Spatial coupling relationship between rural population and economy in Henan Province

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2024.07.20222097

Abstract

Abstract:

The article takes 105 county units in rural areas of Henan Province as an example, takes population-economy factors in rural areas from 2010 to 2020 as the research object, and uses coupling relationship measurement model, spatial autocorrelation analysis and GIS visualization analysis to reveal the spatial coupling relationship of population-economy in rural areas of Henan Province in the context of rural contraction. The results show that the overall population of rural areas in Henan Province is decreasing, the high value areas are concentrated in East and Central Henan, and the low value areas are concentrated in South and West Henan in an "L" shape and remain stable. The spatial distribution of areas with high rural population-economy concentration is consistent and dominated by coordinated development, with comparable population-economy concentration; the driving factors of the rural population-economy spatial coupling relationship are analyzed at the macro level, involving seven aspects: policy, society, humanities, economy, industry, transportation and location. The future development of rural areas should be based on the need for policies to enhance the benefits of population agglomeration and improve the level of economic development, as well as to strengthen the construction of basic public service facilities to promote coordinated population-economy development in rural areas.

Key words: rural shrinkage, population-economic spatial coupling relationship, driving factors, rural revitalization, Henan Province

摘要：

以河南省乡村地区105个县域单元为研究区，以2010—2020年乡村人口-经济要素为研究对象，采用耦合关系测度模型、空间自相关分析和GIS可视化分析等方法，揭示乡村收缩背景下人口-经济的空间耦合关系。结果显示：河南省乡村人口整体呈减少趋势，高值区集中分布在豫东、豫中地区，低值区呈“L”字形集中分布在豫南、豫西地区且保持稳定；乡村经济规模性集聚增加，经济密度高值区集中分布在豫中地区，豫西和豫南地区乡村经济发展相对薄弱；乡村人口-经济集中度较高的地区空间分布存在一致性，且以协调发展型为主，人口-经济集聚程度相当。未来，乡村发展既要因需施策，提升人口集聚效益，提高经济发展水平，同时还要加强基础公共服务设施建设，促进乡村地区人口-经济协调发展。

关键词: 乡村收缩, 人口-经济空间耦合关系, 驱动因子, 乡村振兴, 河南省

Yang LIU, Jiajun QIAO, Jie XIAO, Yuzhen ZHANG, Tao PAN. Spatial coupling relationship between rural population and economy in Henan Province[J]. World Regional Studies, 2024, 33(7): 172-183.

刘洋, 乔家君, 肖杰, 张玉珍, 潘涛. 河南省乡村人口-经济空间耦合研究[J]. 世界地理研究, 2024, 33(7): 172-183.

Figures/Tables 8

Fig.1 Study area distribution map

Tab.1 Types of spatial coupling of population-economic inconsistency indices in rural of Henan Province

I	类型	类型特征
I<0.5	经济超前型	具有优越的区位或资源优势，人口集聚程度远低于经济集聚程度，经济发展较快
[0.5~1.5）	协调发展型	区位或者资源条件相对较好，经济发展速度快，人口与经济集聚程度相当
[1.5~3.0）	经济迟滞型	区位不佳，资源禀赋一般，经济发展处于迟滞状态，人口高于经济集聚程度
I≧3.0	经济落后型	区位欠佳，资源条件匮乏，经济发展滞后，人口远高于经济集聚程度

Fig.2 Spatial distribution of population density and spatial correlation of population distribution in rural of Henan Province from 2010 to 2020

Tab.2 Spatial correlation test results between population size and economic scale in rural of Henan Province from 2010 to 2020

年份	人口数量			经济规模
年份	Moran's I	Z	P	Moran's I	Z	P
2010	0.397	6.745	0.000	0.389	7.422	0.000
2020	0.378	6.287	0.000	0.501	8.768	0.000

Fig.3 Spatial distribution of economic density and spatial correlation of economic distribution of rural areas in Henan Province from 2010 to 2020

Fig.4 Spatial distribution of rural population concentration index and economic concentration index in Henan Province from 2010 to 2020

Fig.5 Scatter plot of the correlation between population and economic geographic concentration index in rural of Henan Province

Fig.6 Spatial matching types of rural population and economic development in Henan Province from 2010 to 2020

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