa favors Africa's poor population. It is especially prominent in the location of aid projects, the growth rate of aid to Africa and the change of the gravity center of aid amount. This is consistent with China's purpose of prioritizing poverty eradication and helping Africa to achieve the UN's 2030 SDGs.

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    The internal and external relations and spatial structure heterogeneity of the three major urban agglomerations in the Yangtze River Economic Belt:
    Jianjun TU, Jingsong WANG, Shihao WANG
    2024, 33(3): 89-102.  DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2024.03.20230639
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    Based on big data for rail passenger transportation, this paper explores the spatial linkages among three major urban agglomerations of the Yangtze River Economic Belt, Including the Yangtze River Delta,the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River City Agglomeration and the Chengdu-Chongqing City Agglomeration, as well as their spatial structural heterogeneity, from the intra- and extra-group perspectives. The results show that: ① The three major city agglomerations have stronger in-group links than out-group. There are predominantly intra-provincial links in both the Yangtze River Delta and the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River City Agglomeration. The Chengdu-Chongqing city agglomeration has stronger inter-provincial links than intra-provincial links. However, the intensity of inter-provincial links within the three city agglomerations is much higher than that outside the agglomerations, implying that under the effect of the mechanism of internal agglomeration, cities within the city agglomerations are more likely to break through the provincial boundaries to create links and realize the integrated development of the region. ② The intensity of intra-cluster and extra-cluster linkages of large city clusters reaches its highest at inter-city distances of 0-100 km and 0-300 km, respectively. And the intensity of in-group and out-group links between cities in the Yangtze River Delta and the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River city agglomerations follow the law of distance decay, but in the Chengdu-Chongqing city agglomeration, only the out-group linkage conforms to this law. ③ Megacities dominate the in-group and out-group links of the three major urban agglomerations. In the in-group and out-group links, the urban connection intensity of the three major urban agglomerations at the same level is proportional to the city size, while the cross-level urban connection intensity is inversely proportional to the series difference. ④ The spatial structures of the Yangtze River Delta and the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River City Agglomeration are polycentric, though the extra-cluster linkages have a reinforcing effect on the polycentric structure of the former. The Chengdu-Chongqing City Agglomeration has a "single-core" form in the view of intra-group linkage, and a "double-core" structure in the view of extra-group linkage and total linkage, indicating that the extra-group linkage is pushing the Chengdu-Chongqing City Agglomeration to change from a "single-center" to a "double-center" structure.

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    Coupling evolution and influencing factors of carbon emissions-urban high quality development level in Yangtze River Delta
    Xin CHEN, Jiabei ZHOU, Yuantao LIAO, Shaojian WANG
    2024, 33(3): 103-115.  DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2024.03.20230324
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    Improving carbon emission efficiency and high-quality development are two important goals of urban development. Based on the entropy weight method, this paper constructed the index system of urban high-quality development level, and analyzed the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics and influencing factors of the coupling coordination degree of carbon emission intensity and urban high-quality development level in 27 cities in the Yangtze River Delta region from 2000 to 2019 by using the coupling coordination model and two-way fixed effect regression. The conclusions are as follows: 1) During the study period, the carbon emission intensity of the Yangtze River Delta region remained stable, with a slight decrease, and the score of high-quality urban development continued to increase; Carbon emission intensity - the level of coupling and coordination of high-quality urban development has increased steadily. 2) The average coupling coordination degree of cities in the region continues to rise, and the change trend of coupling coordination degree between cities is similar, showing the characteristics of rising fluctuations and narrowing gaps, and all cities in the region entered the stage of coordinated development in 2019. 3) In terms of spatial distribution, the coupling coordination degree of the Yangtze River Delta region has the characteristics of "high in the east and low in the west, high in the south and low in the north", and presents an evolutionary pattern of spreading to the surrounding areas centered on the economically developed coastal areas in the southeast. 4) The basic indicators of technological development, environmental governance and economic development all play a positive role in promoting the coupling coordination degree of the Yangtze River Delta region.

