Spatial and temporal evolution of border trade in Yunnan counties and its influencing factors

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2024.08.20222523

Abstract

Abstract:

Using Coefficient of Variation and GIS spatial analysis, we detected the spatial and temporal evolution and development patterns of border trade in Yunnan counties, analyze the development pattern of border trade in depth by combining with the model of border trade development level, and explore the driving mechanism of border trade by using geographic probes. The results show that: ① the overall trend of county border trade in Yunnan Province is on the rise, and the total volume varies unevenly among counties, with Ruili City in the west and Mengla County in the south as the representative counties with higher total trade volume, while the overall trade volume in Ximeng County in the southwest and Lushui County in the northwest is smaller.② From 2010 to 2020, the development pattern of county border trade in Yunnan Province varies.③ During the same period, the border trade development in the western and southeastern border counties is high and the growth rate is stable; the development in the northwestern and southwestern counties is low and the growth is fast; the development in the southern counties is high and the growth is slow.④ The main driving factors affecting the border trade in the counties factors are policy and transportation factors, and the secondary driver is GDP per capita, while there are differences in the driving factors of border counties with different neighboring countries.

Key words: border trade, temporal and spatial evolution, county borders, driving factors, Yunnan Province

摘要：

借助CV系数和GIS空间分析刻画云南省县域边境贸易时空演变特征及发展模式，结合边境贸易发展水平模型，深入分析其发展格局，并运用地理探测器探析其边境贸易的驱动机制。结果表明：①云南省县域边境贸易整体呈现上升趋势，且县域间总量差异较大分布不均，以西部瑞丽市、南部勐腊县为代表的县域贸易总量较高，而西南部西盟县、西北部泸水等县域整体贸易量较小。②2010—2020年，云南县域边境贸易发展格局变化差异明显，边境贸易中心呈“L”形特征，并逐渐向中缅边境方向转移。③同期，西部、东南部边境县域边境贸易发展水平较高，增速稳定；西北、西南部发展水平低，增长较快；南部发展水平较高，增长缓慢。④影响县域边境贸易的主要驱动因素为政策和交通因素，次要驱动因素为人均GDP，同时边境县域所对应邻国不同，其驱动因素也存在差异。

关键词: 边境贸易, 时空演变, 县域边境, 驱动因素, 云南省

Yusi LIU, Cansong LI, Xurui GE, Tao WANG, Fan WANG. Spatial and temporal evolution of border trade in Yunnan counties and its influencing factors[J]. World Regional Studies, 2024, 33(8): 174-188.

刘宇斯, 李灿松, 葛旭瑞, 王涛, 王帆. 云南省县域边境地方贸易时空演变及驱动因素[J]. 世界地理研究, 2024, 33(8): 174-188.

Figures/Tables 13

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贸易类型	主体	空间范围	内容	特点
边民互市贸易	边民	陆路边境20 km以内，经政府批准的开放点或指定集市上	不超过规定金额或数量的商品交换活动	交易地点固定、规模，金额小
边境小额贸易	企业	国家指定的陆地边境口岸	与毗邻国家边境地区的企业或其他贸易机构之间进行的小规模贸易活动	货物类型多，发展迅速
边境地方贸易	政府/企业	国家指定的陆地边境口岸	毗邻国家在规定的交换货物范围内互相进行较大规模商品交流	双边规模大，级别高
边境地区对外经济技术合作	企业	边境地区	与我国毗邻国家边境地区开展承包工程和劳务合作项目	以产品输出和劳务输入为主

贸易类型	主体	空间范围	内容	特点
边民互市贸易	边民	陆路边境20 km以内，经政府批准的开放点或指定集市上	不超过规定金额或数量的商品交换活动	交易地点固定、规模，金额小
边境小额贸易	企业	国家指定的陆地边境口岸	与毗邻国家边境地区的企业或其他贸易机构之间进行的小规模贸易活动	货物类型多，发展迅速
边境地方贸易	政府/企业	国家指定的陆地边境口岸	毗邻国家在规定的交换货物范围内互相进行较大规模商品交流	双边规模大，级别高
边境地区对外经济技术合作	企业	边境地区	与我国毗邻国家边境地区开展承包工程和劳务合作项目	以产品输出和劳务输入为主

县域	2010年	2015年	2020年	县域	2010年	2015年	2020年	县域	2010年	2015年	2020年
瑞丽市	0.88	2.94	6.8	景洪市	0.08	7.56	0.23	沧源县	0.02	0.07	0.10
勐腊县	0.48	1.72	1.78	勐海县	0.05	0.15	0.16	福贡县	0.02	0.05	0.04
河口县	0.06	0.95	2.84	金平县	0.06	0.08	0.22	泸水县	0.02	0.01	0.08
麻栗坡县	0.22	0.52	0.67	耿马县	0.06	0.26	0.1	澜沧县	0.01	0.01	0.02
孟连县	0.05	0.30	0.49	富宁县	0.03	0.07	0.67	江城县	0.00	0.02	0.05
陇川县	0.15	0.30	0.24	马关县	0.04	0.09	0.02	绿春县	0.00	0.02	0.00
芒市	0.12	0.28	0.16	盈江县	0.01	0.04	0.04	西盟县	0.05	0.00	0.00
腾冲市	0.06	0.15	0.34	镇康县	0.02	0.04	0.1	龙陵县	0.00	0.00	0.00

县域	2010年	2015年	2020年	县域	2010年	2015年	2020年	县域	2010年	2015年	2020年
瑞丽市	0.88	2.94	6.8	景洪市	0.08	7.56	0.23	沧源县	0.02	0.07	0.10
勐腊县	0.48	1.72	1.78	勐海县	0.05	0.15	0.16	福贡县	0.02	0.05	0.04
河口县	0.06	0.95	2.84	金平县	0.06	0.08	0.22	泸水县	0.02	0.01	0.08
麻栗坡县	0.22	0.52	0.67	耿马县	0.06	0.26	0.1	澜沧县	0.01	0.01	0.02
孟连县	0.05	0.30	0.49	富宁县	0.03	0.07	0.67	江城县	0.00	0.02	0.05
陇川县	0.15	0.30	0.24	马关县	0.04	0.09	0.02	绿春县	0.00	0.02	0.00
芒市	0.12	0.28	0.16	盈江县	0.01	0.04	0.04	西盟县	0.05	0.00	0.00
腾冲市	0.06	0.15	0.34	镇康县	0.02	0.04	0.1	龙陵县	0.00	0.00	0.00

探测因子	第一产业	第二产业		第三产业	人均GDP	交通情况	政策	职工收入	公共支出
影响程度	0.03	0.03	0.04		0.16	0.57	0.21	0.56	0.03
P值	0.31	0.31	0.14		0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.43