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    Spatial and temporal difference in urban carbon budget in the Yellow River Basin and carbon offset zoning study
    Yalong ZHANG, Haifeng ZHANG, Xuemei YANG
    2024, 33(3): 116-130.  DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2024.03.20230145
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    The study of carbon budget and carbon compensation zoning is of great significance in formulating strategies to adapt to the low-carbon development of each region, promoting synergistic management of regional ecological environment, and realizing high-quality development. This paper takes 56 municipal units in the Yellow River Basin as the study area, and by constructing a conceptual structure of carbon income and expenditure as well as carbon compensation zoning of the cities in the basin, it studies the spatio-temporal differentiation law of carbon income and expenditure as well as carbon compensation zoning of the urban agglomerations in the Yellow River Basin by using methods such as the centralization index and the location-constrained multivariate spatial clustering, and then it provides constructive theoretical solutions for the low-carbon development strategy in the process of urbanization. The study shows that: (1) the cities in the Yellow River Basin from 2000 to 2020 are characterized by obvious geographical differentiation of carbon expenditure and revenue, specifically, the carbon expenditure and revenue centralization index of the study area fluctuates up and down around the warning line of 0.4, and the overall curve shows an obvious fluctuating upward trend. (2) The spatial and temporal variation of carbon income and expenditure among cities in the Yellow River Basin is remarkable, and the data show that carbon emissions in the Yellow River Basin show a structure of "low in the west and high in the east and central parts of the country", with the high-value centres in Gansu, Shaanxi and Shandong provinces in 2000, and then the number of high-value areas of carbon emissions has increased year by year, while at the same time, the absorptive capacity of carbon sinks in each city is roughly equal. (3) Based on the framework of carbon offset zoning, the study area is divided into five types of carbon offset spatial optimization zones, and suggestions are made for green and low-carbon development planning in different types of zones. (4) In the future, the study will refine the spatial scale of the study area, explore the balance of carbon budget and carbon compensation of smaller units, and strive to explore the optimization of the green and low-carbon development mode of small areas, so that the energy conservation and emission reduction and green development of small areas can lead the cities in the region to achieve the dual-carbon goal.

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    The spatio-temporal evolution characteristics and driving factors of digital technology application industry in the Chengdu-Chongqing Double-City Economic Circle
    Haoli WANG, Jing XIANG, Qinghua HUANG
    2024, 33(3): 131-146.  DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2024.03.20230426
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    Industrial digitization is an important manifestation of the deep integration of digital economy and real economy. Based on a sample of 4348 digital technology application enterprises in Chengdu-Chongqing double circle from 2014-2023, the average nearest neighbor index, kernel density estimation, standard deviation ellipse and multi-distance spatial cluster analysis are used to portray the characteristics of the evolution of the spatial and temporal patterns of the digital technology application industry in Chengdu-Chongqing double circle, and a geographic probe model was used to explore the driving effects of various factors on the agglomeration development of the digital technology application industry in Chengdu-Chongqing double circle. The study finds that: ① The number of digital technology application enterprises in the Chengdu-Chongqing Double-City Economic Circle has been increasing year by year, with the largest number of small-scale enterprises, followed by micro, medium, and large enterprises. The coverage of enterprise distribution has been expanding year by year, presenting a spatial distribution characteristic of "agglomeration in the central urban area and gradient diffusion in the surrounding areas". The overall distribution is highly consistent with the geographical pattern of industrial parks and higher education institutions. ② The overall level of agglomeration has increased, showing a spatial evolution from "east (slightly south) to west (slightly north)". The transition from "monocentric dominance" to "bicentric radiation" gradually evolves into "polycentric diffusion". ③ Taking Chengdu and Chongqing as the single-core and dual-core respectively, the peak concentration of digital technology application industry is 30 km, 4 km and 50 km, and the optimal values of concentration are 270 km, 130 km and 360 km. ④ The economic base, market potential and policy guarantee factors are generally on the rise, while the human capital factors shows an inverted "U" shape.

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    Multi-scale urban network connectivity characteristics in the Yangtze River Delta and its impact on high-quality urban development: A perspective on corporate headquarter-branch connections
    Peiqing LI, Xinzheng ZHAO, Yongqing JIANG, Xing YU, Dekang ZHANG
    2024, 33(3): 147-160.  DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2024.03.20230437
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    With the continuous improvement of transportation infrastructure and communication technology, the degree of interaction between cities has significantly increased. Based on panel data of 26 prefecture-level cities in the Yangtze River Delta, this paper investigates the characteristics of the multi-scale urban network and the impact of urban network on high-quality development from the perspective of corporate headquarters-branch connections. The results are as follows: (1)Both the overall network characteristics and the node network connections indicate that the urban network at different scales in the Yangtze River Delta exhibits a trend of network development. (2) Urban network connections in the Yangtze River Delta exhibit significant hierarchical characteristics. As the network hierarchy increases, the number of connections decreases, and the levels of participating cities increase, with less constraint imposed by distance and administrative levels.(3) Cities within the Yangtze River Delta can significantly advance high-quality development by integrating into an urban network of different scales, and the impact of urban network connections on high-quality development demonstrates both scale heterogeneity and size heterogeneity. (4) Cities within the Yangtze River Delta primarily achieve high-quality development through three transmission mechanisms: the economic effect, social effect, and innovation effect of the urban network.

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    Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of domestic service industry development in China
    Jiyao YAN, Yuan ZHAO, Xiaoyan XIONG, Xin XU
    2024, 33(3): 161-174.  DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2024.03.2021961
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    Based on the "tianyancha" network big data, we analysis the spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of domestic service industry development in China by using the Theil index, spatial autocorrelation and geographic detector techniques. The results show that: (1)The domestic service industry development in China can be divided into four stages: incubation stage, growth stage, rising stage and prosperity stage.From 2000 to 2020, the regional difference of domestic service industry development has been shrinking and greater than the inter-regional differences, with the largest difference in the eastern region. (2)The development level of domestic service industry in China shows obvious spatial differentiation, the low, medium and high-level areas change greatly, but the trend of "east-middle-west" stepwise decline has not changed. Guangdong, Jiangsu and Shandong are always high-level areas. Tibet, Qinghai, Ningxia and Hainan are always low-level areas. At the same time, the spatial distribution of domestic service industry development is gathering day by day.(3)In 2000, economic and spatial factors were the main factors, and population factors were the auxiliary factors. While in 2020, economic, population and information factors were the main factors, and spatial factors and enterprises' own factors were the auxiliary factors. At the same time, the leading factors for the spatial differences in domestic service industry development in different regions are different.

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    Research on the impact of geographical distance on tourists' behavior based on social big data:
    Qian LI, Xiaoqian CAI, Tianyu LI, Donghua LI, Weifeng JIANG, Lin LU
    2024, 33(3): 175-186.  DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2024.03.2021956
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    In the context of big data, based on the Weibo check-in data of tourists in Huangshan City, the influence of geographical distance on tourists' behavior was quantitatively analyzed. The research finds that:(1) On a spatial distribution, local tourists form a tendency to gather in central towns. The distribution of short-distance tourists is balanced. Long-distance tourists show the characteristics of gathering in high-level tourist attractions; (2) In the selection of scenic spots, with the increase of distance, the tourism attraction of Huangshan Scenic Area and Hongcun Scenic Area is gradually strengthened, while the tourism attraction of Huizhou Ancient City is gradually weakened. In the terms of the level of scenic spots in Huangshan City, tourists from different distance have different choices; (3) Geographical distance affects tourists' choice of hotel and restaurant types and consumption behavior. The increase of geographical distance has made tourists more inclined to restaurants which have Huangshan local specialties.In terms of consumption expenditure, long-distance tourists spend the most on hotels and restaurants; (4) The comparative analysis shows that tourists who are from different geographical distances have different tourism motives. Local tourists mainly focus on relaxation and leisure. The motivation for short-distance tourists includes sightseeing and leisure. Long-distance tourists mainly care about sightseeing experience.

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